The Wild Eric

The photos are trending on Twitter right now by the by 👀

https://deadline.com/2019/06/paramount-martin-scorsese-leonardo-dicaprio-killers-of-the-flower-moon-cineeurope-1202634735/ It's a Paramount joint now

😍 Costumes in general look amazing too.

Curious to know, what do you think holds for this weekend will be depending on these numbers?

Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday A Wrinkle In Time 3,698 4,864 15,601 Truth Or Dare 385 760 2,133 Upgrade 9 119 522 Adrift 63 308 1,268 Hereditary 659 1,178 3,181 Hotel Artemis 26 166 520 Incredibles 2 20,872 23,430 39,337 Jurassic World 2 9,310 12,761 23,266 Sicario 2 788 1,282 3,403 Antman & The Wasp 6,613 5,990 11,108 Unfriended 71 240 975 Christopher Robin 1,560 2,442 5,355 11,509 Slender Man 177 418 1,091 3,737 Kin 21 141 263 741 Hellfest 195 304 661 Nutcracker 1,659 1,949 2,567 5,518 Fantastic Beasts 8,956 14,238 21,861 31,880 Possession of Hannah Grace 105 285 893 3,053 Spider-Verse 3,715 5,208 9,858 19,972 Escape Room 111 368 1,543 7,297 Replicas 21 133 336 1,002 Lego Movie 2 2,552 4,130 8,601 13,320 The Prodigy 161 359 847 2,288 How to Train Your Dragon 3 3,724 6,674 12,935 21,313 Greta 120 287 824 1,962 Captive State 60 172 402 1,203 Dumbo 3,069 4,624 9,218 16,140 The Curse of La Llorona 896 1,159 2,704 8,279 Aladdin 9,948 12,038 21,152 31,549 Toy Story 4 12,605 13,388 Child's Play 657 923 Anna 70 186 Toy Story Tuesday 94% of Fantastic Beasts 2 (58.4M) 257% of Spider-Verse (90.9M) 275% of A Wrinkle in Time (91.2M) 111% of Aladdin (101.8M 3-Day, 129.9M 4-Day) 57% of Incredibles 2 (104.4M) 201% of Dragon 3 (110.4M) 324% of Lego 2 (110.6M) 289% of Dumbo (133.2M) 548% of Christopher Robin (134.8M) 687% of Nutcracker (139.8M) 105% of Jurassic World 2 (155.3M) 223% of Ant-Man 2 (169.4M) Day 11-4 61% of Incredibles 2 (112.5M) 127% of Aladdin (116.3M 3-Day, 148.5M 4-Day) 419% of Lego 2 (143M) 278% of Dragon 3 (153.2M) 373% of Dumbo (171.4M) Day 18-4 61% of Incredibles 2 (112.2M) 126% of Aladdin (115.6M 3-Day, 147.6M 4-Day) 402% of Lego 2 (137.2M) 266% of Dragon 3 (146.3M) 336% of Dumbo (154.5M) Yeah, there's no excuse here. This is an atrocious day for Toy Story. Especially this late in the game, this shouldn't have barely rose from Monday. Like now I'm this close to doubting even Dory numbers. Either this needs to explode on Wednesday, rely on hardcore walk-ups, or both. Child's Play 78% of Hereditary (10.6M) 72% of Sicario 2 (13.7M) 257% of The Prodigy (15M) 304% of Hell Fest (15.6M) 324% of Hannah Grace (20.7M) 80% of La Llorona (21M) 121% of Truth or Dare (22.7M) 221% of Slender Man (25.1M) 251% of Escape Room (45.7M) The comps came down to earth, and the results seem pretty solid for a movie like this. Anna 65% of Greta (2.9M) 140% of Replicas (3.3M) 108% of Captive State (3.4M) 112% of Hotel Artemis (3.6M) 132% of Kin (4M) 60% of Adrift (7M) 156% of Upgrade (7.3M) 262% of Unfriended 2 (9.6M) LOL

👀 👀 👀

Look I know it's cool to hate on Grace here, but she never said sub-$100M, just underperform compared to tracking and expectations. And looking at today's results on Pulse as of now, I can see why she would have that trepidation.

Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday A Wrinkle In Time 3,698 4,864 15,601 Truth Or Dare 385 760 2,133 Adrift 63 308 1,268 Hereditary 659 1,178 3,181 Hotel Artemis 26 166 520 Incredibles 2 20,872 23,430 39,337 Jurassic World 2 9,310 12,761 23,266 Sicario 2 788 1,282 3,403 Antman & The Wasp 6,613 5,990 11,108 Christopher Robin 1,560 2,442 5,355 11,509 Slender Man 177 418 1,091 3,737 Kin 21 141 263 741 Hellfest 195 304 661 Nutcracker 1,659 1,949 2,567 5,518 Fantastic Beasts 8,956 14,238 21,861 31,880 Possession of Hannah Grace 105 285 893 3,053 Spider-Verse 3,715 5,208 9,858 19,972 Replicas 21 133 336 1,002 Lego Movie 2 2,552 4,130 8,601 13,320 The Prodigy 161 359 847 2,288 How to Train Your Dragon 3 3,724 6,674 12,935 21,313 Greta 120 287 824 1,962 Captive State 60 172 402 1,203 Dumbo 3,069 4,624 9,218 16,140 Shazam 5,099 **391 ***2,099 17,154 The Curse of La Llorona 896 1,159 2,704 8,279 Aladdin 9,948 12,038 21,152 31,549 Toy Story 4 12,605 Child's Play 657 Anna 70 **12am-5am ***7pm-12am Toy Story Monday 141% of Fantastic Beasts 2 (87.5M) 60% of Incredibles 2 (110.3M) 341% of A Wrinkle in Time (112.9M) 127% of Aladdin (115.9M 3-Day, 148M 4-Day) 339% of Spider-Verse (120M) 247% of Shazam! (132.3M) 191% of Ant-Man 2 (144.5M) 760% of Nutcracker (154.6M) 494% of Lego 2 (168.5M) 338% of Dragon 3 (186.2M) 411% of Dumbo (188.9M) 808% of Christopher Robin (198.6M) 135% of Jurassic World 2 (200.4M) Day 11-4 64% of Incredibles 2 (116.1M) 135% of Aladdin (123.5M 3-Day, 157.6M 4-Day) 268% of Shazam! (143.2M) 475% of Lego 2 (162.1M) 330% of Dragon 3 (181.6M) 421% of Dumbo (193.8M) Day 18-4 63% of Incredibles 2 (115.3M) 132% of Aladdin (121.3M 3-Day, 154.8M 4-Day) 438% of Lego 2 (149.6M) 269% of Shazam! (144M) 355% of Dumbo (163.5M) 299% of Dragon 3 (164.8M) So, is it bad to say I'm kinda disappointed with this Monday? It's obviously fantastic in a vacuum, and it should still deliver an opening higher than TS3, but...I dunno, I feel like if this movie was gonna breakout, it should be doing higher, at like 15K tickets or something. But hey, maybe I'm just overreacting over nothing. It is admittedly pretty late. Child's Play 100% of Hereditary (13.5M) 83% of Sicario 2 (15.8M) 337% of Hell Fest (17.3M) 73% of La Llorona (19.3M) 408% of The Prodigy (23.9M) 171% of Truth or Dare (31.9M) 626% of Hannah Grace (40.1M) 371% of Slender Man (42.2M) This is actually pretty solid for Child's Play. Sure it could be a bit presales-driven due to the established fanbase, but this seems pretty decent, although I have strong doubts in the high-end even being a possibility. Anna 58% of Greta (2.6M) 117% of Captive State (3.6M) 333% of Replicas (7.9M) 269% of Hotel Artemis (8.7M) 333% of Kin (10.1M) 111% of Adrift (12.9M) I honestly forgot this movie even existed until today. And I got the trailer for this in front of two different movies. Probably says a lot about this movie's prospects more than these numbers do.

At the same point in time, today's Toy Story results on Pulse are about 243% ahead of Sunday's, which would translate to about 18.6K. Now that number should come down considerably in the next few hours, but I feel like 12K or something is probably the floor here at this point in time, unless sales slow down by a lot in the next few hours.

Happy Death Day 2U did 124K one day before release.

For Toy Story comps, Aladdin did 1.2M 10 days before release, while Pikachu did 1.5M at the same point in time. As for FFH, Captain Marvel did about 5.4M 10 days before release.

The prodigal son has returned.

Great. Another thing I gotta worry about.

Movie/Date Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday Toy Story 4 1,724 2,015 3,101 3,145 2,762 2,471 5,413 11 days 10 days 9 days 8 days 7 days 6 days 5 days Annabelle 3 66 55 81 53 56 60 65 16 days 15 days 14 days 13 days 12 days 11 days 10 days Spider-Man FFH 907 803 1,192 1,064 941 630 1,073 22 days 21 days 20 days 19 days 18 days 17 days 16 days Toy Story Day 11-5 66% of Incredibles 2 (120M) 140% of Aladdin (128.6M 3-Day, 164.1M 4-Day) 282% of Shazam! (150.8M) 464% of Lego 2 (158.4M) 325% of Dragon 3 (178.9M) 428% of Dumbo (197M) Day 18-5 64% of Incredibles 2 (117.8M) 135% of Aladdin (124M 3-Day, 158.3M 4-Day) 416% of Lego 2 (141.9M) 281% of Shazam! (150.4M) 334% of Dumbo (153.6M) 284% of Dragon 3 (156.1M) Added in a new set to look at, and it's...interesting. I don't know what the "11-6" comps looked like (I don't really want to either by the by), but those comps do point to an above-average opener...kinda. I said this before, but Incredibles and Aladdin, arguably the strongest comps to use here, have the film opening, fine, albeit just slightly above TS3. But then everything else points to a breakout. I'll probably just wait until tomorrow to see where the dust settles. Annabelle Day 16-10 12% of Us (8.4M 3-Day, 10M first 5 days) 23% of The Nun (12.6M 3-Day, 14.6M first 5 days) 289% of The First Purge (50.2M 3-Day, 90.3M 5-Day) Day 22-10 13% of Us (9.3M 3-Day, 11.1M first 5 days) 33% of The Nun (17.8M 3-Day, 20.6M first 5 days) 340% of The First Purge (59.1M 3-Day, 106.4M 5-Day) Cumulative 260% of The First Purge (45.2M 3-Day, 81.4M 5-Day) All the comps went down, which is still explainable for Us and Nun, since their "Day 10" was a Tuesday. Purge is also coming down to Earth, which is also good, because then we can actually extrapolate something. Far From Home Day 22-16 13% of Infinity War (32.4M 3-Day, 40.6M first 6 days) 46% of Captain Marvel (71.3M 3-Day, 87.2M first 6 days) Day 29-16 12% of Infinity War (31.1M 3-Day, 38.9M first 6 days) 43% of Captain Marvel (65.5M 3-Day, 80.1M first 6 days) Drops, but like Annabelle, it's excused due to Day 16 being a Wednesday for the comps. Not really anything interesting at the moment.

