The Wild Eric

DL also updated with A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood tracking at 25M, which sounds about right, though I would love to see it open higher

https://deadline.com/2019/10/frozen-2-opening-weekend-projection-1202773437/

https://deadline.com/2019/10/frozen-2-opening-weekend-projection-1202773437/

I'm still happy Jack Black does the valley girl schtick, but him being the jock for 80% of the movie still isn't hooking me.

@DAJK I do think you should take my trackings with a grain of salt for Harriet. Philadelphia has a large black population, which does skew results here. Gemini Man was looking at 2M+ previews here, which didn't happen, and Black and Blue was looking at 1.5M, which didn't even come close to happening.

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-50 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 1 164 7,872 28,790 27.34% Total Seats Sold Today: 61

Terminator: Dark Fate Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 47 411 11,027 3.73% Total Shows Added Today: 3 Total Seats Added Today: 1,083 Total Seats Sold Today: 101 Comp 0.300x of Once Upon 1 day before release (1.74M) 2.045x of Angel Has Fallen (3.07M) 0.172x of It: Chapter Two (1.81M) 1.612x of Ad Astra (2.42M) 1.985x of Rambo (2.58M) 0.119x of Joker (1.59M) 1.145x of Gemini Man (1.83M) 0.926x of Zombieland (2.64M)

Harriet Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 25 234 3,574 6.55% Total Shows Added Today: 2 Total Seats Added Today: 536 Total Seats Sold Today: 71 Comp 0.495x of Hustlers (1.24M) 0.463x of Downton Abbey (973K) 0.652x of Gemini Man (1.04M) 1.307x of Black and Blue (882K)

I’ve had a long and stressful week and I have an essay for a class I hate due on Monday, so here’s a good way to procrastinate and get at least some writing practice in. And hey, it’s certainly a topical subject for the past few days, since the CC thread is nothing but Disney+ and HBO Max discussion. It’s arguably ridiculous to question whether a new format of watching and viewing media will “kill” movie theaters,since that hasn’t come into fruition. Television was supposed to kill cinemas, VHS would make people stay home and avoid the movies. None of those items have truly harmed the moviegoing experience. We’re still seeing strong box office, and records are broken every year. At this point, pretty much everybody knows that Disney, Warner and Uni have their own streaming service within the next few months. Apple is also creating their own, and will kick off the streaming wars in two days. But I feel like the way things are going, and how much money is being invested in these services and programs, this could negatively impact the box office. Maybe not to the extent that movie theaters will become obsolete, but impact could happen nonetheless. Unlike with television and VHS, which were largely released and developed by third parties, most of the new streaming platforms are from the studios/companies that make the big blockbuster tentpoles in the first place. We have companies like Disney and Warner and Universal dedicating millions of dollars on these platforms, and that should affect theatrical distribution and its future, right? We’re already seeing some of streaming’s effects with services like Netflix and Amazon, as comedies and midbudget fare is almost entirely swept away from development slates. Even the films that are in theaters now aren’t even doing that great. Can’t prove it, but I feel like if Yesterday or Good Boys came out 10 years ago, they would have been much bigger deals. And with the way that streaming pretty much killed live TV, theatrical distribution isn’t that safe. The one big thing that concerns me here is the introduction of Disney+. Also HBO Max, but Disney+ especially. It’s coming out in less than two weeks and there’s already a lot of hype for its launch, for kind of obvious reasons. While we won’t know how big the service will be, it’s fair to say it’s almost destined to be a success. But that kind of leads into a bigger problem with the theatrical side of things, because I think, at least on the Disney side of things, Disney+ could hurt moviegoing. Sure, doubting Disney at the box office is the equivalent of believing Epstein committed suicide, but I feel like my concerns are kind of valid here. With the way ticket prices are going, and audiences more and more interested in waiting for streaming for anything that isn’t a special effects heavy tentpole (although that’s not entirely the fault of audiences), there’s a very strong possibility that people are more willing to wait a couple months for these new releases, so they can watch them for free. People already know these movies will be on Disney+ in a couple months, so why spend the money? Frozen 2 will probably be fine, and Marvel and Star Wars movies will probably be safe, since those movies are designed to be “hurry before spoilers”, but what about movies like Onward? Or Mulan? Or Soul? Or Jungle Cruise? Maybe not to the point where these movies will bomb, but could their potential be greatly diminished? And sure, on paper, Disney taking a hit would be a bit of a positive for the other studios and the industry. But just because Disney might take a hit doesn’t mean other studios will get rewarded in return. There’s obviously no way to prove it, but outside of maybe one or two movies, would any of this year’s releases gain a substantial amount of money at the box office because Captain Marvel or Toy Story 4 didn’t exist? As much as we may not like Disney’s massive boom in success and popularity within the past couple years, as well as the huge discrepancy between Disney and other studios, it’s not difficult to say Disney is the one thing keeping the lights on when it comes to theatrical distribution. HBO Max is also something WarnerMedia is investing a lot of money into. Granted, the press conference yesterday focused more on the TV side of things for obvious reasons. HBO is more synonymous with television than movies. But not only does AT&T already have plenty of creatives working on original content, including movies, they’re clearly setting it up as the domain for all future WB releases. They pushed DC hard during the conference, as well as mentioning their massive library of films and franchises, like LOTR and Lego and Matrix. For God’s sake, Warner mentioned they were going to put original DC movies on the service as HBO Max exclusives. DC! That’s the golden boy franchise for the company! And yeah, DC movies and other films that rely on “watch before spoilers” should still do okay in theaters, like with Disney. But what about that Sopranos movie? Or that Elvis movie? Even something like Peacock will probably get a lot of high-profile productions put into it. And once Universal’s HBO contract is up, you can bet we’ll see every upcoming Uni movie on the service. And yeah, Sony, Paramount, Lionsgate, and more still exist, but outside of a movie or two, they’re not really hitting any big numbers, especially compared to what the big three studios have done in the past couple years. And for all we know, they’re probably partnering with Apple or Netflix to create exclusive streaming content. In fact, yeah, with Apple and Netflix stealing movie stars and directors to make movies for them, that complicates things even further. So with streaming looking to be so big that even the old guard are starting to invest millions into these projects, what does that mean for theaters? What does that mean for certain studios? Or genres? Or ticket prices? Or attendance? Is the box office really going to be on the decline? Or is there really nothing to worry about?

