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edroger3

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Everything posted by edroger3

  1. Disney says 8,6m$ = +/- 8M euro so 3,2/3,4 today seems real. My UCI had 24 (+6 vs sat) screenings with 18 (+8 vs sat) soldout. I could think more... we'll see.
  2. WW 358+380=738 OS 228+220=450 Week2 OS outside Jap+Chi+SK=134m
  3. Sun 24 Sun 01 Blue (50%-) 88 shows 54 shows (all the 30 night shows) Orange (50%+) 33 shows 17 shows Red (80%+) 63 shows 90 shows Soldout 23 shows Average saturation (assuming 25%/65%/90%/100%) = 70%
  4. Update: in evening all screens 90%+ sold or soldout. New screens added for tomorrow. 24 screening today. They have faith.
  5. F1 REAL F2 EST/REAL ADM (K) $$(K) ADM (K) $$(K) TOT 2.439 29.532 3.158 37.976 FRI 244 2.170 234 2.782 SAT 290 3.619 610 7.669 SUN 319 3.941 600 7.346 MON 99 1.243 145 1.781 TUE 107 1.348 91 1.120 WED 214 2.694 154 1.883 THR 133 1.675 84 1.035 FRI 339 4.312 108 1.323 SAT 335 4.242 422 5.175 SUN 359 4.288 700 7.875 Done. Other, seeing a lot of soldout on Toho at 24.00 (1st Sunday was zero) I have 700K adm (obviously with lower TP). Could be the biggest mimorin number ever. I repeat: could be, not will be.
  6. F1 REAL F2 EST/REAL ADM (K) $$(K) ADM (K) $$(K) TOT 2.439 29.532 3.108 37.428 FRI 244 2.170 227 2.782 SAT 290 3.619 626 7.669 SUN 319 3.941 600 7.346 MON 99 1.243 145 1.781 TUE 107 1.348 91 1.120 WED 214 2.694 154 1.883 THR 133 1.675 84 1.035 FRI 339 4.312 108 1.323 SAT 335 4.242 422 5.175 SUN 359 4.288 650 7.313
  7. Should be Sat 2x - Sun 3x but we have the 5-days start so... BTW, the words "Frozen" and "Unpredictable" have the same meaning. I wouldn't be surprised by a Sunday at 3M+but also by one at 2M.
  8. I'm not speaking about you but about the Cinetel service, probably the thing that works the better in italian cinema.......
  9. In a perfect world we have a Cinetel in every country. Actuals for free every morning.
  10. I have (not less than) 690 / (maybe) 760 WW (290/300 + 400/460) - 10 days, but it is very very very just a prediction. No actuals for too many market. If Sat morning Disney give numbers as last week did, we know better.
  11. Toho Presales: Sat from-30 to-40% / Sun "To infinite and beyond"
  12. Let It Go Do You Want to Build A Snowman? (with movie sequence) Show Yourself Lost In The Woods All Is Found For The First Time In Forever / For The First a Time In Forever (Reprise) The others
  13. Yeah, that 12th December early slot was basically perfect. Maybe the late November slot is a bad one for animation, as edroger3 said - see The Grinch last year. At this point I just hope F2 follows that movie's pattern, as that would mean a 7.4M opening. Italy is a very complicated market, but in the other side of the moon, "Disney is always in right". In USA to move F2 a week before thanksgiving was criticized: now they could have 300+ in ten days, (I2, the biggest animation ever there, did 350/10 days in summer opening and ended over 600 while TLK this year had a similar frame but ended well under I2). They maybe hope for a Christmas rise? It's a big risk because basing on potential and anticipation, Italy could become the worst (cinematic) market worldwide for F2. Speaking of hopes, screenings in my UCI rise again to 18 sat / 17 sun (2 soldout!).
  14. Yes, 460 coming from actuals other are predictions.
  15. We haven't any international update but I have 480-500 before friday. 100M only USA+ JAP +KOR+ CHI. Then 30+ mkt in play.
