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Everything posted by Quigley
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Jurassic World II OS Thread
Quigley replied to CaptainJackSparrow's topic in International Box Office
Dat Korea drop -
China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
Quigley replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Fair enough, I hadn't noticed that but in absolute terms, it is quite low and it's behind POTUS's prediction for 13M, even when adjusted downwards to compensate for Thursday's 8M gross rather than his prediction for 9.5M. 8x13/9.5=10.9M. How much do you think it will rebound tomorrow? -
China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
Quigley replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Ouch that IW number hurts -
What percentage increase are we expecting on Sat compared to Fri? >100%?
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AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide
Quigley replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
I agree with KenterKane. A cliffhanger doesn't always help. B2F2 and Pirates 2 are particularly good examples, as is the Hunger Games franchise, in which cliffhangers didn't increase overall curiosity in what will happen next. It all boils down to the marketing. If they play it safe, if they don't assume that people will watch it anyway, if they increase the stakes and if they convince people that this will be their last chance to see their favourite characters (Iron Man, Captain America) on the big screen, then it is very likely to increase. Otherwise, people won't be that fussed about watching a second Avengers film within a year. And when I say "that fussed", I mean it could end up with $1.6B, which is definitely not a failure and which will not justify any concern. -
AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide
Quigley replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
I have a feeling it will drop. However, if the marketing makes it really clear that this is the end (if it is indeed the end) for the main characters (Iron Man, Captain America), everyone will wanna see these two play one last time on the big screen. It can be done. -
Jurassic World II OS Thread
Quigley replied to CaptainJackSparrow's topic in International Box Office
JW:FK got demolished in SK with an 81% second-day drop. Not the end of the world though. Will have a much higher OW (incl. previews) than JW1. -
What does OST mean in the 5-way rating system?
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Jurassic World II OS Thread
Quigley replied to CaptainJackSparrow's topic in International Box Office
In many conutries this has happened already. -
Jurassic World II OS Thread
Quigley replied to CaptainJackSparrow's topic in International Box Office
It was a national holiday on Wed in SK. The drop is expected to be harsh on Thu. The Mummy dropped 75% last year. Of course, this result is encouraging but I wouldn't be too excited about it (yet). -
Jurassic World II OS Thread
Quigley replied to CaptainJackSparrow's topic in International Box Office
"On Wednesday, play starts in France, Germany and Korea with such majors as the UK, Italy, Russia and Spain heading to Isla Nublar through Friday. Estimates from our sources put this one in a range of $130M-$145M for the weekend with many around the $150M mark. That would land JWFK a touch below the 2015 behemoth which kicked off at $158.6M in like-for-like markets and at today’s exchange rates." https://deadline.com/2018/06/jurassic-world-fallen-kingdom-international-box-office-preview-1202403909/ $158.6M is the magical number that it needs to beat. -
Tuesday numbers?
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Wow, do you guys think this is indicative of what will happen in the rest of the world. Or is Korea just nuts about dinosaurs?
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Weekend 31/05–03/06/2018 Ranking Title Weekend admissions % change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 Adrift 14,829 – 14,829 1 2 Deadpool 2 11,123 -60.7% 191,545 3 3 Tully 6,649 – 6,649 1 4 Solo: A Star Wars Story 6,202 -70.9% 37,844 2 5 Money 3,001 – 3,001 1 6 The Ladykillers (1955) 2,964 – 2,964 1 7 Knock [French–Belgian] 2,450 – 2,450 1 8 The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature 2,147 -42.7% 18,939 4 9 24 Hours to Live 1,543 – 1,543 1 10 Avengers: Infinity War 1,449 -54.1% 360,045 6 Source: http://freecinema.gr/greek-box-office-adrift-sails-among-the-disasters/ On one of the quietest weekends of 2018 so far, 'Adrift' managed a first-place finish it would never have dreamed of. Its closest competitor was not 'Solo, of course, which tanked with a 71% drop, headed for a final total around 50K admissions. We can all agree to pretend this film never existed... As I was saying, 'Adrift's closest competitor was 'Deadpool 2' which dropped nearly as bad as its predecessor did on its third weekend. That one earned slightly less, 10,251 admissions, and 'Deadpool 2' is in fact still ahead in total admissions by about 3.5K admissions. It remains to be seen if 'Deadpool 2' can retain this lead, but with 'Jurassic World 2' arriving this Thursday, it's hard to tell. 'Infinity War' continued its uninterrupted streak of 50%+ drops but has now crossed 360K admissions and is within breathing distance of 'Spider-Man 3' (367K admissions), although it looks like it won't be able to surpass it. The animated market is dead-quiet, which bodes well for 'The Incredibles 2', which arrives in 2 weeks. Among other openers, the 1955 British comedy 'The Ladykillers' was re-released in 3 'summer cinemas' – these are outdoor cinemas, a tradition that still survives in Greece. This film proves the state of modern cinema: apart from blockbuster popcorn flicks, other films are becoming less and less relevant, with very little quality and very little to say to audiences. Look no further than the whopping 988-admission per-screen average that this 1955 film achieved, while all the other films in the Top 10 managed per-screen averages less than one third of this.
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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
Quigley replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Do we know/When will we know if IW will get an extension? -
Last weekend, OS–C was $14.46M. This weekend is about $11.1M ($14.2M in China). The drop is 23%. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&view=byweekend&wk=2018W22&id=marvel0518.htm OS–C total is $966M. Last week it was $951M. That means $3.9M during the weekdays. A very likely harsh drop will occur next weekend due to the release of Jurassic World 2. China, Australia, Mexico, Brazil, Argentina and Japan are the major territories where Jurassic World 2 won't open next weekend. Range for final OS–C total is $983–990M I think (calculated using constant drops of 40% for the high number and 50% for the low number). Very bad, horrible worst-case scenario is above $2B: 980 (OS) + 363 (C) + 660 (NA). We are looking at around $2.035B for its final WW total, unless it holds well against Jurassic World 2, in which (unlikely) case it could give TFA a run for its money.
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For those of you who are not persuaded that the Champions League final impacted attendance in Europe (and beyond) on Saturday, May 26, maybe this will perusade you: Daily admission numbers for Solo in Greece Thursday: 5,753 Friday: 3,886 Saturday: 4,876 Sunday (boosted by holiday Monday): 6,810 In contrast, last year, 'Pirates 5' led the same holiday weekend with nearly identical numbers on Saturday and Sunday: 12,346 and 12,515 admissions respectively. This strongly suggests a depressed Saturday for Solo. On the same holiday weekend two years ago (the dates move around since the holiday is determined by Easter), 'Florence Foster Jenkins' actually sold more admissions on Saturday than on Sunday: 10,073 vs 8,383. Note that the absence of the Champions League final wouldn't have led to anything much bigger than $63M weekend – it would have been up to $70M max, which is still a total disaster. http://freecinema.gr/greek-box-office-solo-bombs/ http://freecinema.gr/greek-box-office-pirates-of-the-lost-spirit/ http://freecinema.gr/greek-box-office-florence-foster-jenkins-at-the-top/
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Pirates of the Caribbean (original trilogy) is the best anyway. Let's face it. Marvel makes the best popcorn movies (they are indeed very entertaining) but none of the big blockbuster franchises offer the philosophical depths, the adventurous uncertainty, the sincerity, the consistency, the witty humour and, of course, the epic and emotionally fulfilling music of Pirates of the Caribbean.