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Everything posted by The Wild Eric
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
The Wild Eric replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Care to explain why you think it will be interesting, thanks to some fancy numbers? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
The Wild Eric replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
For me, the issue over TLK's IM comes down to its preview size. If it really does hit 20M+, that is a large amount of demand already taken care of. Sure, it won't play out like a Marvel, SW, or HP joint, but it's still a lot of money being made and a large chunk of its target audience satisfied. Especially since we're in the peak summer season, there's going to be more kids flocking to see it on Thursday, and while there will still be a big chunk of kids during the weekend, it's not going to be as large as, say, Beauty and the Beast which opened in the spring. And yeah, Incredibles 2 managed to do 9.875x off its preview in the middle of summer with an 18.5M preview haul, but that also had Father's Day to inflate its IM, which Lion King won't have. I dunno, I think 8-10x is the range we're going for, with the lower and higher end all dependent on early audience reception. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
The Wild Eric replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
The Lion King Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 Days and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 105 3,588 19,193 18.69% Total Seats Sold Today: 317 So to put things into perspective, this was the last 5 days: 267, 257, 305, 241, 317. So we went from up, down, way up, way down, and way up again. Oh Jon Favreau, why must you play with my emotions? Nah but for real though, a lot of this jump does have to do with it now being the Sunday before release. People bought their tickets for movies this weekend already, now people are gearing up for the new biggie. But of course, it's only one data point, and we've still got four more days to go before the movie comes out. But right now, I think it's on the right foot at the moment. But let me just say that this kind of "up down" nonsense this past week was acceptable this week, but if tomorrow even just does 316...yeah, we might be in for a rude awakening. -
@MrPink we really need your input on this. 🤔
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
The Wild Eric replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
The Lion King Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 Days and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 105 3,271 19,193 17.04% Total Seats Sold Today: 241 Huh. Seems like yesterday was an overperformance, as today came down to Earth and back to the levels of Wednesday and Thursday. I don't know if that's a good or bad thing, but I'll definitely admit that I would have preferred if the movie stayed closer to 305. -
...oh no.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
The Wild Eric replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
The Lion King Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 Days and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 105 3,030 19,193 15.79% Total Seats Sold Today: 305 I'm actually surprised at the seats sold here. On the day that reviews dropped, the film declined from the prior day's ticket sales. But a day later, with those reviews setting in, it leapfrogged over yesterday and the day before when it comes to tickets sold. I guess it's kind of a combination of a lot of things. It's about a week away, so people and families are just now getting their tickets in. People read the reviews, thought it over, and the whole main complaint of "It's just the same movie again" is weirdly kind of a draw for a good chunk of its audience. The Tomato turned fresh, so Tomato Law worked its magic...okay, I kid on the last one, but those first two are pretty strong theories...probably? I dunno. -
🤔