a2k

Joker did 7.2x it's 4pm previews over ow. Shazam did 9x, was not a spin-off and was family friendly. So 8x at most for BOP? 4-5x gives 32-40 ow.

pro.BO https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-box-office-forecast-update-will-birds-of-prey-soar-as-2020s-first-hit-comic-book-film/

Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $355,000 -43% -13% 2,945 $121 $292,561,852 Thu 0.34 (-5%) // 292.90 FSS 1.11 (+225%) // last Fri was +256% 2.33 (+110%) // +116% 1.28 (-45%) // -64% Superbowl = 4.72 (-21%) // 297.62 297.62 + 4.72*3.75 = 315.32

Wed Feb 5 Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per Thr Total Gross D 1 (1) Bad Boys For Life Sony Pictures $1,330,000 -42% -33% 3,705 $359 $153,182,175 20 2 (2) 1917 Universal $1,060,735 -28% -15% 3,987 $266 $122,519,104 43 3 (3) The Gentlemen STX Entertai… $586,648 -38% -28% 2,675 $219 $22,123,179 13 4 (4) Dolittle Universal $467,975 -43% -26% 3,750 $125 $56,834,810 20 5 (5) Gretel & Hansel United Artists $396,121 -40% 3,007 $132 $7,666,966 6 - (7) Little Women Sony Pictures $373,000 -27% -25% 2,301 $162 $100,005,154 43 - (6) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $355,000 -43% -13% 2,945 $121 $292,561,852 55 - (9) Star Wars: The Rise of Sk… Walt Disney $284,085 -31% -32% 2,202 $129 $508,052,548 48 - (8) The Rhythm Section Paramount Pi… $251,159 -45% 3,049 $82 $3,689,351 6 - (11) Knives Out Lionsgate $243,975 -29% -14% 1,555 $157 $156,359,119 71 - (10) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $233,652 -40% -33% 1,807 $129 $31,639,765 43 - (12) The Turning Universal $208,000 -38% -42% 2,571 $81 $12,424,130 13 - (13) Jojo Rabbit Fox Searchlight $186,354 -25% +13% 1,173 $159 $28,564,654 111 - (14) Frozen II Walt Disney $112,917 -33% -30% 1,392 $81 $472,819,959 76 - (-) Ford v. Ferrari 20th Century… $105,438 -15% +26% 924 $114 $115,616,383 83

Would like the OS to hit 150 mark. With prod budget being only 85, there's a good chance that Dom returns itself recover that. 150 dom * 0.55 = 82.5 Even feeble OS returns will eat into the global marketing spent sufficiently enough to make the movie profitable.

wrong thread...

considering how many theaters tros has hogged thanks to disney, it is 😛

Happy JUM2 beat my Tue expectation with +68% 4.5-5.0 weekend looks likely.

👍 Tuesday, Feb 4 Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per Thr Total Gross D 1 (1) Bad Boys For Life Sony Pictures $2,284,757 +52% -36% 3,705 $617 $151,852,175 19 2 (2) 1917 Universal $1,470,290 +63% -23% 3,987 $369 $121,458,369 42 3 (3) The Gentlemen STX Entertai… $952,279 +75% -30% 2,675 $356 $21,536,531 12 4 (5) Dolittle Universal $824,210 +92% -30% 3,750 $220 $56,366,835 19 5 (4) Gretel & Hansel United Artists $665,271 +47% 3,007 $221 $7,270,845 5 6 (6) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $621,027 +69% -11% 2,945 $211 $292,206,852 54 7 (7) Little Women Sony Pictures $509,176 +74% -28% 2,301 $221 $99,632,154 42 8 (9) The Rhythm Section Paramount Pi… $454,739 +70% 3,049 $149 $3,438,192 5 9 (8) Star Wars: The Rise of Sk… Walt Disney $409,612 +45% -34% 2,202 $186 $507,768,463 47 10 (11) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $387,082 +87% -34% 1,807 $214 $31,406,113 42 11 (12) Knives Out Lionsgate $345,366 +68% -16% 1,555 $222 $156,115,144 70 12 (10) The Turning Universal $338,070 +60% -46% 2,571 $131 $12,216,130 12 13 (13) Jojo Rabbit Fox Searchlight $249,184 +60% +25% 1,173 $212 $28,378,300 110 14 (14) Frozen II Walt Disney $169,442 +48% -28% 1,392 $122 $472,707,042 75 - (-) Ford v. Ferrari 20th Century… $123,898 +72% +12% 924 $134 $115,510,945 82 - (-) Spies in Disguise 20th Century… $110,493 +58% -15% 1,028 $107 $63,775,175 42 - (-) Like a Boss Paramount Pi… $75,864 +65% -64% 665 $114 $21,678,577 26 - (-) Uncut Gems A24 $64,053 +36% -21% 492 $130 $48,483,087 54 - (-) Bombshell Lionsgate $58,902 +60% -36% 478 $123 $30,943,148 54 - (-) Underwater 20th Century… $53,558 +47% -66% 601 $89 $16,829,588 26 - (-) Once Upon a Time…in Holly… Sony Pictures $51,185 +190% +141% 619 $83 $142,112,493 194 - (-) A Beautiful Day in the Ne… Sony Pictures $22,443 +42% -27% 201 $112 $61,188,695 75 - (-) Panga FIP $15,976 +191% -64% 102 $157 $522,542 12 - (-) Joker Warner Bros. $12,734 -48% -15% 743 $17 $335,039,764 124 - (-) Cats Universal $6,645 +38% -30% 105 $63 $27,097,045 47 - (-) The Assistant Bleecker Street $6,032 -2% 4 $1,508 $91,335 5 - (-) Richard Jewell Warner Bros. $4,656 +24% -54% 88 $53 $22,336,673 54 - (-) Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Walt Disney $2,991 -2% -22% 84 $36 $113,886,722 110 - (-) A Hidden Life Fox Searchlight $1,678 +41% -66% 19 $88 $1,725,982 54 - (-) Three Christs IFC Films $26 -61% -88% 1 $26 $37,537 26

