[What boxoffice runs are unbelievable in retrospect?]

Have there been any other instances besides New Moon/Blind Side of two films opening wide on the same weekend, and the lower opener being so leggy/the higher opener so frontloaded that the gap between the two closed considerably by the end of their runs? (And I mean big hit films.)

This is happening in Japan with Yokai Watch / Big Hero 6, but has it happened any other times domestically?

 

Last year, 300: Rise of an Empire opened to $45M the same weekend Mr. Peabody and Sherman opened to $32M.  The former closed with $106M, the latter with $111M. I don't know if you'd count those as "big hit films".

[Best Animated Feature-2014]

I've seen four of the five. I will have seen all five by the end of the month.

 

Of the ones I've seen, I'd vote for Kaguya, but its story - particularly the ending - is so different from what American audiences are used to that I won't be surprised if it doesn't win.

[What boxoffice runs are unbelievable in retrospect?]

But why compare that film to the one film in the modern era that had a better run than it?  Why not compare it to ID4 or some other blockbuster?  

 

To open to 77 mill and have close to a 10X is insane.

 

Because of posts like these:

 

 

- Avatar: James Cameron does it again with another Titanic like run in 2009 which ushered in the era of 3D.

Avatar just happened 6 years ago.

 

[What boxoffice runs are unbelievable in retrospect?]

Looking a bit more closely, it would be fair to say that Avatar had a Titanic-like run (with slightly worse drops) for about six weeks.

 

 

After that, it looks a lot more like other "normal" huge movies, just with bigger numbers.

 

 

(Note that this is on a log scale: equal slope = equal % drop)

[What boxoffice runs are unbelievable in retrospect?]

Oh, and I probably should have mentioned, since the post I quoted dealt with multipliers:

Avatar's was 9.73

Titanic's was 20.98

[What boxoffice runs are unbelievable in retrospect?]

yeah because films manage a 10 times multiplier all the time, its just so normal. After that post you may as well put a big sign over your head saying 'hey everyone, I don't know what the fuck im talking about'

 

 

Avatar had a good, strong run, starting high, with low drops, but had nothing even close to Titanic's legs.

 

A typical movie makes half its final gross in the first ten days, give or take a couple.

Avatar took 21 days.

Titanic, 44.

 

Avatar had 16 weekends where it grossed a million dollars or more.

Titanic had 30, unadjusted.

 

Titanic's run was as far beyond Avatar's as Avatar's was beyond average.

[What boxoffice runs are unbelievable in retrospect?]

For the record, Avatar did not have a Titanic-like run.  It had a fairly normal-shaped run, just with larger numbers.

 

[Box Office Theory's Most Anticipated Films]

1. Song of the Sea

2. Inside Out

3. The Martian

4. Peanuts

5. Avengers: Age of Ultron

6. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

7. Minions

8. The Good Dinosaur

9. Mockingjay Part 2

10. Cinderella

[A Year At A Glance | 2015 complete; 2016 added 6/24/16]

The end of the calendar year seems like a good time for another update.

 

[Minions | 7.10.2015 | Crosses 1 BILLION Worldwide. Beats Toy Story 3 on the all-time chart.]

Until today, I was rather dubious on the idea of a Minions spin-off. They were good support characters, but I didn't think a movie focusing primarily on them could be more than kiddie entertainment.

 

Today, I saw the trailer.  Looks like they've found the right premise to make this a good one.

[Big Hero 6 | November 7, 2014 | Now available on home video]

Having just watched this today, I predict that it'll be fairly successful, but not a breakout hit. It's a good, fun animated movie, and not much more than that. People will see it, enjoy it, talk about it, and go on to other things. It won't be immune to competition the way Frozen was, and won't have many people going to see it over and over and over and over.

[A Year At A Glance | 2015 complete; 2016 added 6/24/16]

Given that my source for weekly data seems to have just dried up, I might as well post what I have.  I don't know if I'll ever be able to update this graph again.

 

[Box Office Theory's Most Anticipated Films]

1: The Boxtrolls

2: Song of the Sea

3: Inside Out

4: The Tale of Princess Kaguya

5: Big Hero 6

6: Interstellar

7: Avengers Age of Ultron

8: Mockingjay Part 1

9: Into the Woods

10: Annie

[Big Hero 6 | November 7, 2014 | Now available on home video]

Japanese posters

https://twitter.com/disneysbighero6/status/510495423593582592

No surprise on the emphasis of Baymax

 

I'm pretty sure those are not official.  The title of the movie in Japan is Baymax (ベイマックス), not Big Hero 6 (ビッグ・ヒーロー６) as on those posters.

[Minimum RT score for you to watch upcoming movies]

In general, if a movie I'm anticipating gets a low score, I check out the reasons for the rotten reviews.  If a movie I'm not anticipating gets an exceptionally high score, I at least glance at the page.