It's been mentioned before, but the main reason people like MIB is Will Smith. No one really cares about the world or lore of Men in Black, so take him out and nobody cares, unless you brought in a new A-lister. That's an issue with a lot of other star-driven vehicles, but when they get repackaged, studios played it smart by getting a huge A-Lister people like to replace the previous A-lister people like. Ocean's 8, Jumanji and Aladdin played it smart because they got a big actor people like to help spark interest and buzz. The only reason I saw these movies was because I like Sandra/Cate/Dwayne/Will, and I wanted to see what they would do with the material. Obviously the bad reviews would still cause the movie to sink, but I think replacing just one of the two leads with an A-lister (RDJ would have probably done wonders in the Hems role) would have helped it garner a bit more money on OW.

Movie/Date Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Toy Story 4 1,724 2,015 3,101 3,145 2,762 2,471 11 days 10 days 9 days 8 days 7 days 6 days Annabelle 3 66 55 81 53 56 60 16 days 15 days 14 days 13 days 12 days 11 days Spider-Man FFH 907 803 1,192 1,064 941 598 22 days 21 days 20 days 19 days 18 days 17 days Toy Story Day 18-6 66% of Incredibles 2 (121M) 135% of Aladdin (123.9M 3-Day, 158.2M 4-Day) 428% of Lego 2 (146M) 320% of Dumbo (147.2M) 268% of Dragon 3 (147.3M) 276% of Shazam! (147.8M) Day 24-6 259% of Shazam! (138.5M) 82% of Incredibles 2 (149.9M) 302% of Dragon 3 (166M) So I said yesterday, I would have been very confident in TS4 opening super big if it increased on Saturday. That did not happen, but that doesn't mean we should start the doom and gloom party just yet. Just about all of the comps saw an increase, even if slight, and it still held pretty well Friday to Saturday either way. But yeah, it is what it is. The only other thing of note is the division for the first set of comps. Incredibles 2 and Aladdin are arguably the best comps to use with Toy Story (yes, I know about Memorial Day), but they have it in the low 120s. Then you have the remaining comps, which weren't as pre-sales driven and arguably don't work as well as the previous two, and they have it somewhere in the 140s. So this begs the question: Do we go pessimistic and believe the fan-driven, nostalgic Disney properties create a clear path? Or do we go optimistic, and believe in the hyped, but nowhere near as buzzy average openers? Or perhaps do we say rave reviews, no competition, and Mickey's Law will help make the movie soar to these heights? I don't know an exact answer, but it will be something interesting to talk about in the next couple days. Annabelle Day 22-11 15% of Us (10.6M 3-Day, 12.7M first 5 days) 40% of The Nun (21.4M 3-Day, 24.8M first 5 days) 372% of The First Purge (64.7M 3-Day, 116.4M 5-Day) Cumulative 271% of The First Purge (47.1M 3-Day, 84.8M 5-Day) I thought The First Purge would add more clarity, but it ended up making things a bit worse. Purge really only sold a handful of tickets until a couple days before premiere. I guess it's not as fan-driven as one might expect? Anyways, I'm sure some people might be concerned about the drop from both Us and The Nun, but it's important to remember that we're comparing a movie on a Saturday to two movies on a Monday at the same point in time. That's a pretty key difference when it comes to presales and when things get bought and stuff. So yeah, this is a pretty hard film to track at the moment, but hopefully things become more clear in the coming days. Far From Home Day 29-17 13% of Infinity War (33.1M 3-Day, 41.5M first 6 days) 48% of Captain Marvel (73.1M 3-Day, 89.4M first 6 days) Like Annabelle, I'm comparing a movie that is currently on a Saturday with movies that were at a Tuesday at the same point in time. That means something. But it still seems to be going strong, so there's nothing really to worry about at the moment.

Rorschach, you should know better than this.