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Everything posted by Eric Duncan
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Weekday Numbers [04.15 - 04.18] | Thu | 1.63M CIVIL WAR
Eric Duncan replied to kayumanggi's topic in Numbers and Data
5%. Not a bad thing, of course! -
Weekday Numbers [04.15 - 04.18] | Thu | 1.63M CIVIL WAR
Eric Duncan replied to kayumanggi's topic in Numbers and Data
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RACHEL SUPREMACY LETS GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
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Sonic the Hedgehog 3 | December 20, 2024
Eric Duncan replied to Eric Duncan's topic in Box Office Discussion
Problem is that Silver's 14, so I can't thirst over him without looking like a weirdo. Shadow was my only option. 😕 -
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 | December 20, 2024
Eric Duncan replied to Eric Duncan's topic in Box Office Discussion
It's not Timothee -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric Duncan replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Quorum Updates Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes T-25: 62.22% Awareness Deadpool & Wolverine T-102: 46.14% Trap T-109: 12.3% Joker: Folie a Deux T-172: 46.61% Terrifier 3 T-193: 22.8% Abigail T-4: 35% Awareness Final Awareness: 39% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M Horror Awareness: 87% chance of 10M, 62% chance of 20M The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare T-4: 21.39% Awareness Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 15% chance of 10M Challengers T-11: 26.47% Awareness Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 15% chance of 10M Unsung Hero T-11: 15.54% Awareness Final Awareness: 0% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 0% chance of 10M IF T-32: 41.71% Awareness T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 96% chance of 20M, 87% chance of 30M, 61% chance of 40M, 39% chance of 50M, 35% chance of 60M Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 67% chance of 100M -
Love Anya and I'm excited to see what she does with the part, but it does kinda feel like not having Charlize in the part is really limiting its potential. Her performance specifically was arguably the main reason people loved Furiosa as a character, so taking her out with somebody else unproven in the part probably makes it harder for even Fury Road fans to get all jazzed. It's like a Solo situation, but at least you have a very good reason to recast in that movie. You probably could have used some makeup to make Charlize look younger and call it a day.
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I mean never say never, but it's honestly looking dicey. I said this before, but following Home's legs, which this has been relatively close to since its premiere, would get it to only 194.6M. And Home had two consecutive sub-20 weekends following its sixth that I don't see Panda achieving. Could be wrong though! Curious to know from others who follow OS box office more how far this can go? Because this is looking like it could beat Afterlife's 75M. Don't think it'll get above 200M, but at least it shows franchise growth? I guess?
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If it makes you feel better, I strongly disagree with Clay. I thought it was going to be eye roll worthy stuff, but I found the whole package fantastic. If anything, it has a ton to say about not just America, but just the universal concept of war and how we, directly or indirectly, are passive members of so many evil actions in our world. And how we have to step up and do our part, or otherwise let the abusive cycle continue. Im gonna be ride or die on this movie, because I loved the hell out of this.
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I know people dunk on Quorum, but those Apes metrics do indicate 50+ or 60+, and I can buy it. The Reeves trilogy still have a fan base, this appeals to the main audience going to movies, first big tentpole action we since GXK. Unless reviews are as stinky as the Burton movie, I have confidence in a breakout.
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Obviously one day and I can't prove anything just yet, but Civil War kinda feels like a Hereditary thing where it has bad audience scores, but there's also people who really love it and it gets hype as a "see it to believe it" kind of movie and legs out to a decent multi. Just has those vibes, and it helps that May isn't looking all that huge and competitive, so it has room to grow.
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@Jake Gittes brought up an interesting point where the Monsterverse movies are arguably like Fast and Furious where people will likely go once for some goofy dumb fun, but they aren't really all that rewatchable (for certain people. Hold your horses @Brainbug, I know you're special). F&F aren't the leggiest films out there.