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Eric Atreides

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Everything posted by Eric Atreides

  1. Saw the sneak peek after the Ex Machina re-release. It was basically the first few minutes of the movie. Was dogging on the whole thing for a bit, but it was honestly pretty damn effective. Bit of an awkward end of the clip, where they clearly cut before they showed a big reveal. But hey. It looked good. Made me interested.
  2. Quorum Updates Civil War T-16: 28.75% Abigail T-23: 25.08% Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes T-44: 53.42% Beetlejuice Beetlejuice T-163: 45.22% Wolfs T-177: 15.95% Gladiator 2 T-240: 31.23% Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire T-2: 64.80% Awareness Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 91% chance of 30M, 87% chance of 40M, 74% chance of 50M, 61% chance of 60M, 48% chance of 70M, 35% chance of 80M, 30% chance of 100M Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 88% chance of 40M, 78% chance of 60M, 44% chance of 70M, 33% chance of 80M, 22% chance of 100M Challengers T-30: 17.67% Awareness T-30 Awareness: 14% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 11% chance of 10M Tarot T-37: 23.31% Awareness T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M Tentpole Awareness: 56% chance of 10M, 25% chance of 20M Furiosa T-58: 26.54% Awareness T-60 Awareness: 59% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M, 12% chance of 30M, 9% chance of 40M, 3% chance of 70M, 2% chance of 80M Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 40M
  3. Isn't this an anthology movie? That would probably hinder a lot of awards chances right there. So putting it as a specialty summer offering/box office play like Asteroid City with maybe a Cannes premiere makes a lot of sense to me.
  4. Moderation @leoh has been threadbanned for 3 days for consistent concern trolling. Please carry on.
  5. Serious question: has Ridley Scott ever listened to a P Diddy song in his entire life? I'll bet my money on "no".
  6. Yeah, I'm down for another one of these. Not sure how much popularity the film has gained over the years, but the furries should still carry it through I guess.
  7. Quorum Updates The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare T-25: 19.43% Awareness IF T-53: 30.36% Horizon: An American Saga Part 1 T-95: 21.6% The Forge T-151: 16.84% Kraven the Hunter T-158: 28.8% Venom: The Last Dance T-214: 36.24% Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire T-4: 62.04% Awareness Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 91% chance of 30M, 87% chance of 40M, 74% chance of 50M, 61% chance of 60M, 48% chance of 70M, 35% chance of 80M, 30% chance of 100M Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 88% chance of 40M, 78% chance of 60M, 44% chance of 70M, 33% chance of 80M, 22% chance of 100M The First Omen T-11: 36.76% Awareness Final Awareness: 37% chance of 10M, 5% chance of 20M Horror Awareness: 42% chance of 10M, 8% chance of 20M Monkey Man T-11 32.76% Awareness Final Awareness: 37% chance of 10M, 5% chance of 20M Low Awareness: 23% chance of 10M, 4% chance of 20M The Fall Guy T-39: 36.29% Awareness T-30 Awareness: 83% chance of 10M, 53% chance of 20M, 37% chance of 30M, 13% chance of 40M, 10% chance of 70M Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M
  8. As an aside, please never ask a retail worker, "What do you think I should get?" Believe it or not, I have no clue what toy your 6 year old will enjoy more.
  9. Can confirm. At my Target shift today, I had to help a woman pick out a Ghostbusters toy for her 6 year old grandson. Though explaining to this woman what a proton pack is was not very fun. 😞
  10. Well yeah. The farther you go back, the harder it is to find diversity demos. However, when you compare 2021-24 data to the data found in 2019, when this became way more consistent, that white moviegoers are solidly down. Using the top 10 OWs for each year, and all data coming from PostTrak/Deadline... 2024 2023 2022 2021 2019 Now ignoring 2024, since things are still incomplete, the average for white moviegoers, at least for the top 10 OWs, you have 38% in 2023, 36% in 2022, 42% in 2021, and then 47% in 2019. Dropping 5% one pandemic later is pretty startling, and it went down even more in the subsequent years. And yeah, there are some movies that can and will break this notion and get majority white, but the data still says quite a bit right here about what demos have left the theaters and how nonwhite moviegoers have a much greater pull than they used to. If you want an even more apt comparison, John Wick 3 had 42% Caucasian share for its opening weekend. John Wick 4 had 32% Caucasian share. That's a lot. Heck, even within COVID, Dune went from 55% Caucasian for the first movie and shuffled down to 48% for the sequel. Not as jarring a drop, but still fairly significant IMO.
  11. I mean Gen Z has already been confirmed to be just as, if not more left than millennials when it comes to most, if not all issues. Obviously folks like Rogan and Tate and Shapiro and Musk are inherently evil individuals with tons of power, but they are just as much dunked on by folks for being the pathetic losers that they are for good reason. Plus in the current box office climate, moviegoing is now largely dominated by young folk and nonwhite folk, groups that largely skew left. If anything, going towards the "grr DEI bad" crowd would cause these projects to tank. Not saying things are perfect, but you're missing tons of context mate.
  12. It was really the end of an era box-office wise. 2015 was when we got the major split between the haves and have nots, where you make 300M+ or sub-200 with no in between, as well as the beginning of the decline for all movies that aren't nostalgic toy commercials. 2014 was also obviously blockbuster and sequel heavy, but American Sniper would have only done 1/6 of its box office in today's era at best. It's sad, ain't it? Here's the thing: it's been three years since theaters have reopened. And outside of some minor strides here and there, very little has changed. The box office is even more divided between the haves and have nots, with only one movie between 225-300M. And Little Mermaid's only just barely behind that number. The numbers show that movies designed to skew towards Gen Xers and boomers still have crazy high 18-34 percentages. The numbers show that most movies that aren't NTCs are unable to gross much of anything even compared to the standards of a few years ago. Three years is a long time, and when very little has changed? I think it's fair to think this is the current reality. But you know what? I'd love to be wrong. Maybe this April will be full of solid performers. Maybe stuff like Horizon or IF or Sing Sing could do very well this summer. We could be predicting things too early. But with how little has really changed in these last three years, I kind of have doubts.
  13. This month is the big test to see if audiences really are willing to watch non-NTCs IMO. There’s no big blockbusters to steal the spotlight, nor any big holidays that can juice their grosses like ABY or Boys in the Boat. In 2018, any one of Monkey Man or Civil War or Challengers would have opened to 20M just on their good reviews, good concept, star power, etc. But if they all are a bust, then we’re back at square one. And at this rate, if you want to bother to make something original, you might as well steer clear from Hollywood. Because moviegoers don’t want that shit.
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