  16. Frozen 1 Weekly 1-24 admissions & $$ Total $$ Weekend $$ Weekdays $$ Total Weekend Weekdays 1 9.731.256 7.561.022 2.170.234 854.620 610.223 244.397 2 19.804.809 8.530.881 11.273.929 1.590.429 695.939 894.489 3 22.008.694 8.576.294 13.432.400 1.895.709 691.156 1.204.553 4 23.547.541 8.238.064 15.309.477 2.012.243 642.545 1.369.698 5 15.544.116 8.260.754 7.283.362 1.213.578 681.079 532.498 6 13.899.679 8.055.037 5.844.642 1.112.632 628.220 484.412 7 14.057.783 7.558.442 6.499.341 1.045.515 624.355 421.160 8 25.776.817 11.072.920 14.703.898 1.927.531 849.699 1.077.832 9 23.212.918 7.239.665 15.973.254 1.849.336 567.923 1.281.413 10 9.942.212 4.643.781 5.298.431 776.654 381.631 395.023 11 12.791.442 3.971.395 8.820.047 1.040.368 305.219 735.149 12 12.661.704 3.566.583 9.095.121 956.007 257.858 698.149 13 12.333.527 3.377.101 8.956.427 1.061.699 262.971 798.729 14 8.774.768 2.395.929 6.378.839 691.872 213.511 478.360 15 6.360.837 1.921.535 4.439.302 479.506 145.871 333.634 16 5.478.359 1.540.940 3.937.419 426.996 130.590 296.406 17 4.183.006 1.064.999 3.118.007 349.469 93.582 255.887 18 2.654.852 729.301 1.925.551 219.171 60.857 158.314 19 2.059.908 468.582 1.591.326 180.299 44.469 135.831 20 1.766.134 270.811 1.495.323 167.597 25.540 142.056 21 943.821 227.006 716.815 85.021 20.940 64.081 22 655.471 95.206 560.265 52.697 7.147 45.549 23 560.276 161.815 398.460 42.060 12.148 29.913 24 202.070 42.746 159.324 15.169 3.209 11.961 Frozen 1 Daily 1-164 admissions & $$ (properly reformatted) Adm Total Gross day $ 20.047.455 $ 248.968.990 1 fri 244.397 $ 2.170.234 2 sat 290.408 $ 3.619.296 3 sun 319.816 $ 3.941.726 4 mon 99.136 $ 1.243.167 5 tue 107.497 $ 1.348.015 6 wed 214.890 $ 2.694.723 7 thr 133.871 $ 1.675.384 8 fri 339.095 $ 4.312.640 9 sat 335.947 $ 4.242.336 10 sun 359.992 $ 4.288.545 11 mon 152.026 $ 1.702.688 12 tue 185.879 $ 2.021.818 13 wed 448.498 $ 5.023.178 14 thr 218.661 $ 2.449.366 15 fri 199.488 $ 2.235.352 16 sat 292.174 $ 3.608.346 17 sun 398.982 $ 4.967.948 18 mon 211.788 $ 2.367.214 19 tue 363.082 $ 4.058.264 20 wed 386.733 $ 4.322.615 21 thr 207.413 $ 2.318.312 22 fri 200.682 $ 2.243.073 23 sat 310.022 $ 3.921.090 24 sun 332.523 $ 4.316.974 25 mon 120.557 $ 1.648.943 26 tue 82.862 $ 1.133.360 27 wed 192.048 $ 2.626.781 28 thr 61.766 $ 844.821 29 fri 75.265 $ 1.029.456 30 sat 312.551 $ 3.790.902 31 sun 368.529 $ 4.469.852 32 mon 115.724 $ 1.396.747 33 tue 57.602 $ 695.231 34 wed 175.672 $ 2.120.298 35 thr 56.539 $ 680.361 36 fri 78.876 $ 952.005 37 sat 283.405 $ 3.633.819 38 sun 344.815 $ 4.421.218 39 mon 71.010 $ 1.095.826 40 tue 57.270 $ 883.791 41 wed 172.815 $ 2.666.881 42 thr 52.980 $ 817.587 43 fri 67.085 $ 1.035.256 44 sat 280.505 $ 3.395.794 45 sun 343.850 $ 4.162.648 46 mon 124.246 $ 1.694.974 47 tue 403.750 $ 5.508.000 48 wed 197.325 $ 2.691.922 49 thr 233.966 $ 3.191.789 50 fri 118.546 $ 1.617.214 51 sat 391.837 $ 5.106.255 52 sun 457.862 $ 5.966.665 53 mon 559.027 $ 6.883.985 54 tue 439.884 $ 5.678.603 55 wed 152.224 $ 1.797.690 56 thr 59.903 $ 741.650 57 fri 70.376 $ 871.325 58 sat 266.403 $ 3.397.337 59 sun 301.520 $ 3.842.328 60 mon 76.162 $ 1.019.244 61 tue 63.391 $ 850.719 62 wed 189.732 $ 2.546.250 63 thr 65.738 $ 882.219 64 fri 76.092 $ 1.024.319 