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Quigley

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  1. I didn't know where else to put this comment so here it goes: Back in August I predicted that Disney films that are now in play would push the studio's yearly total to $6.4B WW. It has actually reached $6.55B WW so far. It will comfortably surpass Universal's $6.9B gross (2015) for second-best. Disney currently holds the worldwide record with $7.6B. Three films remain: Nutcracker, Ralph 2 and Poppins 2. It looks like it can make about $1B from these three by the end of 2018 (NB: not from the three films in total, but only by the end of 2018). Making that into a range: $0.8–1.15B leads to a projected total of $7.35–7.7B. At the higher end of that range, Disney still has chances of breaking its own all-time record. The likelihood of this will become clearer as we approach the end of the year.
  2. Weekend 11–14/10/2018 Ranking Title Weekend admissions % change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 Venom 35,306 -47.1% 145,600 2 2 A Star Is Born 16,857 -9.1% 49,846 2 3 Smallfoot 12,756 -13.4% 56,445 3 4 Alpha 10,092 – 10,092 1 5 The Old Man & the Gun 8,260 -28.9% 26,603 2 6 Colette 5,684 – 5,684 1 7 Down a Dark Hall 4,660 – 4,660 1 8 Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation 4,294 +2.5% 215,689 14 9 The House that Jack Built [English-language Danish–French–German–Swedish] 3,967 – 3,967 1 10 Blinky Bill the Movie 3,124 +7.8% 6,481 2 Source: http://flix.gr/news/box-office-11102018.html The weekend saw the top triad remain the same as last weekend. Openers were weak, while holdovers exhibited rare stamina. Starting with the weekend's winner, 'Venom' comfortably retained its lead. What was unexpected though was its solid 47% drop. That was in the same league as 'Marvel's the Avengers' and 'Wonder Woman'. All superhero films that dropped less than 50% on their sophomore frame had a multiplier of at least 3.2x. That would send 'Venom' to a 214K-admission total – good for the year's 5th place. Anything higher than that could push it past 'Deadpool 2' to rank as the second-best superhero film of the year, behind 'Infinity War'. Not bad at all. 'A Star is Born' stayed in second place and held spectacularly well. Can it top 100K admissions? It undoubtedly will if drops stay this small. 'Smallfoot' is capitalising on the empty animated market and could also be aiming for a six-digit total. 'Transylvania 3' has now stayed in the Top 10 for a whopping 14 weeks (15 weeks including previews). Its admission total is far from record-breaking but it currently ranks 4th on the yearly chart and could even reach 3rd place. No opener merits analysis. An honorable mention goes to 'Alpha' for topping 10K admissions. Next week seems to be very quiet, with 'Venom' probably threepeating at the top. For an updated 2018 yearly chart, click here.
  3. Weekend 04–07/10/2018 Ranking Title Weekend admissions % change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 Venom 66,795 – 66,795 1 2 A Star Is Born 18,542 – 18,542 1 3 Smallfoot 14,735 -20.5% 41,254 2 4 The Old Man & the Gun 11,616 – 11,616 1 5 Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation 4,190 -39.4% 210,988 13 6 The Nun 4,101 -56.7% 231,109 5 7 Blinky Bill the Movie 2,898 – 2,898 1 8 The House with a Clock in its Walls 2,814 -59.3% 26,044 3 9 Fleuve noir [French] 2,626 – 2,626 1 10 A Simple Favor 2,394 -65.9% 14,071 2 Source: http://www.filmboy.gr/2018/10/box-office-venom-lady-gaga-3d.html http://flix.gr/news/box-office-04102018.html After an anemic September, the box office is back on track with a decent-but-not-impressive 147,050 admissions sold over the weekend. This was exclusively thanks to 'Venom', in which Tom Hardy continues the theme of playing roles that involve covering his face in some way. For a solo superhero film, it has done quite well, opening lower than 'Deadpool' but higher than 'Hancock', 'Iron Man' (61.4K admissions) and 'Doctor Strange' (58.2K admissions). It was also far off