edroger3

Christmas update. F2 jumped in top 3 of 2019 outpacing Captain Marvel And Spiderman FFH. At 26 December should have passed Aquaman, Civil War and Minions, breaking the Top 20 all-time.

I haven't all international number yet for week 5, but I still think Italy will be the only market (with Japan, pending Netherland and Belgium) in which F2 finish with less admissions or LC gross than F1. By the way Disney (via IMDBpro/BOM) has bigger numbers than Cinetel, 16,9 (18,6M$ at 0,9 ER) vs 16,1 by Sunday.

So my bet has 58% odds in favour, much better than the 47% of a Rouge/Noir ot Pair/Impair bet at the French Roulette.

For now is only -16/17% that means 17M+ final for F2, but unfortunately the real frozen-mania started later with 3,7M adm (48M$) in 12 days (44/55). At least a frozen-mania 2 will happens, I think F2 will end to something a bit lower or higher of 12M (-40%) or 15Byen

F2 is seeing a over 100% increase Mon-Fri but weekend will haven't this number.... It is losing 1,5 admission by F1 at the end of week 6.

26 December Very big numbers in one of the three biggest boxoffice days of year (Boxing day, first of January and the Monday after Easter). Vs Christmas we see the same increase in top 3 (about +60%), SW +100 (as vs LW, -10% vs TLJ), F2 +175% (+600% vs LW but this number does not count much. Damn Disney, with the same release date of F1 yesterday would been 4M+). Spies in Disguise very low despite strong marketing. Day 2 of Jumanji is not comparable vs the predecessor (was a workday) but very good. Pos. Titolo Prima Progr. Nazione Distribuzione Incasso Presenze Incasso al 26/12/2019 Presenze al 26/12/2019 1 PINOCCHIO 19/12/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 1.897.667 271.706 € 6.507.299 959.906 2 IL PRIMO NATALE 12/12/2019 ITA MEDUSA FILM S.P.A. € 1.751.919 254.441 € 9.680.504 1.501.359 3 JUMANJI: THE NEXT LEVEL 25/12/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 1.665.305 222.743 € 2.756.349 365.846 4 STAR WARS: L'ASCESA DI SKYWALKER (STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER) 18/12/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 1.175.193 152.779 € 8.335.454 1.105.806 5 LA DEA FORTUNA 19/12/2019 ITA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 760.460 105.255 € 2.934.674 422.096 6 FROZEN II - IL SEGRETO DI ARENDELLE (FROZEN II) 27/11/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 419.236 58.894 € 16.973.045 2.634.436 7 LAST CHRISTMAS 19/12/2019 GBR UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 337.206 46.344 € 1.412.569 201.593 8 SPIE SOTTO COPERTURA (SPIES IN DISGUISE) 25/12/2019 USA 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 171.837 24.610 € 235.739 33.639 9 CENA CON DELITTO - KNIVES OUT 05/12/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 165.063 21.609 € 3.697.343 564.220 10 L'IMMORTALE 05/12/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 57.785 7.287 € 5.768.254 848.418

I think way higher, but irrelevant for a brand that had the 80% of its revenues out of cinemas.

Very disappointing. About 405 Dom at Thursday. 1150-405=745. only 25M OS Mon-Thr. 10M in Asia, 15 rest of the world with Scandinavia opening on Wed. R.I.P.

Christmas Day Very strong competition overall but only +10% vs LY. A movie with the word "Christmas" (Natale) in title obviously wins. Jumanji start a bit lower than the predecessor, that grossed 1.230 in 1st of January (that is a similar day) and ended to 10M and cents. SW lose a 50% from OD which is worse than it seems cause the workday vs holiday factor. F2 is dead and will end a bit under F1 (19.700 - 2,95M admissions), probably the only market in world (with Japan) in which F2 don't pass F1 at least in admissions or LC. A this point I have to admit that the release date in late November have been a big mistake. Pos. Titolo Prima Progr. Nazione Distribuzione Incasso Presenze Incasso al 25/12/2019 Presenze al 25/12/2019 1 IL PRIMO NATALE 12/12/2019 ITA MEDUSA FILM S.P.A. € 1.164.118 166.641 € 7.915.828 1.244.637 2 PINOCCHIO 19/12/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 1.140.617 159.297 € 4.610.645 688.203 3 JUMANJI: THE NEXT LEVEL 25/12/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 1.098.532 143.771 € 1.098.532 143.771 4 STAR WARS: L'ASCESA DI SKYWALKER (STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER) 18/12/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 624.259 79.991 € 7.163.394 953.009 5 LA DEA FORTUNA 19/12/2019 ITA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 437.937 59.970 € 2.172.852 316.563 6 LAST CHRISTMAS 19/12/2019 GBR UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 227.972 30.831 € 1.076.192 155.311 7 FROZEN II - IL SEGRETO DI ARENDELLE (FROZEN II) 27/11/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 152.778 21.304 € 16.553.163 2.575.424 8 CENA CON DELITTO - KNIVES OUT 05/12/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 123.765 15.886 € 3.531.752 542.545 9 SPIE SOTTO COPERTURA (SPIES IN DISGUISE) 25/12/2019 USA 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 63.795 9.011 € 63.795 9.011 10 L'IMMORTALE 05/12/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 47.004 5.799 € 5.710.470 841.131

Assuming about 400M at 25 dic, F2 should make the 55% of F1 in the next 75 days to reach 500M.

