The Wild Eric

Can't wait for that creepy, uncanny, awkward-looking Venom face for two hours.

This is like 2009 meme material. They're really that desperate?

DL updated again

King of the Monsters also started at 4PM and had a very similar preview # (6.3M) and it did about 3.092

https://deadline.com/2019/07/once-upon-a-time-in-hollywood-quentin-tarantino-box-office-lion-king-weekend-1202654606/ FRIDAY Midday: Disney The Lion King is taking a bigger hit than was originally expected at this point in time with $77M-$78.5M, -60% after a second Friday of $23M, -70% from a week ago. Quentin Tarantino’s Once Upon a Time in Hollywood is currently besting its low $30M tracking with $40M and a $16.5M Friday that includes last night’s $5.8M.

https://deadline.com/2019/07/amazon-positions-theatrical-streaming-release-the-report-deeper-in-awards-season-1202654838/

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-ad-astra-and-rambo-last-blood/ Ad Astra: 15-25 range. 20/65 Rambo: Last Blood: 10-20 range. 14.5/35 Scary Stories: 11 (+10%)/29 (+9%)

I sincerely doubt this will have an IM on par with King of the Monsters, even with Tarantino fans frontloading Thursday

A King of the Monsters multiplier would give this 44M. But WOM seems better, and I don't think it will be that fan-driven, so it can probably do O/U 50M

https://deadline.com/2019/07/once-upon-a-time-in-hollywood-quentin-tarantino-box-office-lion-king-weekend-1202654606/

fyc

1. Will Once Upon A Time make more than $35M? 1000 Yes 2. Will Once Upon A Time make more than $50M? 2000 No 3. Will Once Upon A Time make more than $42.5M? 3000 Yes 4. Will Once Upon A Time make more than half of Lion King's Weekend total? 4000 Yes 5. Will Spiderman overtake Aladdin Domestically by the end of the weekend? 5000 No 6. Will Spiderman stay above Toy Story 4? 1000 Yes 7. Will Crawl stay above Yesterday? 2000 Yes 8. Will Endgame's PTA stay above $1000? 3000 Yes 9. Will Annabelle have a higher percentage drop than Midsommar? 4000 No 10. Will Stuber drop more than 52%? 5000 Yes 11. Will Toy Story increase more than 37% on Saturday? 1000 Yes 12. Will Secret Life of Pets stay in the top 12? 2000 Yes 13. Will Lion King Overtake Toy Story's Domestic Total by the end of the weekend? 3000 No 14. Which film in the upcoming top 12 will have the highest percentage drop? 4000 Midsommar 15. Will we see a CGI hippo balancing on the beak of a CGI toucan? 5000 Didn't you already ask that? Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Once Upon a Time's OW be? 44.3M 2. What will Yesterday's percentage drop be? -27% 3. What will Aladdin's PTA be? $1470 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Once Upon A Time in Hollywood 4. Toy Story 4 6. Yesterday 7. Aladdin 9. The Farewell 11. The Secret Life of Pets 2

The one thing that Neighborhood will likely have going for it, though things could change if it sucks, is that it will likely be a huge box office hit. Anecdotal, but I've been seeing a lot of people in my social circles going nuts over the trailer, and it was trending online the whole day. Especially if TIFF word comes out that it's a huge crowdpleaser a la Blind Side/Green Book, I can see it doing something crazy and do like $175M or whatever, which can go a long way for nominations, since The Academy will definitely want at least a couple of...popular movies. I also feel like if Little Women skips the fests (which isn't confirmed, but I wouldn't be surprised), it kind of has that uphill battle of not being able to build word with voters. Especially since Hollywood and Neighborhood won't have that problem. Of course then again, American Hustle did perfectly fine without a festival premiere. idk idk

https://deadline.com/2019/07/a-beautiful-day-in-the-neighborhood-sharing-is-caring-for-tristars-mister-rogers-trailer-1202653824/

Replace one of those movies with A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood (probably either Little Women or one of the Netflix movies), and I'd agree 100%. I'm very very confident in Neighborhood winning the TIFF People's Choice Award.

Once Upon A Time in Hollywood Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-0 Days and Counting (FINAL REPORT) Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 56 1,902 7,066 26.92% Total Seats Sold Today: 533 Adjusted Comps 4.19x of Crawl 0 days before release 6.83x of Stuber 0 days before release 0.19x of The Lion King 0 days before release T-0 Crawl: 274 tickets sold (429 total) Once Upon: 500 tickets sold (1,799 total) Stuber: 140 tickets sold (251 total) Once Upon: 478 tickets sold (1,714 total) Lion King: 1,957 tickets sold (7,607 total) Once Upon: 406 tickets sold (1,468 total) And now, we end with a range that seems more definitive, about 4.2M to 5.1M. Now part of why things came down to Earth is how early I began tracking the finals for Once Upon. All the other movies had previews later, and I don't really have the time to track stuff at 6 or 7 right now. Either way, this range is what most people here have been indicating for the past couple days, so I'd say it's fair to pick a number somewhere around that.

No definitive word, but my feeling is it'll drop after Hobbs & Shaw opens

Hobbs & Shaw T-8 Days and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 30 219 5,506 3.98% Total Seats Sold Today: 27 Comps 0.09x of The Lion King 8 days before release T-8 Lion King: 267 tickets sold that day (2,468 tickets sold in total) For the record, Hobbs & Shaw has started to pick up some steam. Of course by "pick up steam", that just means selling in the single digits to the double digits. Especially compared to something like Lion King, which is sadly the only comp I have available, it makes the film seem like it is performing worse than it actually is. I'm not expecting much from the movie at the moment, but I sincerely doubt a 2M preview number is even remotely on the table.