The Wild Eric

Hobbs & Shaw T-8 Days and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 30 219 5,506 3.98% Total Seats Sold Today: 27 Comps 0.09x of The Lion King 8 days before release T-8 Lion King: 267 tickets sold that day (2,468 tickets sold in total) For the record, Hobbs & Shaw has started to pick up some steam. Of course by "pick up steam", that just means selling in the single digits to the double digits. Especially compared to something like Lion King, which is sadly the only comp I have available, it makes the film seem like it is performing worse than it actually is. I'm not expecting much from the movie at the moment, but I sincerely doubt a 2M preview number is even remotely on the table.

Once Upon A Time in Hollywood Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 Day and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 56 1,369 7,066 19.37% Total Seats Sold Today: 451 Adjusted Comps 8.38x of Crawl 1 day before release 11.13x of Stuber 1 day before release 0.19x of The Lion King 1 day before release T-1 Crawl: 57 tickets sold that day (155 tickets sold total) Once Upon: 439 tickets sold that day (1,299 tickets sold total) Stuber: 36 tickets sold that day (111 tickets sold total) Once Upon: 388 tickets sold that day (1,263 tickets sold total) Lion King: 867 tickets sold that day (5,650 tickets sold total) Once Upon: 351 tickets sold that day (1,062 tickets sold total) So the range did come down to Earth slightly, but interestingly the lower end did see a rise. From 4.15M to 9.5M, now to 4.3M to 8.4M. It's good for two reasons. A smaller range means it's easier to extrapolate and measure things, while a higher lower end shows things are still trending in a positive direction. If these comps were actually of quality and work with the movie Once Upon is, I would be more confident in 4M+, but I am more and more confident in 3M+ by the day

Is @Rorschach cancelled?????

A live-action An American Tail/Ratatouille would flop harder than Mortal Engines, solely because of the lack of a cute factor. Rats and mice are disgusting irl.

I would say yes. If Once Upon follows Men in Black International (had 4PM previews), it would be at about 38.8M. If it follows Equalizer 2 (also 4PM previews, near identical calendar placement), that would mean 46.5M. It will likely have significantly better WOM than Men in Black, so that seems more like a low-end deal.

Once Upon A Time in Hollywood Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 Days and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 56 918 7,066 12.99% Total Showings Added Today: 12 Total Seats Added Today: 1,601 Total Seats Sold Today: 267 Adjusted Comps 9.52x of Crawl 2 days before release 11.31x of Stuber 2 days before release 0.18x of The Lion King 2 days before release T-2 Crawl: 32 tickets sold that day (98 tickets sold total) Once Upon: 223 tickets sold that day (874 tickets sold total) Stuber: 6 tickets sold that day (75 tickets sold total) Once Upon: 239 tickets sold that day (890 tickets sold total) Lion King: 731 tickets sold that day (4,783 tickets sold total) Once Upon: 202 tickets sold that day (853 tickets sold total) Now we're in a unique position. With such huge gains, the range has gone up considerably. Instead of 2.9M to 7.7M, we're now at 4.15M to 9.5M. Now before people start going crazy and predict breakout, it's important to note that none of these comps work. Crawl and Stuber had low presales, while Lion King is a completely different audience. However, the fact that this has reached the 4M mark on the low end, and it has gained a decent amount of tickets seems like a very good sign. Am I predicting 4M+ previews right now? No. Do I expect the lower end of the range to come down tomorrow and Thursday? Probably. But I am more confident in 3M+ previews than I was yesterday.

Martin > Fresh Prince

I would.

FWIW a couple of the theaters around me have been selling pretty decent so far. Maybe Tarantino fans are making this presales driven, but I feel pretty confident in 100M happening atm

https://www.tiff.net/events/ford-v-ferrari It mentions "Canadian Premiere" so it's probably heading to Telluride.

https://www.tiff.net/events/a-beautiful-day-in-the-neighborhood Coming to TIFF, and probably the Audience Award

https://www.tiff.net/events/abominable Following in Sing's footsteps

TIFF announced the first batch of movies that will be showing at the festival. In terms of notable releases: -A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood -Bad Education -Ford v Ferrari -Harriet -Honey Boy -Jojo Rabbit -Joker -Judy -Knives Out -Motherless Brooklyn -Pain and Glory -Parasite -The Goldfinch -The Laundromat -The Lighthouse -The Report -Uncut Gems Only real notable omissions (at least for the moment, they could still be added) off the top of my head are Ad Astra, Little Women, The Irishman, Queen & Slim, and Lucy in the Sky

I blame Gambit.

Once Upon A Time in Hollywood Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 Days and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 44 651 5,465 11.91% Adjusted Comps 7.73x of Crawl 3 days before release 7.91x of Stuber 3 days before release 0.12x of The Lion King 3 days before release Now, by design, I don't have a good comp here to work with. The reason I track this stuff is to help the movies of the future rather than the present. But as of right now, we've got ourselves a range between 2.9M to 7.7M. Outside looking in, I feel more confident on the lower end than the higher end. Not a bad thing mind you. Unless Tarantino fans frontload the film like crazy, I feel like the lower end still makes an opening in the 30s very very likely, which would probably ensure 100M IMHO.

Great movie, but I'm a touch surprised many of my fellow East Coast elites love Up so much.

lmao Jim Gang be wilding this past couple days

Counter-argument: Mulan features a duet from both 98 Degrees and Stevie Wonder. I love me some Philly Collins and NSYNC, but...come on.

Nah you're staying with me and @Porthos Gotta represent the old CC thread

Mulan trailer had Reflection playing in the background. Little Mermaid probably gonna play Part of Your World in all the marketing. Disney knows what they're doing.