65 sat 305.539 $ 3.619.462 66 sun 365.719 $ 4.332.367 67 mon 86.811 $ 1.054.549 68 tue 66.520 $ 808.052 69 wed 160.389 $ 1.948.342 70 thr 55.710 $ 676.737 71 fri 74.919 $ 910.087 72 sat 230.300 $ 3.061.309 73 sun 286.346 $ 3.806.302 74 mon 140.332 $ 1.802.436 75 tue 57.904 $ 743.726 76 wed 156.927 $ 2.015.159 77 thr 56.641 $ 727.499 78 fri 68.109 $ 874.797 79 sat 189.749 $ 2.691.786 80 sun 459.311 $ 4.770.347 81 mon 131.050 $ 1.619.124 82 tue 45.131 $ 556.067 83 wed 117.526 $ 1.447.693 84 thr 45.710 $ 563.196 85 fri 61.158 $ 753.532 86 sat 201.813 $ 2.623.569 87 sun 240.127 $ 3.157.655 88 mon 67.596 $ 913.968 89 tue 40.619 $ 549.216 90 wed 94.679 $ 1.280.160 91 thr 35.340 $ 477.840 92 fri 39.472 $ 533.712 93 sat 174.039 $ 1.862.217 94 sun 152.169 $ 1.985.686 95 mon 49.420 $ 668.208 96 tue 29.646 $ 400.848 97 wed 75.409 $ 1.019.616 98 thr 26.991 $ 364.944 99 fri 35.138 $ 475.104 100 sat 110.733 $ 1.446.431 101 sun 162.794 $ 2.126.460 102 mon 33.923 $ 467.581 103 tue 21.793 $ 295.521 104 wed 55.954 $ 752.688 105 thr 21.943 $ 295.169 106 fri 24.089 $ 324.047 107 sat 106.500 $ 1.216.893 108 sun 130.275 $ 1.488.414 109 mon 23.457 $ 304.317 110 tue 43.391 $ 562.929 111 wed 40.287 $ 522.657 112 thr 18.476 $ 239.689 113 fri 19.934 $ 258.612 114 sat 73.648 $ 806.387 115 sun 90.007 $ 985.503 116 mon 15.154 $ 208.556 117 tue 11.987 $ 164.961 118 wed 28.188 $ 387.929 119 thr 12.978 $ 178.601 120 fri 13.849 $ 190.593 121 sat 47.008 $ 538.707 122 sun 69.453 $ 807.397 123 mon 15.252 $ 180.125 124 tue 11.392 $ 134.542 125 wed 27.268 $ 322.043 126 thr 12.465 $ 147.219 127 fri 15.431 $ 182.245 128 sat 29.037 $ 286.336 129 sun 48.811 $ 481.321 130 mon 42.460 $ 418.699 131 tue 11.938 $ 139.937 132 wed 25.982 $ 304.556 133 thr 12.866 $ 150.810 134 fri 10.902 $ 127.794 135 sat 14.638 $ 143.018 136 sun 17.593 $ 171.884 137 mon 8.467 $ 99.254 138 tue 9.275 $ 108.723 139 wed 19.874 $ 232.966 140 thr 8.871 $ 103.988 141 fri 11.486 $ 134.633 142 sat 9.455 $ 92.373 143 sun 13.094 $ 127.927 144 mon 6.089 $ 81.107 145 tue 6.107 $ 81.356 146 wed 13.363 $ 178.007 147 thr 6.897 $ 91.868 148 fri 3.482 $ 46.382 149 sat 3.665 $ 48.824 150 sun 4.705 $ 62.674 151 mon 3.344 $ 44.539 152 tue 4.245 $ 56.546 153 wed 8.583 $ 114.337 154 thr 9.036 $ 120.365 155 fri 6.998 $ 93.213 156 sat 5.150 $ 68.602 157 sun 4.275 $ 56.944 158 mon 1.384 $ 18.433 159 tue 1.616 $ 21.522 160 wed 3.153 $ 41.998 161 thr 1.533 $ 20.426 162 fri 1.103 $ 14.697 163 sat 2.106 $ 28.049 164 sun 1.275 $ 16.989
  17. As I said yesterday, there aren't many tickets sold (UCI app allow to buy until some minutes after show officially starts so you can see if it is really packed or not). I think a 5-day start for a toon in november isn't a good move. Other Disney toons opens usually during Christmas holidays or a week before here. In other european market opening on wed the OD vs full W have been: France 360/2140 adm - Germany 220/1635 adm. In each comparison a full week under 6M for Italy that is similar to Spain. Here also a comparison F2/TLK opening in big Euro: Germany higher - UK similar - France and Spain lower F1 did 2,3M in W1 4 days and 6,1M in W2 4 days (2/4 holiday - 4/4 school out) Today we see way lower numbers, but no word until Monday.