from its archenemy, 'Spider-Man', but no one was expecting it to go that high: Superhero openings (since 2003) Rank Title Opening weekend Total Release date 1 Spider-Man 3 159,000 366,987 03/05/07 2 Avengers: Infinity War 129,549 363,402 26/04/18 3 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 122,428 276,311 24/03/16 4 Captain America: Civil War 101,800 215,155 05/05/16 5 The Dark Knight 100,000 339,520 17/07/08 6 Avengers: Age of Ultron 94,250 224,334 30/04/15 7 Deadpool 2 82,773 221,147 17/05/18 8 Spider-Man 2 82,300* 385,700 07/07/04 9 Deadpool 77,774 217,832 18/02/16 10 The Avengers 75,755 242,565 26/04/12 11 The Dark Knight Rises 74,530 346,585 21/08/12 12 Venom 66,795 66,795 04/10/18 13 Iron Man 3 66,278 206,006 25/04/13 14 Hancock 64,603 129,239 18/09/08 15 Justice League 62,658 158,596 16/11/17 *3-day (Fri-Sun) opening 'Venom' is probably going to finish around 180,000 admissions. The 200K-admission milestone is possible but not probable at this stage. It will greatly depend on its legs but the 3x multiplier required to achieve that is uncommon among superhero films. 'A Star is Born' and 'The Old Man & the Gun' both topped 10K admissions and, when taking into account 'Smallfoot', it is the first time in 7 months that at least 4 films top 10K admissions in a single weekend. 'Hotel Transylvania 3' is back in the Top 5 and has broken a record (since 2015) for the longest stay in the Top 10: 13 (consecutive) weekends. It should get to at least 15. The previous high was achieved by 'Home' and 'La La Land', tied at 12. When taking into account its preview weekend, it has spent 14 consecutive weekends in the Top 10 and 12 weekends in the Top 5. 'The Nun' is now the second-biggest release of 2018, behind 'Avengers: Infinity War'. At the moment, the only contender to take its place is 'Transylvania 3'. 'The Nun' has surpassed all previous instalments of the 'Conjuring' franchise by far and should finish very close to 250K admissions.
  4. Quigley

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE

    Have 'Incredibles 2' or 'MI:6' surpassed the 5 billion yen milestone yet?
  5. Yes, last one was Germany 2 weeks ago.
  6. Weekend 27–30/09/2018 Ranking Title Weekend admissions % change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 Smallfoot 18,527 – 24,095 1 2 The Nun 9,466 -44.1% 220,827 4 3 Searching 7,803 – 7,803 1 4 Johnny English Strikes Again 7,509 -73.5% 50,864 2 5 A Simple Favor 7,030 – 7,030 1 6 The House with a Clock in its Walls 6,916 -21.6% 20,421 2 7 Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation 6,701 +30.1% 206,260 12 8 The Equalizer 2 4,616 -28.3% 44,817 3 9 Bel Canto 4,076 – 4,076 1 10 BlacKkKlansman 3,992 – 3,992 1 Source: http://flix.gr/news/box-office-27092018.html We have just witnessed one of the worst September weekends of the last decade. Total admissions were around 90,000 admissions, a further drop from the previous weekend's 98,264 admissions. An animated film was the only film to sell more than 10,000 admissions. 'Smallfoot', which was boosted by last weekend's previews, still failed to attract a significant number of followers, although animated films are known for their staying power rather than strong openings. No better example than 'Transylvania 3', which has crossed 200,000 admissions and is showing no signs of slowing down, after a 30% boost. 'The Nun' is days away from topping 'Deadpool 2' for the year's 2nd place. That being said, the Drac Pack is now seriously in pursuit of 2nd place too. 'Johhny English 3' crashed on its sophomore frame and is unlikely to reach 100,000 admissions. With only a quarter of the year left, 2018 has fallen further behind 2017 and 2016, trailing them by 6.2% and 10.1% respectively. It is 1.2% behind 2015, but that year was boosted significantly in its final quarter by films like 'Hotel Transylvania 2', 'Spectre', 'Star Wars 7' and the year's winner, 'Worlds Apart'. It looks like 2018 will finish below previous years, around 9.5 million admissions. For an updated 2018 yearly chart, click here.
