Hilderic

I guess I've made my peace with the DOM OW numbers for WSS, as they are at least within the $10-15M range suggested by tracking (though the very low end). On the other hand, OS numbers are just plain horrific. Yes, I agree that Sondheim isn't a household name here in Europe (I'd never heard of Into the Woods until they announced a film adaptation), but West Side Story is a very famous musical and Spielberg a very famous director. These are the markets left (per IMDb): Croatia, Spain, Hong Kong, Italy, Australia, Iceland, Singapore.

You say it like it's a bad thing.

I was hoping for more than $7M total for Belfast.

8 years, actually. Time flies.

Belfast is a crowd-pleaser (it won the People's Choice Award at TIFF). Spencer, despite the mainstream subject matter, is an art house oddity.

Not really. The Queen's popularity in the UK is consistently above 70%, with recent peaks above 80%. Support for the monarchy as an institution is also stable, according to the latest Ipsos MORI poll (they've been tracking it since 1993 and there's been little change over nearly 30 years: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/monarchyroyal-family-trends-monarchy-v-republic-1993-2016). Support for a republic is at only 18% in the most recent poll I can find (Redfield), exactly the same as in 1993. Unsurprisingly, support for a republic is highest among the very young, as has always been the case: many of them will probably change their mind as they grow older, just as many of their parents, grandparents and great-grandparents did.

As promised: Update: In its tenth weekend, Aladdin grossed $3,039,648. The following is the only film released in May or June (since 2001 and excluding re-expansions) that grossed between $2.5M and $3.5M in its tenth weekend, and how much it added from that point onwards: The Hangover ($3,369,178): $15,343,172 If Aladdin follows The Hangover, its final gross will be $361,523,406. Multiplier: The Hangover: 4.67 If Aladdin follows The Hangover, its final gross will be $360,383,291. Including films released in May or June (since 2001) that grossed between $2M and $4M: Finding Nemo ($3,860,462): $19,694,218 Shrek 2 ($2,316,663): $11,784,953 Incredibles 2 ($2,302,020): $14,480,876 Wonder Woman ($2,286,334): $13,130,995 Shrek ($2,275,232): $15,742,819 Spider-Man ($2,204,636): $3,648,018 Marvel's The Avengers ($2,168,124): $12,230,026 Worst-case scenario (if Aladdin follows Spider-Man) $349,828,252. Again, this is all but impossible. Worst-case scenario excluding Spider-Man (if Aladdin follows Shrek 2): $357,965,187. Best-case scenario (if Aladdin follows Finding Nemo): $365,874,452. Finding Nemo is still well ahead, so this remains a tall order. Not wholly impossible, however. Best-case scenario excluding Finding Nemo (if Aladdin follows Shrek): $361,923,053. Multipliers: Finding Nemo: 5.10 Shrek 2: 5.09 Incredibles 2: 6.29 Wonder Woman: 5.74 Shrek: 6.92 Spider-Man: 1.65 Marvel's The Avengers: 5.64 Worst-case scenario excluding Spider-Man (if Aladdin follows Shrek 2): $361,643,039. Best-case scenario (if Aladdin follows Shrek): $367,212,211. Overall range: $357M to $367M.

I am a week late with this, but I am posting it anyway. I shall add weekend 10 soon. Update: In its ninth weekend, Aladdin grossed $4,085,424. These are all the films released in May or June (since 2001) that grossed between $3.5M and $4.5M in their ninth weekend, and how much they added from that point onwards: Marvel's The Avengers ($4,421,671): $16,853,166 Finding Nemo ($4,391,650): $26,595,080 Shrek ($3,603,843): $20,384,436 If Aladdin follows Marvel's The Avengers, its final gross will be $357,179,304. If Aladdin follows Finding Nemo, its final gross will be $366,921,218. If Aladdin follows Shrek, its final gross will be $360,710,574. Multipliers: Marvel's The Avengers: 3.81 Finding Nemo: 6.05 Shrek: 5.66 If Aladdin follows Marvel's The Avengers, its final gross will be $355,897,701. If Aladdin follows Finding Nemo, its final gross will be $365,066,765. If Aladdin follows Shrek, its final gross will be $363,434,543. Range: $355M to $366M. It should be noted, however, that Finding Nemo had better weekdays and, looking ahead at its weekend 10 drop, it appears that its late run may be out of reach for Aladdin. Including films released in May or June (since 2001) that grossed between $3M and $5M: Incredibles 2 ($3,429,388): $18,809,756 Wonder Woman ($3,340,667): $17,319,035 Shrek 2 ($3,230,786): $16,214,601 Spider-Man ($3,130,214): $7,831,904 Worst-case scenario (if Aladdin follows Spider-Man): $348,158,042. I think it is fair to exclude this, as Aladdin will be there by the end of this week. Worst-case scenario excluding Spider-Man (if Aladdin follows Shrek 2): $356,540,739. Best-case scenario (if Aladdin follows Incredibles 2): $359,135,894. Multipliers: Incredibles 2: 5.48 Wonder Woman: 5.18 Shrek 2: 5.02 Spider-Man: 2.50 Worst-case scenario excluding Spider-Man (if Aladdin follows Shrek 2): $360,829,978. Best-case scenario (if Aladdin follows Incredibles 2): $362,734,167. Range: $356M to $362M.

