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a2k

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a2k last won the day on May 13 2018

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  1. JUM2 well set for 300 dom 1.705 3.5 (+105%) 2.1 (-40%) = 7.3 (-25%) // 282.85 Fri-Fri drop was better than almost all wide releases
  2. The Innocents, Ju-on1/2 are classics and their remakes getting an F within a month is dispiriting. Would recommend folks to read The Turn of the Screw if they haven't and then watch The Innocents. It's a lesson on adapting literary works and a beautiful emotional horror film (a bit heavy on melodrama but that was for it's times).
  3. 70m dom is 3.2x multi. Nothing special for a family non-sequel with middling numbers imo. BB3 could end up doing 3x it's fss.
  4. Good hold for Just Mercy. Thought it would fall higher after MLK weekend - 1.1 Fri, 3.9 FSS (-32%), 27 cume Selma fell 38% same weekend and added 2.2x the weekend (12 more) to it's total (52.1). an 23, 2015 8 $5,418,572 -38% 2,046 $2,648 $39,138,346 5 Similar performance would give Just Mercy 35+ dom. Underwhelming imo.
  5. it would then need to add about 2.5x the weekend to it's cume to hit 299-300. shouldn't be difficult.
  6. Jumanji: The Next Level Sony / Columbia $6,700,000 $282,300,000 -31% Maybe a bit optimistic on JUM2 0.485 (-5%) // 275.52 1.45 (+200%) 2.90 (+100%) 1.90 (-35%) = 6.25 (-35.6%) // 281.77
  7. edit: thanks mods i forgot we don't have daily threads anymore. old habits.... - (4) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $950,000 -68% -35% 3,323 $286 $274,523,786 40 Guess, 0.57 (-40%) // 275.09 0.51 (-10%) // 275.60 1.48 (+190%) 2.96 (+100%) 1.92 (-35%) = 6.36 (-34.4%) // 281.96 2.83x that weekend more gives it 300. If it can hold as well as 35% this weekend then 300 will happen.
  8. Joker DOMESTIC (31.3%) $334,576,513 INTERNATIONAL (68.7%) $735,600,000 WORLDWIDE $1,070,176,513
  9. All of these movies (except ABIN) had a huge change in theater count: 12 (10) Spies in Disguise 20th Cent… $2,672,354 -48% 1,761 -910 $1,518 $58,499,221 4 13 N Weathering With You GKIDS $1,806,099 486 $3,716 $4,852,349 1 14 (14) Parasite Neon $1,711,988 +79% 843 +498 $2,031 $27,700,633 15 15 (23) Jojo Rabbit Fox Searc… $1,489,335 +630% 1,005 +880 $1,482 $23,618,407 14 16 (12) Uncut Gems A24 $1,307,246 -61% 930 -1,151 $1,406 $46,235,845 6 17 (17) Ford v. Ferrari 20th Cent… $1,072,856 +41% 1,080 +513 $993 $112,883,244 10 18 (11) The Grudge Sony Pict… $909,733 -74% 977 -1,665 $931 $20,042,374 3 19 (13) Bombshell Lionsgate $614,502 -57% 410 -879 $1,499 $29,279,410 6 20 (35) Joker Warner Bros. $348,048 +487% 854 +769 $408 $334,495,249 16 21 (37) Once Upon a Time…in H… Sony Pict… $320,774 +824% 705 +651 $455 $141,478,795 26 22 (19) A Beautiful Day in th… Sony Pict… $294,242 -44% 365 -154 $806 $60,498,091 9 23 (18) Cats Universal $143,680 -74% 146 -672 $984 $26,791,515 5
  10. Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days Jan 17, 2020 1 $23,605,000 3,775 $6,253 $23,605,000 1 Jan 18, 2020 1 $21,715,000 -8% 3,775 $5,752 $45,320,000 2 Jan 19, 2020 1 $17,180,000 -21% 3,775 $4,551 $62,500,000 3 Jan 20, 2020 1 $10,535,000 -39% 3,775 $2,791 $73,035,000 4
  11. So F2 won't end up much higher than China's $122 😲
  12. JUM2 708.5 ww (excluding MLK Monday) 17 os + 9.6 dom = 26.6 ww weekend 40 os + 25 dom = 65 more for ~775 ww looks good, maybe a little more.
  13. So BB3 is looking at 325-350 ww on 90 prod budget + marketing (+ Smith backend). Shazam did 360-365 ww, also with a healthy dom ratio and small China ratio on a similar prod budget. BB3 will look a lot more successful though due to different expectations and genres.
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