  18. It seems that some afternoon screenings especially Saturday and Sunday are already full, so some projections have been added on other smaller rooms before and after the afternoon but for all the five days. I repeat again: Frozen is the atomic bomb of marketing/merchandising.
  19. Just Happened! https://www.theguardian.com/film/2019/nov/26/paris-theater-nyc-netflix-cinema-future
  20. At as Today (Week 1 all official by BOM - Week 2 estimates) Frozen 1 M$ Frozen 2 M$ F2 vs F1 Week1 M$ Week2 M$ DOM 400,74 163,89 40,90% 130,30 33,59 China 48,24 62,24 129,02% 53,38 8,86 SK 76,70 40,02 52,18% 31,97 8,05 Japan 249,04 22,84 9,17% 17,87 4,97 UK 57,92 19,40 33,49% 19,40 0 Germany 48,29 15,30 31,69% 15,30 0 France 46,94 14,27 30,40% 14,27 0 Mexico 25,73 8,63 33,54% 8,63 0 Indonesia 2,77 6,25 225,63% 6,25 0 Philippines 2,69 6,19 230,06% 6,19 0 Spain 22,49 5,90 26,23% 5,90 0 Taiwan 1,50 3,34 222,67% 3,34 0 Poland 7,35 3,20 43,53% 3,20 0 India 0,60 3,12 520,00% 3,12 0 Malaysia 3,62 3,09 85,39% 3,09 0 Thailand 1,45 2,36 162,76% 2,36 0 Netherl. 10,51 2,30 21,89% 2,30 0 Turkey 4,73 2,22 46,91% 2,22 0 Belgium 7,93 2,16 27,25% 2,16 0 HK 2,58 2,07 80,24% 2,07 0 Singapore 3,84 1,88 48,94% 1,88 0 Switzerland 4,28 1,77 41,36% 1,77 0 Austria 5,29 1,65 31,19% 1,65 0 Czech Rep. 1,56 1,54 98,72% 1,54 0 Vietnam 0,88 1,47 167,05% 1,47 0 Ukraine 2,87 1,39 48,50% 1,39 0 Colombia 6,27 1,36 21,70% 1,36 0 Hungary 2,05 0,77 37,58% 0,77 0 Portugal 3,01 0,70 23,26% 0,70 0 Slovakia 1,21 0,56 46,28% 0,56 0 Croatia 0,50 0,35 70,00% 0,35 0 Slovenia 0,45 0,23 51,11% 0,23 0 Iceland 0,35 0,13 37,14% 0,13 0 Russia 33,44 - 0,00% - 0 Australia 26,70 - 0,00% - 0 Italy 26,42 - 0,00% - 0 Brazil 21,74 - 0,00% - 0 Venezuela 12,51 - 0,00% - 0 Argentina 11,55 - 0,00% - 0 Sweden 9,74 - 0,00% - 0 Denmark 7,77 - 0,00% - 0 Norway 7,53 - 0,00% - 0 Chile 5,23 - 0,00% - 0 NewZel 4,43 - 0,00% - 0 Peru 3,41 - 0,00% - 0 EAU 3,14 - 0,00% - 0 SAFR 2,66 - 0,00% - 0 Finland 2,51 - 0,00% - 0 Ecuador 2,48 - 0,00% - 0 Israel 2,34 - 0,00% - 0 Greece 2,18 - 0,00% - 0 Other 36,34 11,08 30,49% 11,08 0 Total 1.276,48 413,67 32,41% 358,20 55,47 Based on F2 vs F1 Frozen 1 M$ Frozen 2 M$ F2 vs F1 Week 1 M$ Week 2 M$ India 0,60 3,12 520,00% 3,12 0 Philippines 2,69 6,19 230,06% 6,19 0 Indonesia 2,77 6,25 225,63% 6,25 0 Taiwan 1,50 3,34 222,67% 3,34 0 Vietnam 0,88 1,47 167,05% 1,47 0 Thailand 1,45 2,36 162,76% 2,36 0 China 48,24 62,24 129,02% 53,38 8,86 Czech Rep. 1,56 1,54 98,72% 1,54 0 Malaysia 3,62 3,09 85,39% 3,09 0 HK 