pepsa

Expect quite big drops this weekend and especialy next weekend cause the weather in Europe is getting sunny again...

Elemental realy dropped hard after the extremely strong holidays (expected) but then never recovered, if it didn't free fall in the weeks after 3m might have been on the table, that said 2.55m is an amazing result! almost a 13 multi from a 4-day OW

Didn't expect oppenheim to play out like this at all. One of its worst preforming markets, quite sad.

Does anyone know how high the CGV ended today? Was it close to 70k and a big drops in CGV ratio compared to yesterday or did it have a bad evening in walkups?

Looking like a 70k ish CGV finish today, around 165k admission I would guess.

553k OD and ATP doesn't seem to be incredibly high. It will be up to legs to get this movie to a nice total. Hopefully walks ups will be much better tomorrow.

I haven't seen the runrate yet but only adding 37k by 14h20 is a very slow pace. Maybe a CGV finish close to 240k?

This CGV starts locks an OW over $20m (2.3m admission) IMO, historical drama shoudn't be frontloaded so hoping for closer to 2.6m start although it would need a good weekend for that. EDIT: To clearify, i am NOT challenging / daring the boxoffice god to give this movie Avatar PS multies, not in the slightest!

Also important to note that Europe had better weather this weekend (after a few rainy weeks), meaning drops are much harder than they would be going from a rainy week to a rainy week, or a suny week to a suny week.

I am happy the conversation here is about 1B / 900m + for oppenheimer because anything under $900m seems very unlikely by this point.

Elemental down a bit over 50% from thursday before the winterholidays started

I love how Europes boxoffice holds are more about the weather than anything else

There is no way Barbie is as frontloaded as HP or HG let alone TL, it should be looking at a multi atleast over 3x.

It will be close for Barbie but it should clear the 1m admission mark on OW. It had very small increase compared to friday, basicly flat. A small sunday bump should get it over 1m. It will do elementals first 4 weeks in 4 days, absolutely crazy. Elemental still in 2nd, saw a small increase over friday, sunday should be strong enough to get the weekend over 250k. Although it clearly was affected by Barbie (seeing as tuesday was 80k, 15-20k higher than friday and sat), it still held very well. Mario isn't safe and this might be the contender for Barbie for the top of the year. Asuming both this movie and Barbie don't fall off a cliff after schools are back in. Oppenheimer enjoyed the biggest increase, should get to / over 170k for OW, very good for this type of movie. It should barely beat out dunkirk in $ gross but that movie only managed a 2.4x multie from OW. If this holds decenlty it should manage a atleast 500k admission. Like @salvador-232 said, the site I use is currently reporting 5-6 earlier than usual so numbers aren't 100% accurate. In 16 hours I will leave on vacation so no more updates for 2 weeks, but I am sure there are enough enthousiastic people in this thread that will keep you guys/girls informed on 2 of the biggest runs this year! # Título Friday Accumulated 1 Barbie 243.308 746.223 2 Elementos 65.583 1.869.888 3 Oppenheimmer 44.577 116.742

Also the cumulative number of Elemental is higher than the added dailies over the past 2 days so either the dallie grosses are under reported or they adjusting grosses from last week. (we are talking about 4k ish for the last 2 day, so nothing big)

Another great day, jumps are smaller, but seems normal with all schools being out. I wonder how much the movies will jump on Saturday and Sunday. Barbie did gross less than OD although its basicly even, curious if it will jump over the weekend. # Título Friday Accumulated 1 Barbie 242.883 502.915 2 Elementos 61.846 1.804.305 3 Oppenheimmer 38.101 72.165

We all knew she was comming, and goddamm she did not disappoint! I mean a 260.032 admission OD is very very good, this should definitly get Barbie over 1.1m admission by sunday. Should be good for a $5.7m + OW. With a 1.1m + OW it should be able to beat Mario 'unless it drops off a cliff'. Great news for Elemental, even though it defintly got affected by Barbie it still had an amazing day. Thursday is up 63% from last week. It should atleast manage a 250k weekend for a total close to 1.95m by Sunday. The fact that its the clear number 2 movie should make it hold screens and showing well and beating Mario seems very likely now. I would say a good opening day for Oppenheimmer, should try for a 150k weekend might get close to $1m if it gets 150k admission. The top 10 was good for 398.5k admission so the market is looking at a weekend at close to or over 2m admission. # Título Thursday (OD) Accumulated 1 Barbie 260.032 260.032 2 Elementos 54.744 1.739.814 3 Oppenheimmer 34.064 34.064 4 La noche del demonio: la puerta roja 18.820 504.800 5 Mision Impossible: sentencia mortal parte uno 11.192 228.342 6 Kraken y Sirenas: Conoce a los Gillman 6.350 192.195 7 Spider Man: A traves del Spider Verso 4.866 889.907 8 Transformers: el despertar de las Bestias 4.464 822.608 9 Indiana Jones y el llamado del destino 4.059 383.948 10 Super Mario Bros. La pelicula 3.708 2.900.368

Well I do think we will see the damage this weekend, the jumps for Elemental are a lot weaker than last week. Looking at presalles we can expect the same on saturday. With a 140% jump vs 200% we would still have a 20-25% ish lower saturday even if friday starts flat or a bit up on last week. The big factor also is the CGV ratio is almost 50% vs it being 41-43% in previous weeks.