It seems that Aladdin (unusually for a Disney release) was hurt rather than helped by the arrival of a new Disney film. Of course, Toy Story 4 (perhaps also Avengers: Endgame) may be the reason why this happened, but Disney has been able to "help" multiple films simultaneously before. I wonder whether the "Disney effect" might materialise next week, as it did with Beauty and the Beast (which dropped -25.5% when Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 opened, but then -5.5% a week later).

Update: In its eighth weekend, Aladdin grossed $6,173,124. These are all the films released in May or June (since 2001) that grossed between $5.6M an d $6.6M in their eighth weekend, and how much they added from that point onwards: The Hangover ($6,461,370): $30,248,737 Shrek ($6,007,027): $27,104,852 If Aladdin follows The Hangover, its final gross will be $362,038,581. If Aladdin follows Shrek, its final gross will be $358,894,696. For those who prefer multipliers, these are the multipliers of the above films (gross added after eighth weekend in relation to eighth weekend gross): The Hangover: 4.68 Shrek: 4.51 If Aladdin follows The Hangover, its final gross will be $360,680,064. If Aladdin follows Shrek, its final gross will be $359,630,633. All in all, a fairly narrow range: $358M to $362M. As the above sample is so small, it may be of interest to add the films released in May or June (since 2001) that grossed between $4.6M an d $7.6M in their eighth weekend, and how much they added from that point onwards (though the comparison is inevitably going to be less precise): Finding Nemo ($7,275,723): $35,919,258 Marvel's The Avengers ($7,177,661): $24,932,468 Incredibles 2 ($4,980,232): $25,469,222 Wonder Woman ($4,608,028): $23,552,101 On the basis of the above, the worst-case scenario is $355,341,945 (if Aladdin follows Wonder Woman) and the best-case scenario is $367,709,102 (if it follows Finding Nemo). Multipliers: Finding Nemo: 4.94 Marvel's The Avengers: 3.47 Incredibles 2: 5.11 Wonder Woman: 5.11 On the basis of the above, the worst-case scenario is $353,210,584 (if Aladdin follows Marvel's The Avengers) and the best-case scenario is $363,334,507 (if it follows Incredibles 2 and Wonder Woman). All in all, a broader range: $353M to $367M.

Aladdin has now passed Alice in Wonderland.

Some data that may be of interest to determine Aladdin's final gross: In its sixth weekend, Aladdin grossed $10,114,122. These are all the films released in May or June (since 2001) that grossed between $9.5M and $10.5M in their sixth weekend, and how much they added from that point onwards: Shrek ($10,405,731): $52,432,994 Spider-Man ($10,311,062): $33,278,192 Shrek 2 ($10,216,452): $44,443,712 The Hangover ($9,933,238): $54,877,597 Wonder Woman ($9,822,105): $44,090,112 On the basis of the above, the worst-case scenario is $339,910,260 (if Aladdin follows Spider-Man) and the best-case scenario is $361,509,665 (if it follows The Hangover). If The Hangover is to be excluded because of the different genre and audience, then the best-case scenario is $359,065,062 (if Aladdin follows Shrek). In its seventh weekend, Aladdin grossed $7,515,649. These are all the films released in May or June (since 2001) that grossed between $7M and $8M in their seventh weekend, and how much they added from that point onwards: Shrek ($7,707,203): $39,522,882 Spider-Man ($7,515,984): $21,168,706 Incredibles 2 ($7,257,113): $35,700,983 Jurassic World ($7,181,175): $28,186,675 On the basis of the above, the worst-case scenario is $341,873,971 (again, if Aladdin follows Spider-Man) and the best-case scenario is $360,228,147 (again, if it follows Shrek).