After 5 days F2 rises to #1 in admissions. F2 + 106 vs lw + 90 daily 160k SW + 20 daily 130K

I hope there is something wrong. I have 90-100M OS this week.

Last week (mon-sun) 53M OS (720-667) This week (mon-sun) 60-65 OS with Scandinavia So no Holiday boost? Sad.

Merry Christmas to everyone. Tuesday 24 - Christmas Eve traditionally a weak day. F2 only movie flat vs LW. Pos. Titolo Prima Progr. Nazione Distribuzione Incasso Presenze Incasso al 24/12/2019 Presenze al 24/12/2019 1 STAR WARS: L'ASCESA DI SKYWALKER (STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER) 18/12/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 298.712 40.659 € 6.534.403 872.426 2 PINOCCHIO 19/12/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 244.849 36.388 € 3.464.147 528.045 3 IL PRIMO NATALE 12/12/2019 ITA MEDUSA FILM S.P.A. € 169.611 25.063 € 6.745.895 1.077.120 4 FROZEN II - IL SEGRETO DI ARENDELLE (FROZEN II) 27/11/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 102.375 15.350 € 16.398.100 2.553.774 5 LA DEA FORTUNA 19/12/2019 ITA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 81.071 11.870 € 1.733.240 256.317 6 CENA CON DELITTO - KNIVES OUT 05/12/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 59.276 8.311 € 3.406.865 526.518

Benigni's career really ended with his unlucky version of "Pinocchio" in 2002, then he made another forgettable movie in 2004 and was in Woody Allen's "To Rome with Love" in 2012. However, in past years, he have had a more successful career in TV and live show.

F2 +77 LW / +20 vs Mon SW - 30 vs Mon

Monday 23 - Good hold for SW -36 (italians all over -50). F2 +110 vs LW but -50 vs SUN. Pos. Titolo Prima Progr. Nazione Distribuzione Incasso Presenze Incasso al 23/12/2019 Presenze al 23/12/2019 1 STAR WARS: L'ASCESA DI SKYWALKER (STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER) 18/12/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 911.701 128.260 € 6.225.790 830.412 2 PINOCCHIO 19/12/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 530.727 85.325 € 3.215.356 491.099 3 IL PRIMO NATALE 12/12/2019 ITA MEDUSA FILM S.P.A. € 369.677 60.448 € 6.571.994 1.051.438 4 LA DEA FORTUNA 19/12/2019 ITA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 219.208 34.114 € 1.649.936 244.122 5 FROZEN II - IL SEGRETO DI ARENDELLE (FROZEN II) 27/11/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 189.456 30.215 € 16.291.778 2.537.793 6 LAST CHRISTMAS 19/12/2019 GBR UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 128.148 19.800 € 795.898 116.879 7 CENA CON DELITTO - KNIVES OUT 05/12/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 91.432 13.750 € 3.346.579 518.064

Endgame, TLK, Aladdin, TS4, F2, TROS....... only avaliable on Disney+ .... as soon as possible.

Est. SW 2day 670/1,04b - 3day 1.020/1,57b F2 2day 400/0,51b (tot 6.400/8,2b) 😭 Today SW 0,25/0.30b - F2 +15% 0,12b