This movie has some amazing, breathtaking,exhilarating scenes that are top Nolan at its finest, maybe top cinema. But they are to few and far between. The overall movie feels to much as a disjointed documentary then a movie. I felt this mostly in the first hour of the movie. The movie could have used a few more fleshed out characters beside RDJ and Cillian Murphy. I like the last 2 hours quite a bit more and this is by no means a bad movie, but man if it had matched the hights this movie showed this could have been the movie of the last 2 decades. B+

I am curious how much admission this market can handle at once, Elemental is easly doubling MI7 and Incidious in admission so it should be positioned the best to survive the enslaught. Hopefully the damage by Barbenheimer is limited and the market can sustain the upcomming crazyness.

Elemental goes thermonuclear!! Going out with an atomic bang before the arival of the pink prometheus known as Barbie With 125.934 admission on Wednesday it has its biggest day to date yet, bigger than the 2 national holidays after its OW. Having its biggest day in its 35th day in release, all I can say is I am speechless.

Holidays in full force for Elemental, last weeks weekdays already saw bumps of 75-180% jumps from the week before and now we are seeing these jumps again (more schools being out). Tuesday is as strong as opening sunday. Elemental seems to be making full use of the the last few Barbenheimer free days. But even with a big drop its hard to see the next weekend (thursday - sunday) below 180k with crazy strong weekdays. We might go in to the weekend with 1.65m, ending the weekend with 1.8m seems quite certain now. Will blow past 2m, 2.5m seems extremly doable and with a decent hold this weekend 3m might be back on the menu even with an amazing Barbie launch. We could be in for a crazy high admission weekend, I think 1m + for the top 5 should be doable. Thu 13/07 33.599 +277.2 1.232.590 Fri 14/07 39.546 +77% 1.272.136 Sat 15/07 63.278 +19.5% 1.335.414 Sun 16/07 72.713 +4.9% 1.408.127 Mon 17/07 65.177 +163% 1.473.304 Tue 18/07 80.320 +117.7% 1.553.624

Movies that attract a more female audience tend to have better legs in South Korea. It would be interesting to see what the EGG score would be for females only. That said there are ofc also female centric movies that are frontloaded, but the score given by women seems good so lets wait a few days, or alteast one more before throwing out legs for this movie. Ofc not attracting very few male audience will hurt it a bit but where are not trying for 7-10m admission where this might really start to come in to play.

I mean this has everything to get over 1B it seems like. Even with Asia being a bit more muted LA and Europe seem to be able to match / get close to Mario numbers.

Another week, another great weekend for Elemental! Because of the sronger than usual weekdays Elemental managed to increase 36.2% over last weekend. (Weekend: TFSS) Both Saturday (+19.5%) and Sunday (+4.9%) also saw a small week to week gain. Sunday is usualy the strongest day of the week and saw the smallest increase. If Elemental's weekdays can match those from last week it should add another 135k ish in the next 3 days for a 1.54m total before the OW of Barbenheimer. If it wasn't for Barbie this movie could have had an insane over 3m run off an 198k 4-day OW. Should still easly get over 2m, lets see how close it gets to Mario. I had hoped for a better Sat and Sun jump for MI7, OW not bad if it didn't have Barbenheimer on its tail, might be hard to beat MI:F Funny to see Mario re-enter the top 10 after being gone, good WOM + kids movies benifiting more from schools being out definitly played a factor. # Título Thu-Sun Accumulated 1 Elementos 209.136 1.408.127 2 La noche del demonio: la puerta roja 136.868 387.066 3 Mision Impossible: sentencia mortal parte uno 134.561 134.561 4 Indiana Jones y el llamado del destino 48.215 338.572 5 Kraken y Sirenas: Conoce a los Gillman 37.531 133.135 6 Transformers: el despertar de las Bestias 36.621 776.651 7 Casi muerta 29.277 95.228 8 Spider Man: A traves del Spider Verso 27.075 847.818 9 Super Mario Bros. La pelicula 19.262 2.867.601 10 La Sirenita 17.685 1.313.097