Aladdin officially becomes the highest grossing Memorial Day release of all time (unadjusted, of course), beating Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull. Fun fact: Aladdin's seventh weekend ($7,515,649) is the highest seventh weekend ever for a Memorial Day release (again, unadjusted). This particular record had so far been held (for 36 years!) by Return of the Jedi ($7,337,926).

Halle and her sister released this mixtape in 2017: https://genius.com/albums/Chloe-x-halle/The-two-of-us I guess it was destiny.

After having some fun with the "adjuster" function on BOM, I have realised that, among Memorial Day weekend openers, Aladdin's run is closest to those of... the first two Mission: Impossible films. I know, I know, different genres and different times, but, leaving aside the first two days of the M: I films (they both opened on a Wednesday), I think the comparison is worth posting: Weekends: Aladdin M: I (adjusted) M: I II (adjusted) 1 (3 days) $91,500,929 $92,621,200 $96,695,000 1 (4 days) $116,805,962 $115,808,300 $118,377,400 2 $42,840,544 $44,090,600 $45,160,400 3 $24,680,968 $29,888,300 $28,804,200 4 $17,309,154 $17,549,200 $18,992,900 5 $13,244,015 $13,134,900 $12,684,900 Full weeks: Aladdin M: I (adjusted) M: I II (adjusted) 1 $142,697,174 $137,454,500 $138,244,200 2 $65,188,752 $62,451,200 $62,072,800 3 $38,848,388 $41,335,000 $40,757,100 4 $28,575,814 $27,216,300 $26,883,100 5 $21,207,818 $19,654,100 $18,175,600 After the end of week 5, M: I added another $44M (adjusted). If Aladdin follows it, its final gross will be $340M. After the end of week 5, M: I II added another $39M (adjusted). If Aladdin follows it, its final gross will be $335M. As for family films released in late May (but not on Memorial Day weekend), the non-adjusted runs of Shrek and Up (starting from weekend 2) are worth noting: Weekends: Aladdin Shrek Up 2 $42,840,544 $42,481,425 $44,138,266 3 $24,680,968 $28,172,869 $30,762,280 4 $17,309,154 $16,520,052 $23,492,677 5 $13,244,015 $13,181,576 $13,061,737 Full weeks: Aladdin Shrek Up 2 $65,188,752 $63,650,772 $63,591,274 3 $38,848,388 $39,360,824 $46,112,546 4 $28,575,814 $24,797,052 $34,396,562 5 $21,207,818 $20,479,858 $21,122,488 After the end of week 5, Shrek added another $63M (!). However, it dropped only 21.1% in weekend 6, 25.9% in weekend 7 and 22.1% in weekend 8. The likelihood of Aladdin's mirroring its late run is probably very, very low, but, if it does, its final gross will be $359M. After the end of week 5, Up added another $35M. It was hit hard by Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs in weekend 6, dropping over 50%. Aladdin is likely to hold better (especially this weekend, as it faces no direct competition), but, if it follows Up, its final gross will be $331M.

I think the floor is higher than $500M OS at this point. It was at $375M as of last Sunday, after a $70.7M third weekend OS (OW in Japan, where it is doing very well). $680M is still $305M away though, which feels like a tall order.

Thank you very much, and sorry for the trouble.

I really hope Knightley manages to get a nomination at least. No one can deny that she's tried hard to get a second one (Atonement, The Duchess, Never Let Me Go, A Dangerous Method, Anna Karenina), albeit unsuccesfully. I admire her for not selling out.

Has this rule been abolished? I see that shorter movies have been added recently (Un Chien Andalou, La Jetée etc.). So can we now request short films and feature films shorter than 75 minutes?

Sony Classics recently bought the film:http://variety.com/2014/film/news/julianne-moores-still-alice-sony-classics-1201304171/

The Imitation Game wins the People's Choice Award at TIFF:http://www.theguardian.com/film/2014/sep/14/toronto-2014-the-imitation-game-benedict-cumberbatch-win-award

Tatum is going lead.

Real-life characters are clearly very popular and 3/5 is far from uncommon. 4/5, however, seems like a lot, although it has happened already (2004).

TMNT is now ahead of HTTYD2.

Felicity Jones is getting great reviews (which mention she's lead) for The Theory of Everything, together with Redmayne and the movie as a whole. She may have a chance, especially with what looks like a very empty category.