This is dope

Dude was talking about the comics

Daddy Rothman knows what’s up

I'm more excited for this than Mandalorian tbh

Deadline posted an article a couple days back that downgraded it to 35-40M https://deadline.com/2019/10/joker-maleficent-2-black-and-blue-countdown-halloween-box-office-weekend-1202769043/

Just learned about John Witherspoon's passing. And I just rewatched some Boondocks a couple weeks ago

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-51 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 1 164 7,811 28,790 27.13% Total Seats Sold Today: 44

Terminator: Dark Fate Greater Philadelphia Seat Report T-2 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 44 310 9,944 3.12% Total Shows Added Today: 4 Total Seats Added Today: 649 Total Seats Sold Today: 55 Comp 0.338x of Once Upon (1.96M) 1.987x of Angel Has Fallen (2.98M) 0.162x of It: Chapter Two (1.70M) 1.606x of Ad Astra (2.41M) 1.937x of Rambo: Last Blood (2.52M) 0.121x of Joker (1.61M) 1.157x of Gemini Man (1.85M) 0.906x of Zombieland (2.58M) Adjusted Comp 0.311x of Hobbs & Shaw (1.80M) Yikes at today's sales. 40M is arguably a long shot at this point.

Harriet Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 23 161 3,038 5.30% Total Shows Added Today: 5 Total Seats Added Today: 523 Total Seats Sold Today: 12 Comp 0.456x of Hustlers (1.14M) 0.351x of Downton Abbey (737K) 0.601x of Gemini Man (961K) 1.789x of Black and Blue (1.21M) It's coming down. Still on okay comps, but we'll see if the next two days will change anything

"IQ test" dafuq

I don't think they can do that, contractually speaking. More likely, Disney will wait it out for a couple years, and use all the Fox films as a new selling point for "new" content on both Disney+ and Hulu. Can't wait for the FOX-Men to be snuggled next to the MCU-Men in the Marvel tab

My parents have HBO on their cable package, and their provider is Comcast (I'm embarrassed too), so I guess I'll just freeload off my parents and get Max and Peacock. And hey, I've got money so I'll probably pay for Disney+ myself, with maybe that bundle too, even though I have no use for ESPN+. Guess I'm part of the problem when it comes to the whole "so much streaming" issue

Universal still has a contract with HBO, at least here in the US, that has their movies appear on HBO. The contract is set to expire in 2022, so they probably won't renew and just dump all their new stuff to Peacock. Fox has an HBO contract for until 2022 as well, which is why there's little Fox presence on Disney+ at the moment.

Layout is up Not as effective as the Disney+ buttons, probably won't get cute little animations when you hover over them, but still a good way to organize everything

I’m in choir practice right now, so I sadly can’t watch it. Guess I’ll just follow it on Twitter while wading through a bunch of Snyder Cut weenies acting like weenies

Skimblejones