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a2k

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a2k last won the day on May 13

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  1. November has given 4 150+ films - BR, Grinch, FB2, WIR2. Grinch finishing at top and FB2 at bottom out of those, but interestingly, can BR leg it above WIR2? It will be 180.5 after a ~4.25 weekend.
  2. I expected Grinch to start showing normal 30% odd drops by now. It's gonna have back to back 16% drop and is bucking the trend that early Nov films have, at least so far. WIR2 on the other hand is fading faster than expected and theaters might prefer Grinch over WIR2. It may not leg it like Moana and not ever like Coco. But if Coco could add 60 after a 10m weekend, then for Grinch to add 60m after a 12.5m weekend should be possible.
  3. 5-day multipliers Moana 82.1*3.0 = 248.8 Coco 72.9*2.9 = 209.7 WIR2 84.8*2.4-2.5 = 203-212
  4. $54 2nd weekend for $189 cume. Adding 1.5x the 2nd weekend will give AQM $270 total.
  5. thankful for that. is 170m alive?
  6. Looking at mid-December weekends pre-Christmas : Coco - 10m weekend - added 60m in rest of the run Moana - 12.7m weekend - added 86m more Grinch - 12.5m weekend (Deadline) - 60m away from 300m dom btw, WIR2 - 9.5m weekend (Deadline) - 45 away from 200 dom, 55 away from Coco
  7. Guessing 390 2nd weekend for AQM 86 171 (+99%) 133 (-22%) = 390 Just 475-480 away from 1800 ($260 total). Should get to 1900 ($275).
  8. a2k

    THE GRINCH

    Dom is still very strong. This weekend looking at 12-13 (-16%; last weekend was ~15) according to Deadline's Friday estimates. That will take Dom to 240-241 with 30-40 more to come imo for 270-280 dom. Could climb a little higher than that too. OS was 100 last weekend with a strong 25+ weekend with holiday legs and good holds in Europe to follow. 200+ OS and 500 WW cannot be ruled out.
  9. 3x is possible (about 1950 total). Probably as impressive, if not more so, as 4x Dom.
  10. Rank Title(click to view) Studio Lifetime Gross Year^ 1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $936,662,225 2015 2 Avatar Fox $760,507,625 2009^ 3 Black Panther BV $700,059,566 2018 4 Avengers: Infinity War BV $678,815,482 2018 5 Titanic Par. $659,363,944 1997^ 6 Jurassic World Uni. $652,270,625 2015 7 Marvel's The Avengers BV $623,357,910 2012 8 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $620,181,382 2017 9 Incredibles 2 BV $608,580,088 2018 10 The Dark Knight WB $534,858,444 2008^
  11. Grinch is trending much stronger than WIR2 now. Looking at the big Thu gap they should swap on the weekend charts : - (1) Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch $987,880 +2% 3,841 $227,709,710 35 - (3) Ralph Breaks The Internet $726,324 -11% 3,795 $144,875,878 23
  12. ME starts off as rotten on RT Audience scores - 55% https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/mortal_engines ITSV starts off with an amazing 95%. https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/spider_man_into_the_spider_verse
  13. ITSV could well have great legs but can't rule out some early front-loading due to the popularity of the IP. Also need to see breakdown of previews and pre-previews. 35 looks very likely while 40-45 would be excellent.
  14. $135 week 1 + $55 2nd weekend = $190 10-day Reasonable to expect 1.5x the 2nd weekend more for $190 + $55*1.5 = $272.5 total But with Christmas and New Years combined with great ratings, I think above $280 if this weekend does $55.
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