If ow is 45 then 2.8x gives 126 dom. Fine compared to the prod budget but should match Shazam's dom at least considering release date and competition is favorable in comparison.

yeah that's possible. but last thu was +5% so went flattish despite bop.

JUM2 0.370 // 291.587 0.600 (+61%) // 292.187 0.330 (-45%) // 292.517 0.325 (-1.5%) // 292.842 1.056 (+225%) 2.227 (+115%) 1.225 (-45%) = 4.508 (-25%) // 297.350 297.350 + 4.508*3.75 = 314.255

Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per Thr Total Gross D 1 (1) Bad Boys For Life Sony Pictures $1,507,928 -47% -32% 3,705 $407 $149,567,418 18 2 (3) 1917 Universal $904,455 -37% -23% 3,987 $227 $119,988,079 41 3 (6) The Gentlemen STX Entertai… $544,765 -32% -31% 2,675 $204 $20,584,252 11 4 (5) Gretel & Hansel United Artists $451,567 -56% 3,007 $150 $6,605,574 4 5 (2) Dolittle Universal $429,940 -72% -37% 3,750 $115 $55,542,625 18 6 (4) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $368,491 -69% -15% 2,945 $125 $291,585,825 53 7 (7) Little Women Sony Pictures $293,424 -57% -34% 2,301 $128 $99,122,978 41 8 (8) Star Wars: The Rise of Sk… Walt Disney $282,947 -55% -35% 2,202 $128 $507,358,851 46 9 (11) The Rhythm Section Paramount Pi… $268,069 -34% 3,049 $88 $2,983,453 4 10 (9) The Turning Universal $211,595 -59% -46% 2,571 $82 $11,878,060 11 11 (13) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $207,544 -38% -34% 1,807 $115 $31,019,031 41 12 (12) Knives Out Lionsgate $205,810 -47% -18% 1,555 $132 $155,769,778 69 13 (15) Jojo Rabbit Fox Searchlight $155,581 -47% +17% 1,173 $133 $28,129,116 109 14 (10) Frozen II Walt Disney $114,836 -75% -35% 1,392 $82 $472,537,600 74

#RespectTheFans

What would be the difference between F10 Part 1 & 2 vs F10 & F11 in terms of continuity. Doesn't make much sense to me. The finale factor and 10 being a round numbers would get diminished by the part split anyway. Better go for F10 and F11. Of course, F9's bo performance needs to be first analysed. Hobbs & Shaw might also suck away more mojo with a sequel.

20% drop form DM3 inevitable imo (which gives 211 dom). Minions1 itself fell 10% from DM2 (understandable as a a spin-off), and Minions1 and DM3 didn't do the franchise any favors in reputability. 30% drop / 185 dom won't surprise me.

JUM1 vs JUM2 (final guesses) OS-Ch 480 vs 435 : -9% Dom 404.5 vs 312 : -23% China 78 vs 41.5 : -47% 0-10% bump China would have been more normal which would have taken it past 825 ww. I had a sub-500 ww meltdown after China ow

jum did well over FSS when dolittle opened despite loosing close to 600 theaters. Movie Distr Gross %LW Thr Thr Chng Per Thr Total Gross W 1 N Bad Boys For Life Sony Pict… $62,504,105 3,775 $16,557 $62,504,105 1 2 (1) 1917 Universal $21,984,200 -41% 3,612 +178 $6,086 $76,601,184 4 3 N Dolittle Universal $21,844,045 4,155 $5,257 $21,844,045 1 4 (3) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pict… $9,700,343 -31% 3,323 -581 $2,919 $270,613,318 6 doubt competition in the 10th weekend will affect it that much. also it's doing so well with 20-30% holds that 'bad drop' might mean 40% as opposed to totally dying.

it's on 1058 after 6.4 weekend globally. 2.2x that more will get it past 1072.

Added 2m globally over last 2 weeks / 14 days. Will end at 1072 ww total, just behind TS4 and TROS.

450 ww for BB3 possible (5x the prod budget with very healthy dom %). Even with Will Smith's backend Sony should make a profit this time around .

JUM1 had 10.9 superbowl weekend and then added 52.5 to the cume (4.8x more). JUM2 would need 24 after 6.0 weekend (4x more).

HS and JUM2 will bring in 1550 ww (760 + 790). Not to take away from the team effort that these (and most) movies are, a great year for DJ nevertheless.

435 os-ch 41 ch 315 dom = 791 china will play spoil sport when it comes to 800 ww. 41+ compared to predecessor's 78+ is just too big a drop for a growing market. even an underwhelming 50-55 would have kept 800 alive.