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Eric Atreides

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Everything posted by Eric Atreides

  1. Because the Animation/Family pool is very small and very awkward. Because for whatever reason, the only movies that opened above 100M in this pool only had awareness in the 40s upon the T-60 and T-30 mark. I don't know why that is, but I guess that's just what happens when your subcategory pool only has 19 movies. Either way, technically speaking, if we just used these 19 movies, Garfield has the better chance. But in this instance, it's probably better to use the charts that look at every movie. And yeah, at this point in time, Inside Out has a better chance with 45% compared to Garfield at 13%. So yeah, Inside Out's got the better chance. Don't you fret.
  2. Well I mean it's still likely to get to the 30s in Awareness by the time we get to the end. That would make 10M, at the very least, slightly more likely.
  3. Quorum Updates Twisters T-92: 46.86% Never Let Go T-162: 18.67% Abigail T-1: 38.48% Awareness Final Awareness: 39% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M Horror Awareness: 87% chance of 10M, 62% chance of 20M The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare T-1: 24.61% Awareness Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 15% chance of 10M Challengers T-8: 25.92% Awareness Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 15% chance of 10M Unsung Hero T-8: 17.09% Awareness Final Awareness: 0% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 0% chance of 10M Furiosa T-36: 30.17% Awareness T-30 Awareness: 81% chance of 10M, 55% chance of 20M, 35% chance of 30M, 13% chance of 40M, 10% chance of 70M, 3% chance of 90M Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M The Garfield Movie T-36: 47.44% Awareness T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 96% chance of 20M, 87% chance of 30M, 61% chance of 40M, 39% chance of 50M, 35% chance of 60M Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 67% chance of 100M Inside Out 2 T-57: 51.44% Awareness T-60 Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 92% chance of 40M, 85% chance of 50M, 69% chance of 60M, 61% chance of 70M, 54% chance of 90M, 46% chance of 100M Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 33% chance of 90M The Watchers T-57: 29.33% Awareness T-60 Awareness: 58% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M, 11% chance of 30M, 8% chance of 40M Horror Awareness: 50% chance of 10M, 33% chance of 20M, 8% chance of 40M
  4. Moderation I know where this Melissa Barrera conversation is going. And it’s not worth it. Please move on to something else.
  5. TikTok ain’t got nothing on this. We were born in the right generation
  6. Yeah don’t watch 300 as an adult. It’s up there as one of the worst movies I’ve ever seen. Vile, nasty-ass movie.
  7. I mean, there's not many good options available. Night Swim and Imaginary have stinky RT scores and probably would have opened to what they got even during horror's 2016-19 peak. The First Omen was frankly very mismanaged and misadvertised by Disney. They could have given it a SXSW or get good reviews out earlier, but they just kinda let it die, since they can't sell anything that isn't a surefire, ultra-safe bet. Abigail's also had a pretty light marketing campaign with just the one trailer, and nothing else is looking that exciting right now either until Quiet Place. And well, there's also the issue where 80% of movies that aren't...that term people don't like me saying just bomb now. Hopefully The Watchers and Trap have the juice? Those seem like the only true potential breakouts. But hey! Silver lining is that Immaculate is already in the top 4 of Neon movies. Might get top 3 and beat out Ferrari. Late Night with the Devil's also in the top 4 for IFC. So we have good victories in the specialty/arthouse horror scene.
  8. Hardcore Sonic fan. Can confirm. Those guys can fuck you up.
  9. The second twist will be Lady Raven's actually The Butcher and Hartnett's an accomplice, and it's a commentary on celebrity culture. I think I nailed this.
  10. Disney's not looking to move Moana, so I feel Uni should move Wild Robot to November 1st and kickstart the holiday season. Or even the 8th. There's nothing on those weekends, so it can still stand out in the marketplace and get a nice Thanksgiving hold.
  11. His wife's not in the movie, and his brother is only a rumor that could be proven false. You can dismiss the cast all you want, but at least stay accurate to the facts.
  12. Also hoping they ditch the lore, so that Optimus and Megatron become boyfriends at the end. They're kinda cute when they're working together lol
  13. lol I have to wait a whole-ass hour for the trailer to launch while this stupid drone goes up in space? Was this marketing stunt really worth it?
  14. I thought we had a thread for this already, but I guess not. Whoops 🙃
  15. Quorum Updates The Fall Guy T-16: 42.33% Tarot T-16: 28.64% Bad Boys: Ride or Die T-51: 52.57% A Quiet Place: Day One T-72: 28.96% Wicked T-224: 35.54% Abigail T-2: 36.92% Awareness Final Awareness: 39% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M Horror Awareness: 87% chance of 10M, 62% chance of 20M The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare T-2: 22.28% Awareness Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 15% chance of 10M Back to Black T-30: 23.27% Awareness T-30 Awareness: 55% chance of 10M, 18% chance of 20M Low Awareness: 39% chance of 10M, 10% chance of 20M The Strangers: Chapter 1 T-30: 30.2% Awareness T-30 Awareness: 81% chance of 10M, 55% chance of 20M, 35% chance of 30M Horror Awareness: 87% chance of 10M, 62% chance of 20M, 37% chance of 30M Sight T-37: 11.51% Awareness T-30 Awareness: 14% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 10% chance of 10M
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