  7. Weekend 20–23/09/2018 Ranking Title Weekend admissions % change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 Johnny English Strikes Again 28,347 – 28,347 1 2 The Nun 16,934 -51.3% 200,032 3 3 The House with a Clock in its Walls 8,817 – 8,817 1 4 The Equalizer 2 6,439 -63.7% 34,584 2 5 Smallfoot 5,568 – 5,568 0 6 Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation 5,150 -11.3% 198,865 11 7 The Predator (2018) 4,332 -48.9% 18,093 2 8 Mission: Impossible – Fallout 3,776 -54.3% 136,223 4 9 Disney's Christopher Robin 2,629 -53.3% 27,614 3 10 Σ' αυτή τη χώρα κανείς δεν ήξερε να κλαίει (In this Country No One Knew How to Cry) [GR] 1,492 – 1,492 1 Source: http://flix.gr/news/box-office-20092018.html The 'Johnny English' franchise struck cinemas a third time since the start of the millenium, with a middling a result. The original had opened to 15,000 admissions in April 2003 and finished its run north of 150,000 admissions (the exact total is unknown but this is the admission total on the last weekend before dropping below the Top 10). The sequel, 'Johnny English Reborn', opened to a significantly higher 40,740-admission weekend in September 2011 but was also more frontloaded, resulting in a final total of 151,449 admissions. The threequel will be lucky to cross the 100K-admission milestone, by the look of things. No other openers did notable numbers. Meanwhile, 'The Nun' has crossed 200K admissions and seems poised to become the 2nd-biggest film of the year. It may even do so by next weekend. 'The Equalizer 2' is looking at a final tally of 50K admissions, which is significantly lower than its predecessor's 76K-admission total. The weekend before the last, 'Hotel Transylvania 3' achieved the unprecedented feat (since 2015) of remaining in the Top 5 for 10 consecutive weekends. Add in the preview weekend, on which it ranked second, and that makes it 11 weekends in the Top 5. It has also matched 'La La Land' for the longest stay in the Top 10: 12 weekends (when including the preview weekend). It is likely to break that record as it also crosses the 200K-admission milestone – clearly remaining unaffected by the arrival of 'Smallfoot'. It is by far the most successful film of the summer (June to August). 'M:I6 – Fallout' is days away from topping 'Rogue Nation' and is headed for about 150K admissions in total. 'Ghost Protocol's' total remains out of reach. Cumulative admissions were around 100K admissions (give or take) in what has clearly been the weakest September since 2014. No wonder, if you take into account that there hasn't been an 'Inside Out', a 'Minions', a 'Dory' or a 'Despicable Me 3' to boost it.
  8. First Incredibles: $4.96M Hotel Transylvania 3: $5.84M (incl. previews)
  9. Weekend 13–16/09/2018 Ranking Title Weekend admissions % change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 The Nun 34,749 -54.3% 160,355 2 2 The Equalizer 2 17,742 – 17,742 1 3 The Predator (2018) 8,481 – 8,481 1 4 Mission: Impossible – Fallout 8,265 -64.4% 127,890 3 5 Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation 5,809 -8.4% 192,965 10 6 Disney's Christopher Robin 5,633 -60.3% 24,106 2 7 Juliet, Naked 4,036 – 4,036 1 8 Luis & die Aliens [German] 3,670 – 3,670 1 9 The Spy Who Dumped Me 3,433 – 3,433 1 10 The Meg 2,573 -59.2% 82,727 4 Source: http://www.grandmagazine.gr/ngine/article/4174/box-office-to-monasthri-tou-daimona-na-nai-kala 'The Nun' comfortably retained the lead at the weekend chart. It took it only 11 days to top all previous films of the 'Conjuring' franchise. Interestingly, it had a hold identical to last year's 'It'. If it follows the same trajectory as that film, it would reach 205K admissions. However, that film dropped quite heavily after its 2nd weekend. This one needs to hold only slightly better to become 2018's second biggest film, ahead of 'Deadpool 2' (221K admissions). This seems doable. If it continued to drop by 54% from now on, it would get to 230K admissions. 