2,58 2,07 80,24% 2,07 0 Croatia 0,50 0,35 70,00% 0,35 0 SK 76,70 40,02 52,18% 31,97 8,05 Slovenia 0,45 0,23 51,11% 0,23 0 Singapore 3,84 1,88 48,94% 1,88 0 Ukraine 2,87 1,39 48,50% 1,39 0 Turkey 4,73 2,22 46,91% 2,22 0 Slovakia 1,21 0,56 46,28% 0,56 0 Poland 7,35 3,20 43,53% 3,20 0 Switzerland 4,28 1,77 41,36% 1,77 0 DOM 400,74 163,89 40,90% 130,30 33,59 Hungary 2,05 0,77 37,58% 0,77 0 Iceland 0,35 0,13 37,14% 0,13 0 Mexico 25,73 8,63 33,54% 8,63 0 UK 57,92 19,40 33,49% 19,40 0 Germany 48,29 15,30 31,69% 15,30 0 Austria 5,29 1,65 31,19% 1,65 0 France 46,94 14,27 30,40% 14,27 0 Belgium 7,93 2,16 27,25% 2,16 0 Spain 22,49 5,90 26,23% 5,90 0 Portugal 3,01 0,70 23,26% 0,70 0 Netherl. 10,51 2,30 21,89% 2,30 0 Colombia 6,27 1,36 21,70% 1,36 0 Japan 249,04 22,84 9,17% 17,87 4,97
  21. Frozen 1 M$ Frozen 2 M$ F2 vs F1 Week1 M$ Week2 M$ DOM 400,74 163,89 40,90% 130,30 33,59 China 48,24 62,24 129,02% 53,38 8,86 SK 76,70 40,02 52,18% 31,97 8,05 Japan 249,04 22,84 9,17% 17,87 4,97 UK 57,92 19,40 33,49% 19,40 - Germany 48,29 15,30 31,69% 15,30 - France 46,94 14,27 30,40% 14,27 - Mexico 25,73 8,63 33,54% 8,63 - Indonesia 2,77 6,25 225,63% 6,25 - Philippines 2,69 6,19 230,06% 6,19 - Spain 22,49 5,90 26,23% 5,90 - Taiwan 1,50 3,34 222,67% 3,34 - Poland 7,35 3,20 43,53% 3,20 - India 0,60 3,12 520,00% 3,12 - Malaysia 3,62 3,09 85,39% 3,09 Thailand 1,45 2,36 162,76% 2,36 - Netherl. 10,51 2,30 21,89% 2,30 - Turkey 4,73 2,22 46,91% 2,22 - Belgium 7,93 2,16 27,25% 2,16 - HK 2,58 2,07 80,24% 2,07 - Singapore 3,84 1,88 48,94% 1,88 - Switzerland 4,28 1,77 41,36% 1,77 - Austria 5,29 1,65 31,19% 1,65 - Czech Rep. 1,56 1,54 98,72% 1,54 - Vietnam 0,88 1,47 167,05% 1,47 - Ukraine 2,87 1,39 48,50% 1,39 - Colombia 6,27 1,36 21,70% 1,36 - Hungary 2,05 0,77 37,58% 0,77 - Portugal 3,01 0,70 23,26% 0,70 - Slovakia 1,21 0,56 46,28% 0,56 - Croatia 0,50 0,35 70,00% 0,35 - Slovenia 0,45 0,23 51,11% 0,23 - Iceland 0,35 0,13 37,14% 0,13 - Russia 33,44 - 0,00% - - Australia 26,70 - 0,00% - - Italy 26,42 - 0,00% - - Brazil 21,74 - 0,00% - - Venezuela 12,51 - 0,00% - - Argentina 11,55 - 0,00% - - Sweden 9,74 - 0,00% - - Denmark 7,77 - 0,00% - - Norway 7,53 - 0,00% - - Chile 5,23 - 0,00% - - NewZel 4,43 - 0,00% - - Peru 3,41 - 0,00% - - EAU 3,14 - 0,00% - - SAFR 2,66 - 0,00% - - Finland 2,51 - 0,00% - - Ecuador 2,48 - 0,00% - - Israel 2,34 - 0,00% - - Greece 2,18 - 0,00% - - Other 36,34 11,08 30,49% 11,08 - Total 1.276,48 413,67 32,41% 358,20 55,47
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