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Everything posted by DAJK
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Can confirm, Dune is playing pretty similar to what Barbie did last year in Canada. Maybe SLIGHTLY under.
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Authur the King isn’t playing ANYWHERE on Vancouver Island! Any chance the studio is skipping a Canadian release? -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
I’ve seen it. It’s good, but in that “your standard British biopic” kind of way. Hopkins is good, but I don’t think anything in the film is as powerful as the real TV clip it’s based on. Side note, I showed my students in Social Studies 10 the real Winton clip last year before I knew this movie was a thing. For any schoolteachers out there, this is a pretty good WW2 film to show a class. Anyways, back to box office lol. -
Holds for this have been insane. If it follows Panda 3 from this point on, it finishes with 215M+. Now, I don’t think it’s going to keep up with that movie, but 200 doesn’t seem THAT far fetched right now.
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
I made a tiktok back in January talking about what I think the big box office flops of 2024 will be. I was on the money with Argylle, and next on my hit-list was Frozen Empire. Sony better watch out -
That’s… very good for Panda. Must be somewhat of a Spring Break effect. Or the audience really is mostly college-age adults
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Log scene was filmed about 2 minutes away from where I grew up. Actually on my route driving to school. I’ll tell ya, I thought about it every single day. We all did, especially whenever we were behind a logging truck.
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Emma Stone only needs 1 more Oscar to match Dormand/Streep. Which she will definitely get someday. Honestly amazing for her, she’s truly a great actress. Also, while I may have personally voted for I’m Just Ken, I’m so happy What Was I Made For won. The effect that song has on many of the women in my life, especially my younger sister who typically does not like movies and finds it difficult to connect with them, warms my heart, and I’m so happy that she has this to celebrate.
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I'm not sure how well the "starved kids demo" is going to serve IF and/or Garfield in May. Honestly, I could see both movies somewhat cannibalizing each other, only putting up "respectable" grosses rather than one of them truly breaking out. I genuinely think that both have "200M+ potential" but for now I'm thinking they both gross somewhere in the 75-125 range (unless IF for example turns out to be top-tier Pixar quality, which I'm doubtful of). Thinking IF does Tomorrowland numbers (80-90M total) while Garfield does Angry Birds/Migration numbers.
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Imaginary | Lionsgate | March 8, 2024
DAJK replied to movies!movies!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
This and Night Swim were about the same quality-wise for me. Ugh. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Not tracking related but I was still working as a movie theater manager that weekend. My god, that was probably the worst shift I had ever worked, Sunday matinee on Minions opening. We got absolutely CRUSHED by the business. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Really great walkups tonight for Panda across pretty much every theater I looked at. Comps point to 3x The Bad Guys and Trolls 3 (true Thursday) previews. Ahead of Lightyear and Elemental by a healthy margin (pretty much any non-Spiderverse or Minions animated movie post-Covid). Wouldn't be surprised if previews come in above 3M (dare I say 3.5?), but I'll hedge my bets for now, since all other trackers are suggesting somewhere around 3M. But don't be shocked if the number comes in tomorrow morning at 3.5M. Imaginary is less impressive. 750k give or take is what I'm seeing from my markets. And WOM isn't likely to be good, so I wouldn't be surprised if this winds up in high single digits for the weekend. Cabrini is what really surprised be. Very, very strong numbers here. And what's more, a lot of those were walk-ups, not pre-bought Church groups. Curious what this is going to look like over the weekend. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Don’t have full comps yet, as I’ve just done a few seat counts (waiting for numbers to come in from some friends) but Panda’s looking pretty solid in terms of sales throughout the weekend. Definitely ahead of Trolls by a wide margin. I’d be shocked if it opened under 30. -
Dune 2 Opening Weekend Thread [3/01/24 -3/03/24] [82.5m DOM OW]
DAJK replied to Porthos's topic in Numbers and Data
So Madame Web outgrossed the opening weekend of Morbius after all. Small victory I guess? -
Dune 2 Opening Weekend Thread [3/01/24 -3/03/24] [82.5m DOM OW]
DAJK replied to Porthos's topic in Numbers and Data
I mean, Robin Williams did do Flubber and Good Will Hunting in the same year 🤷♂️ -
Dune 2 Opening Weekend Thread [3/01/24 -3/03/24] [82.5m DOM OW]
DAJK replied to Porthos's topic in Numbers and Data
Unrelated to Dune, but now that I'm working now and no longer in school, I have more time on my hands in my non-work hours, and have been trying to catch up on (good) movies from the 80s-90s-00s that I've never seen (so if any of you have recommendations, send them my way!) Watched Apollo 13 last week. Pretty good movie, well-directed and well-acted, even if I didn't connect with it on an emotional level. 4 stars. Watched Edward Scissorhands last night. UM... WHY HAS NO ONE FORCED ME TO WATCH THIS MOVIE BEFORE NOW??? Big Fish is my favourite movie of all time, so I'm all for sentimental Burton. It's still my #2 Burton (nothing will ever top Ewan McGregor in a field of daffodils) but it's really strong, and the last 30 minutes really, really works. Also, Danny Elfman....?!?!?!?! Ice Dance has got to be one of my favourite pieces of music ever written for a film. I want this Burton back. Hopefully Beetlejuice 2 is good and has some of his flair from his earlier works. But I really hope he makes something original next. A high-concept fantasy/fairy-tale. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Yea… Dune was really strong here in southwest BC (Vancouver/Van Island). The first Dune was also incredibly strong (played like an 80M opener if not higher). Dune 2 previews at the various theaters I have access to all had previews in the range of 13-18M without EA. Again, these are going to overindex like crazy, but even without the high ATP the sheer number of tickets sold was pretty insane. Well ahead of what Oppy did in the middle of summer across the board, and approaching Barbie levels in some locations. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Sorry, what? Completely uncalled for. Anyone with valid data/tracking is welcome in here, which you don’t seem to be providing.