'The Equalizer 2' opened 20.4% lower than its predecessor (22,288 admissions). That film finished its run with 76,181 admissions, a number which the sequel can only achieve with an unlikely 4.3x mutliplier. 'The Predator' performed even worse as a sequel of the once popular 'Predator' franchise, which has seen every new film decline from the previous one: 'Alien vs Predator' (2004): opened to 16,400 admissions in Athens (nationwide opening unknown) 'Alien vs Predator – Requiem' (2007): opened to 10,600 admissions in Athens (nationwide opening unknown) – 35% drop 'Predator' (2010): opened to 9,570 admissions nationwide – 34% drop in Athens. Reached 25,294 total admissions. 'The Predator' (2018): 11% drop nationwide 'Fallout' is still leading 'Rogue Nation' by 9K admissions at the same point in its run but has fallen behind 'Ghost Protocol', which, boosted by the Christmas holidays, had reached 144K admissions by its 3rd weekend. 'Drac Pack 3' is continuing its impressive run. It is poised to top 200K admissions and 'Toy Story 3' very soon. It is close to surpassing other recent animated films such as 'The Secret Life of Pets' (208K admissions) and 'Ice Age 5' (215 admissions). 'Christopher Robin' had a sharp drop, while 'The Meg' will definitely miss 100K admissions, and maybe even 90K admissions.
  10. It is $7M away from topping Iron Man 2, which would only make it the second worst first sequel of the MCU. Not bad though for an ant... Let's face it, this was never gonna be mega-hit and it didn't need to. But it's surpassed its predecessor by about 20%. More than what most sequels achieve.
  11. Weekend 06–09/09/2018 Ranking Title Weekend admissions % change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 The Nun 76,026 – 76,026 1 2 Mission: Impossible – Fallout 23,248 -55.9% 107,545 2 3 Disney's Christopher Robin 14,174 – 14,174 1 4 Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation 6,339 +17.2% 185,390 9 5 The Meg 6,314 -50.1% 76,353 3 6 Destination Wedding 4,679 – 4,679 1 7 The Children Act 3,699 -11.3% 10,449 2 8 Charming 1,765 -1.9% 32,990 7 9 2001: A Space Odyssey 1,714 – 1,714 1 10 Candelaria [Colombian] 1,589 – 1,589 1 Sources: http://flix.gr/news/box-office-09092018.html http://freecinema.gr/greek-box-office-holy-opening-for-the-nun/ 'The Nun' had an asbolutely stunning debut, the 3rd biggest of the year, only behind 'Avengers 3' and 'Deadpool 2'. It was by far the biggest debut of the franchise, as seen in the table below. If it follows the trajectory of the most frontloaded film of the fanchise so far, 'Annabelle' (3.1x mutliplier), it would still make 236K admissions, enough to rank second for the year. However, even a 2.7x multiplier would be enough for it to get past 200K admissions so I'm gonna bet this milestone will be crossed soon. The Conjuring Title Athens OW National OW Release date Total admissions The Conjuring 19,635 32,740 Thu 26 Sep 13 158,366 Annabelle 19,575 44,677 Thu 16 Oct 14 138,674 The Conjuring 2 15,020 31,090 Thu 9 Jun 16 131,368 Annabelle: Creation 20,002 45,188 Thu 14 Sep 17 143,464 The Nun 34,242 76,026 Thu 6 Sep 18 – 'Mission: Impossible – Fallout' had a pretty standard drop and is ahead of both 'Ghost Protocol' and 'Rogue Nation' at the same point in their runs by about 13K admissions. A safe lead for the moment, even though it is hard to predict its final total. 'Christopher Robin' opened among the ranks of 'Alice 2' (13,083 admissions) and 'The BFG' (11,951 admissions). Thanks to a significant boost, 'Hotel Transylvania 3' has topped its predecessor, as well as 'Cars 3' and Shrek 3', among other animated threequels. It is therefore looking poised to cross 200K admissions by the looks of it and it may even top 'Toy Story 3'.
  12. Maybe weekday figures from last week were underestimated. I dunno, sometimes it makes me wonder as well...
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