Sunday 22 - Pre-Christmas weekend +35% vs last year. SW9 as predicted, F2 still in top 5, both with strong competition from local movies. Among those Pinocchio worse than I expected. Next week will be very interesting (four holy-days on seven and school-out). Weìll see how Disney's work. Weekend 1-Star Wars 9 - 4.103 2-Pinocchio - 2.655 3-Il Primo Natale - 2.069 -34 4-La Dea Fortuna - 1.420 5-Frozen 2 - 820 -50 Opening WED THR FRI SAT SUN Wkd Week Episode VII 16/12/2015 1.854 922 1.190 1.984 2.443 6.539 8.305 Episode VIII 13/12/2017 1.260 602 828 1.584 1.591 4.605 5.865 Episode IX 18/12/2019 1.184 651 725 1.311 1.416 4.103 5.287 Av.Endgame 24/04/2019 5.167 3.848 2.633 2.683 2.962 12.126 17.293 Joker 03/10/2019 1.033 1.242 2.113 1.885 6.273 6.273 1 STAR WARS: L'ASCESA DI SKYWALKER (STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER) 18/12/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 1.416.552 188.761 € 5.287.123 698.333 2 PINOCCHIO 19/12/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 1.178.561 174.744 € 2.655.261 401.390 3 IL PRIMO NATALE 12/12/2019 ITA MEDUSA FILM S.P.A. € 903.118 138.587 € 6.188.158 988.857 4 LA DEA FORTUNA 19/12/2019 ITA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 557.466 80.390 € 1.420.480 208.456 5 FROZEN II - IL SEGRETO DI ARENDELLE (FROZEN II) 27/11/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 398.575 59.138 € 16.093.672 2.506.211 6 LAST CHRISTMAS 19/12/2019 GBR UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 224.527 32.172 € 662.071 96.246 7 CENA CON DELITTO - KNIVES OUT 05/12/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 169.110 23.542 € 3.254.230 504.169

I Know, please note the ".................😁". I have see pre-Chrismast Sunday was in the same day (22) so....

I'm sorry I updated it after you reply. By the way is just a "time capsule" moment.

SIX YEARS AGO (Sunday 22 December 2013) Frozen added another $35.1 million from 33 territories in its fourth weekend of release. The animated film took a strong #1 opening in Mexico, where it nearly doubled the debut of Tangled with a $5.5 million bow. Italy opened to $2.9 million. The top markets for the film include Germany ($26.4M), the United Kingdom ($26.3M), France ($21.2M), Russia ($19.6M), and Spain ($12M). Frozen has grossed a total of $152.6 million overseas and $344.1 million worldwide. NOW (Sunday 22 December 2019) After crossing the $1B worldwide mark last weekend, Disney’s animated sequel added another $31.6M from 48 material offshore markets this session. The overseas cume rises above $700M to hit $717.2M to date while global is now $1,103.7M. The latter gives Elsa and Anna bragging rights to being the 4th biggest animated release of all time worldwide, having passed Despicable Me 3, Toy Story 3 and Toy Story 4. This is before openings in Scandinavia, Brazil and Argentina. Overall, the drop this session was 45% and with the holidays ahead. The Top 5 markets to date are China ($115.1M), Korea ($89.9M), Japan ($75.7M), UK ($54M) and Germany ($43.6M). F1 added 900M+ from 23 December to end .................😁 Or 550+ minus C/K/J

Saturday 21 SW9 is seing a 4M weekend. Tomorrow could lose the first place (daily) if Pinocchio work well (possible but non probable). F2 passes Aladdin to #4 in 2019. Opening WED THR FRI SAT SUN Wkd Week Episode VII 16/12/2015 1.854 922 1.190 1.984 2.443 6.539 8.305 Episode VIII 13/12/2017 1.260 602 828 1.584 1.591 4.605 5.865 Episode IX 18/12/2019 1.184 651 725 1.284 2.660 3.844 Av.Endgame 24/04/2019 5.167 3.848 2.633 2.683 2.962 12.126 17.293 Joker 03/10/2019 1.033 1.242 2.113 1.885 6.273 6.273 Pos. Titolo Prima Progr. Nazione Distribuzione Incasso Presenze Incasso al 21/12/2019 Presenze al 21/12/2019 1 STAR WARS: L'ASCESA DI SKYWALKER (STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER) 18/12/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 1.285.144 169.485 € 3.844.773 506.087 2 PINOCCHIO 19/12/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 832.527 122.824 € 1.458.126 223.749 3 IL PRIMO NATALE 12/12/2019 ITA MEDUSA FILM S.P.A. € 674.668 101.922 € 5.259.512 846.310 4 LA DEA FORTUNA 19/12/2019 ITA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 496.700 71.243 € 857.645 127.316 5 FROZEN II - IL SEGRETO DI ARENDELLE (FROZEN II) 27/11/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 258.090 37.503 € 15.681.202 2.445.020 6 LAST CHRISTMAS 19/12/2019 GBR UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 228.446 32.274 € 432.150 63.318 7 CENA CON DELITTO - KNIVES OUT 05/12/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 182.392 25.189 € 3.081.662 480.150 8 L'IMMORTALE 05/12/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 101.235 13.993 € 5.472.937 808.746 9 UN GIORNO DI PIOGGIA A NEW YORK (A RAINY DAY IN NEW YORK) 28/11/2019 USA LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 34.479 4.801 € 3.074.988 481.545 10 PAW PATROL MIGHTY PUPS - IL FILM DEI SUPER CUCCIOLI 21/12/2019 CAN ADLER ENTERTAINMENT S.R.L. € 33.138 5.004 € 33.138 5.004