Eric Atreides
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Posts posted by Eric Atreides
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4 hours ago, Flip said:
How does Garfield have a better chance of 100m than Inside Out does at 90m when it has lower awareness and is closer to release date?
Because the Animation/Family pool is very small and very awkward. Because for whatever reason, the only movies that opened above 100M in this pool only had awareness in the 40s upon the T-60 and T-30 mark. I don't know why that is, but I guess that's just what happens when your subcategory pool only has 19 movies. Either way, technically speaking, if we just used these 19 movies, Garfield has the better chance. But in this instance, it's probably better to use the charts that look at every movie. And yeah, at this point in time, Inside Out has a better chance with 45% compared to Garfield at 13%. So yeah, Inside Out's got the better chance. Don't you fret.
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7 minutes ago, ChipDerby said:
Is Challengers going to break Quorum???
Well I mean it's still likely to get to the 30s in Awareness by the time we get to the end. That would make 10M, at the very least, slightly more likely.
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Quorum Updates
Twisters T-92: 46.86%
Never Let Go T-162: 18.67%
Abigail T-1: 38.48% Awareness
Final Awareness: 39% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M
Horror Awareness: 87% chance of 10M, 62% chance of 20M
The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare T-1: 24.61% Awareness
Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 15% chance of 10M
Challengers T-8: 25.92% Awareness
Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 15% chance of 10M
Unsung Hero T-8: 17.09% Awareness
Final Awareness: 0% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 0% chance of 10M
Furiosa T-36: 30.17% Awareness
T-30 Awareness: 81% chance of 10M, 55% chance of 20M, 35% chance of 30M, 13% chance of 40M, 10% chance of 70M, 3% chance of 90M
Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M
The Garfield Movie T-36: 47.44% Awareness
T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 96% chance of 20M, 87% chance of 30M, 61% chance of 40M, 39% chance of 50M, 35% chance of 60M
Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 67% chance of 100M
Inside Out 2 T-57: 51.44% Awareness
T-60 Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 92% chance of 40M, 85% chance of 50M, 69% chance of 60M, 61% chance of 70M, 54% chance of 90M, 46% chance of 100M
Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 33% chance of 90M
The Watchers T-57: 29.33% Awareness
T-60 Awareness: 58% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M, 11% chance of 30M, 8% chance of 40M
Horror Awareness: 50% chance of 10M, 33% chance of 20M, 8% chance of 40M
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Moderation
I know where this Melissa Barrera conversation is going. And it’s not worth it. Please move on to something else.
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9 minutes ago, TMP said:
Yeah, but those This is Sparta Youtube poops went hard as a kid
TikTok ain’t got nothing on this. We were born in the right generation
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8 minutes ago, TMP said:
Still insane that he has such a devoted fan base off the back of only having 2 watchable movies, and even then I’m probably being kinder to 300 given that I have childhood nostalgia for it
Yeah don’t watch 300 as an adult. It’s up there as one of the worst movies I’ve ever seen. Vile, nasty-ass movie.
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19 minutes ago, AMC Theaters Enjoyer said:
Is horror just having a crappy year? What’s going on?
I mean, there's not many good options available. Night Swim and Imaginary have stinky RT scores and probably would have opened to what they got even during horror's 2016-19 peak. The First Omen was frankly very mismanaged and misadvertised by Disney. They could have given it a SXSW or get good reviews out earlier, but they just kinda let it die, since they can't sell anything that isn't a surefire, ultra-safe bet. Abigail's also had a pretty light marketing campaign with just the one trailer, and nothing else is looking that exciting right now either until Quiet Place.
And well, there's also the issue where 80% of movies that aren't...that term people don't like me saying just bomb now. Hopefully The Watchers and Trap have the juice? Those seem like the only true potential breakouts.
But hey! Silver lining is that Immaculate is already in the top 4 of Neon movies. Might get top 3 and beat out Ferrari. Late Night with the Devil's also in the top 4 for IFC. So we have good victories in the specialty/arthouse horror scene.
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1 hour ago, ViewerAnon said:
They can't say anything else. I'm friends IRL with a few people who work on these movies - they're no-joke-not-exaggerating terrified of the hardcore Sonic fanbase 🤣
Hardcore Sonic fan. Can confirm. Those guys can fuck you up.
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Not a bad track imo
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The second twist will be Lady Raven's actually The Butcher and Hartnett's an accomplice, and it's a commentary on celebrity culture. I think I nailed this.
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Should at least hit double digits this weekend, right?
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Disney's not looking to move Moana, so I feel Uni should move Wild Robot to November 1st and kickstart the holiday season. Or even the 8th. There's nothing on those weekends, so it can still stand out in the marketplace and get a nice Thanksgiving hold.
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6 hours ago, Belakor said:
The whole cast of the film is very weak to be honest, only one medium-profile actor (Nicholas Hault), the rest are a bunch of nobodies and the usual actors he casts in this movies (Wife and Brother, what a nepotist SOAB).
Probably to save money but I think the BO draw of the film depends too much on the Hero starring the show.
His wife's not in the movie, and his brother is only a rumor that could be proven false. You can dismiss the cast all you want, but at least stay accurate to the facts.
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1 minute ago, robertman2 said:
The current cartoon has a decent amount of that, and it's post-war so they won't have a falling out
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5 minutes ago, AniNate said:
Well it definitely has Saturday morning cartoon energy. Problem for me is it's 2010s, not 1990s.
Think you should fix your calendar
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Also hoping they ditch the lore, so that Optimus and Megatron become boyfriends at the end. They're kinda cute when they're working together lol
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This looks cute. Weird to not hear Peter Cullen's voice though.
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lol I have to wait a whole-ass hour for the trailer to launch while this stupid drone goes up in space? Was this marketing stunt really worth it?
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Let's see what this space thing is all about.
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I thought we had a thread for this already, but I guess not. Whoops 🙃
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Quorum Updates
The Fall Guy T-16: 42.33%
Tarot T-16: 28.64%
Bad Boys: Ride or Die T-51: 52.57%
A Quiet Place: Day One T-72: 28.96%
Wicked T-224: 35.54%
Abigail T-2: 36.92% Awareness
Final Awareness: 39% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M
Horror Awareness: 87% chance of 10M, 62% chance of 20M
The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare T-2: 22.28% Awareness
Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 15% chance of 10M
Back to Black T-30: 23.27% Awareness
T-30 Awareness: 55% chance of 10M, 18% chance of 20M
Low Awareness: 39% chance of 10M, 10% chance of 20M
The Strangers: Chapter 1 T-30: 30.2% Awareness
T-30 Awareness: 81% chance of 10M, 55% chance of 20M, 35% chance of 30M
Horror Awareness: 87% chance of 10M, 62% chance of 20M, 37% chance of 30M
Sight T-37: 11.51% Awareness
T-30 Awareness: 14% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 10% chance of 10M
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The Universal Thread | Dreamworks Animation seeing layoffs, set to outsource their work
in Box Office Discussion
Posted