 

[*]19/09/2014 The Maze Runner - 90% [*]03/10/2014 Annabelle - 90% [*]06/11/2014 Interstellar - 60% [*]07/11/2014 Big Hero 6 - 20% [*]21/11/2014 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 - 40% [*]12/12/2014 Exodus: Gods and Kings - 90% [*]12/12/2014 The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies - 95%
  [*]06/02/2015 Jupiter Ascending - 85% [*]06/02/2015 Seventh Son - 95% [*]06/02/2015 The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water - 98% [*]13/02/2015 Fifty Shades of Grey - If God Himself told me I needed to see this movie, I'd think about it. [*]13/03/2015 Cinderella - 55% [*]20/03/2015 The Divergent Series: Insurgent - 98% [*]27/03/2015 Home - 75% [*]03/04/2015 Fast & Furious 7 - 90% [*]01/05/2015 Avengers: Age of Ultron - 40% [*]15/05/2015 Pitch Perfect 2 - 95% [*]12/06/2015 Jurassic World - 75% [*]19/06/2015 The Fantastic Four - 80% [*]19/06/2015 Inside Out - 5% [*]10/07/2015 Minions - 75% [*]18/07/2015 Ant-Man - 65% [*]09/10/2015 The Jungle Book - 65% [*]23/10/2015 The Conjuring 2 - 98% [*]06/11/2015 Bond 24 - 95% [*]20/11/2015 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2 - 40% [*]25/11/2015 The Good Dinosaur - 35% [*]18/12/2015 Star Wars Episode VII - 10% [*]23/12/2015 Kung Fu Panda 3 - 40%
  [*]11/03/2016 Warcraft - 98% [*]25/03/2016 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice - 50% [*]06/05/2016 Captain America 3 - 50% [*]27/05/2016 X-Men: Apocalypse - 80% [*]17/06/2016 Finding Dory - 20% [*]17/06/2016 How to Train Your Dragon 3 - 5% [*]08/07/2016 Doctor Strange - 50% [*]21/10/2016 The Jungle Book: Origins - 65% [*]18/11/2016 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 60% [*]16/12/2016 Star Wars spin-off - 40% [*]??/12/2016 Avatar 2 - 70%
  [*]07/04/2017 Pacific Rim 2 - 75%  [*]26/05/2017 The Lego Movie 2 - 85% [*]28/07/2017 Guardians of the Galaxy 2 - 50%
  [*]08/03/2018 Moana - 20% [*]08/06/2018 Godzilla 2 - 35%

[Box Office Theory's Most Anticipated Films]

1: The Boxtrolls

2: Song of the Sea

3: Inside Out

4: The Tale of Princess Kaguya

5: Big Hero 6

6: Interstellar

7: Avengers Age of Ultron

8: Mockingjay Part 1

9: Into the Woods

10: Annie

[Box Office Theory's Most Anticipated Films]

1: The Boxtrolls

2: Song of the Sea

3: Inside Out

4: The Tale of Princess Kaguya

5: Big Hero 6

6: Interstellar

7: Avengers Age of Ultron

8: Mockingjay Part 1

9: Into the Woods

10: Annie

[Left Behind]

As a regular reader of Slacktivist, I was aware of it.  It should also go without saying that I do not intend to see it.

[Box Office Theory's Most Anticipated Films]

1: The Boxtrolls

2: Song of the Sea

3: Inside Out

4: The Tale of Princess Kaguya

5: Big Hero 6

6: Interstellar

7: Avengers Age of Ultron

8: Mockingjay Part 1

9: Into the Woods

10: Annie

[Box Office Theory's Most Anticipated Films]

1: The Boxtrolls

2: Song of the Sea

3: Inside Out

4: Big Hero 6

5: Interstellar

6: Mockingjay Part 1

7: Avengers Age of Ultron

8: Annie

9: The Book of Life

 

I clearly need to take a good look at what else is coming out next summer, given how my list has shrunk over the past weeks.

[Box Office Theory's Most Anticipated Films]

1: The Boxtrolls

2: Song of the Sea

3: Inside Out

4: Big Hero 6

5: Interstellar

6: Mockingjay Part 1

7: Avengers Age of Ultron

8: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

9: Annie

10: The Book of Life

[Movies which revealed their big secrets in the marketing]

Now I haven't seen How To Train YOur Dragon 2, but it would look a lot more appealing if they let us believe that the person that is suposedly Hiccups mom was the villan.

Yes.

 

'Cause Godzilla has shown us that audiences love it when the marketing lies to them.

LOL that would've been impossible for them to do. And would've been really stupid too.

 

Maybe not implying her as the villain per se, but they could easily have played up the mystery rather than throwing the big reveal in our faces.  I'm picturing something like this:

 

A few bits from Hiccup and Valka's first meeting in the clouds.

A few bits from their interaction in the cave, ending before she unmasks.

CUT TO: Hiccup and Stoick

"There's something I need to tell you."

"Tell me on the way"

"This isn't an on-the-way kind of thing! It's more of the earth-shattering kind!"

"Add it to the list"

CUT TO: Stoick dropping his sword

CUT TO: Title card

[Box Office Theory's Most Anticipated Films]

1: The Boxtrolls

2: Song of the Sea

3: Inside Out

4: Big Hero 6

5: Guardians of the Galaxy

6: Interstellar

7: Mockingjay Part 1

8: Avengers Age of Ultron

9: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

10: Annie

[JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW]

I mean,Ghibli and animated movies can't split up,they go together.If people like Ghibli it's only thanks to that. I don't understand how they could stop, what else would they do?

 

The rumor - and so far it is just a rumor, attributed to an anonymous source within the studio - is that with Miyazaki's retirement and the lack of recent big hits by anyone else, the top people have decided to dissolve the company, and are just waiting for the right time to make the announcement.

[Box Office Theory's Most Anticipated Films]

1: The Boxtrolls

2: Song of the Sea

3: Inside Out

4: Big Hero 6

5: Guardians of the Galaxy

6: Interstellar

7: Mockingjay Part 1

8: Avengers Age of Ultron

9: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

10: Annie