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The Wild Eric

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Everything posted by The Wild Eric

  1. https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/heat-vision/james-wan-set-direct-original-horror-movie-1228232
  2. It Chapter Two Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-37 Days and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 32 26 6,143 0.42% Total Showings Added Today: 6 Total Seats Added Today: 1,030 Total Seats Sold Today: 4 Wow, only 4 seats got sold? This is about to flop. Mickey's Law has killed another one. I kid, I kid. Really, nobody even knows that tickets are on sale in a couple theaters. I'm probably gonna stop publicly showing these results until we get an official announcement, because it is going to be very very slow and very very uninteresting for the time being.
  3. Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 Days and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 54 627 9,100 6.89% Total Showings Added Today: 15 Total Seats Added Today: 2,721 Total Seats Sold Today: 158 Comps 0.13x of The Lion King 3 days before release (3M) T-2 The Lion King: 731 tickets sold that day (4,783 total tickets sold) Adjusted Comps 0.88x of Once Upon 3 days before release (5.1M) 9.83x of Crawl 3 days before release (9.8M) 8.83x of Stuber 3 days before release (6.6M) So good news is almost all of the comps increased from yesterday. The bad news is that the Once Upon comp, arguably the best fit, although not perfect, went down, albeit slightly. My comps are still all over the place, but I'm still not confident in anything huge right now, especially compared to what other people here are seeing.
  4. Sure opinions can change if you garner new outside information from other sources, and that doesn't invalidate something as your own. That's how research and developing predictions happen in the first place, and is why ideas morph and change through the years. Obviously it's not the exact same thing, but scientists look at other people's work and data all the time to develop hypotheses and experiments, but I don't see you complaining about that. And in the case of box office, yes having new information, whether it be tracking, presales, trailer views, movie reviews, and so on, can change people's minds, and can help people form new ideas or opinions about a movie's prospects, and we shouldn't shun people for that, nor go all "it's not your gut instinct. You can't change your mind like that." Just out of curiosity, there were plenty of people who were hesitant on Infinity War even topping 500M, let alone 670M, a year or so before the film opened, and only started changing their tunes once trailer view records were broken, ticket sales were strong, and hype seemed extreme across the board. Does that make those people now predicting 600M+ suddenly invalid because it wasn't "gut instincts" or whatever? Are they suddenly deserving to be made fun of or called out because they thought the film was going to be frontloaded back in 2016 or 2017? And hell, data can be interpreted in many different ways, positive and negative, and can be interpreted based on personal feeling. So, you know, a personal opinion based on other people's data or predictions? It doesn't even matter anyway. I started this stuff because JB's specific statement "everyone thought this was going to be #1 until IT 2" was only ever being said by one person, at least in the past couple weeks (mahnahmahnah in the weekend prediction thread, who is always overly optimistic), but if people got more receipts, I'm glad to hear them. The only reason we started talking about people predicting 600+ back in 2017 and 2018 was because MovieMan's been throwing a hissy fit for the last couple weeks because people are daring to commend a movie for making 1.5B, and he's all antsy because "YOU ALL SAID IT WAS A LOCK FOR 2B WHY ARE YOU ALL CHANGING THINGS WHY ARE YOU ALL STUCK IN THE PAST"
  5. Is the movie supposed to be super esoteric like Suspiria? It looks creepy and stuff sure, but is there some super non-GA/arthouse-audience-friendly stuff in there?
  6. I'm sorry, how is having other data no longer mean "true feelings"? Sure with tracking and presales you could do more of an educated guess, but your own interpretation on new information is still how you truly feel about something. We are human, so we can look at data and information we are given, and have different conclusions to something. Besides, are we not allowed to change our thoughts or opinions on something? And quite honestly, I usually consider year-ago predictions to be more on the optimistic side in the first place, and not fully indicative on what a forum thinks about something before release. If you think that people's predictions from 2017 or 2018 is what we should follow and listen to all the time, then fine by me. But that's just how we differ
  7. Ah yes, because posts made over a year ago when we had little to nothing to work off of is much more indicative of how people felt a couple weeks before release.
  8. Wasn't that only like one or two people? How does that apply to "everyone"?
  9. Awkwafina's next two projects (aside from Jumanji) are Disney productions.
  10. Is The Kitchen really not having any previews? Because one theater near me has Thursday previews at 7. Although to be fair, it is only just the one theater. Everything else start their tickets on Friday, at least right now.
  11. It Chapter Two Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-38 Days and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 26 22 5,113 0.43% Have no comps. It seems low, but I'm pretty sure these showtimes just got reinstated, and at this point most people are probably either sleeping or just plain not thinking about tickets at this point. Of course, we're also the only people who know that tickets are on sale in a handful of locations, so...yeah, this is just kind of nothing special. If people are interested, one location has sold 20 of those 22 tickets, and one locations has 18 of the 26 showings so far. Said 18-showings location is a 24-screener, so that does explain why that does have more. But having so many showings more than a month before its reveal does say, at least a little bit, how big some theaters expect the film to be. Also to @Biggestgeekever and his discovery, the two AMC locations available also only have it up to 7, while the independent theater starts at 5. Surprisingly, it's not the first time this has happened. Ocean's 8 4PM Thursday shows were AMC-only, while every other theater waited for 5. Don't ask me why that happened, but there is a precedence for this.
  12. Anyway, before we get to the goods... Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 Days and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 39 469 6,379 7.35% Total Showings Added Today: 9 Total Seats Added Today: 873 Total Seats Sold Today: 110 Comps 0.11x of The Lion King 3 days before release (2.66M) Adjusted Comps 0.92x of Once Upon 3 days before release (5.3M) 8.45x of Crawl 3 days before release (8.4M) 6.29x of Stuber 3 days before release (4.7M) Alright, so of the movies listed, Once Upon feels like the best one, just by being an older male-skewing film with a fanbase (although who knows which one is more fan-frontloaded?). At least using that 5.3M, I would have concerns. If it follows Fate of the Furious, that would result in just barely over 50M. And Fate came out in the spring. But of course, I don't have much to go off of. I don't even know how other F&F films acted. And of course, last week, all of my data was pointing towards a preview # in the 4M range for Once Upon, so it's not fair to be so pessimistic. But if this doesn't start gaining solid ground on Once Upon in the next three days...yeah, I'll be concerned.
  13. @Porthos how come the rest of the squad responded with a gif, but you didn't??????
  14. So....I just started prepping up for Hobbs & Shaw, and wouldn't you know it, It Chapter Two tickets are on sale...sort of. Only three theaters have showtimes up, but it's pretty clear we're gonna get a tickets announcement any day now. @Porthos @Inceptionzq @VenomXXR @captainwondyful y'all know what to do.
  15. Admittedly, I think a big part of that does have to do with a lot of other movies currently in theaters sucking up all the buzz and attention. Far From Home and Lion King were both humongous, and even Once Upon was a bit of a breakout with adult men who would be interested in this. By comparison, Guardians of the Galaxy arrived after an abysmal July, and Suicide Squad was targeting a much younger audience compared to Ghostbusters/Star Trek/Bourne a couple weeks before it.
  16. I don't know. I'll check some of the theaters around me later tonight, but I've been sensing zero buzz on this. Maybe it's because I'm not a big fan of the franchise or whatever, but I don't see anyone talking about it, both online and in real life. Fate of the Furious felt like it had way more chatter by comparison. It could end up hitting 70M or something by the end, but honestly an opening in the 50s would not surprise me in the slightest.
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