DAJK

I certainly did NOT expect One Love to play nearly as strong in Canada as it would in the US. Alas, the only thing I see holding it back tomorrow here is capacity. Yep, it’s at that point. Theaters (either contractually or because of lack of foresight) booked Madame Webb in the bigger/multiple auditoriums, rather than One Love. While Webb isn’t selling terribly, it’s at a fraction of what I’m seeing from One Love. It looks like theaters are scrambling to try and add showtimes tomorrow. For now, I’ll go with 5-6M for Madame Webb, and 10-12 for One Love (maybe a bit higher?). That being said, I could also see both of these being one-day wonders.

I’m fully on board the Bob Marley over 10M OD train. I really think this will play like the next All Eyez on Me, although I hope it can total 60M or so, since the box office is so dire. Madame Webb doesn’t look terrible for OD, I’ll go 5-6M but yea it’s going to collapse hard after that.

Calling it, there’s going to be a tornado disaster somewhere in Oklahoma/Nebraska sometime in May/June and people are going to call for this movie’s release to be canceled.

This looks strong. I’ll bite. 55/150/425

Looks like something people will eat up. I for one am excited. Would be SHOCKED if this went under Deadpool 2.

Lisa Frankenstein is looking ABYSMAL here. Thursday numbers in my area would have suggested 400-500k previews. I’d guess Friday is going to be 2M or under. Bob Marley… woah, those VDay sales are STRONG. Wouldn’t be surprised with 7-8M OD.

Was this the date people were speculating for Lilo and Stitch? I guess that’s staying as a streaming movie then?

Someone's trying real hard to be the next M3GAN.

Not sure if this is the popular opinion on here, but I think the last few years have been kind to TASM2. It's not "amazing" but especially with the quality of CBMs lately, the fact that the story never got proper closure, and Andrew's return in No Way Home, that people have started to look back a lot more fondly on that movie. I know I have. If Sony were smart (and if they're legally allowed) I would get a TASM3 off the ground as fast as possible, taking place after NWH (or before?). Get Tom Hardy in there, not saying it would be a billion-dollar movie, but it could come close. But the window for that is closing fast I think.

I remember enjoying both Sonic movies, but for the life of me I couldn’t tell you a single thing that happens in either of them. Might be in for a rewatch.

Not sure why marketing has been so non-existent for this. Either Universal has dropped the ball completely, or they know they have a total stinker on their hands.

Not gonna lie, Argylle’s internal multiplier is pretty strong. If it actually did 2.5M previews like many trackers were suggesting was possible before this week totally fell apart, that would adjust to a 27M opening or so.

Obviously a good box office run would be BETTER for Apple, but I gotta give it to them for putting out three “buzzy” titles in a row. Sure, they cost too much and didn’t generate enough returns, but Killers got a lot of awards buzz (plus Marty + Leo + DeNiro), Napoleon clearly had audience interest looking at its box office numbers, before the WOM became toxic. And Argylle essentially became a meme. People are talking about titles on Apple TV+. Get big stars over to your platform, and audiences will eventually follow.

6.5 Friday for Argylle seems much more walkup-friendly than I was expecting based on WOM. Good sign I guess(?) although it’ll crash and burn next weekend with the Super Bowl.

Yep, not to pile on to an already-dead horse, but Argylle has pretty much had zero walkups today. The 5:30 show ended with just as many tickets as it had sold last night. The main 6:30 IMAX show is at 3 tickets more than it was at 7:30 this morning. Late evenings are at nothing lmao.

I know, but the hits need to keep coming (not that there has been a bona fide hit yet) to justify these releases. Napoleon doing over 200M WW despite pretty bad WOM is a good start. Argylle matching it’s numbers would be nice to see.

Seriously, I just really hope Argylle does well enough for Apple to justify putting more of their films in theaters. Movies like this flopping will just make streamers forego theatrical releases, which is bad for all of us.

I could see this doing Man From UNCLE numbers which, in the current box office climate, is a pretty nice win.

I'd say among general audiences, Cavill was pretty well-liked in MI6. Lots of people remember the fist-guns, and at least anecdotally my dad and uncle refer to Fallout as "the one with Superman". Plus, while Enola Holmes are Netflix, they were well-reviewed and well-liked. Witcher was also a pretty beloved hit among its core audience. I wouldn't say Cavill is A-list, but he's done pretty well for himself.

I just assumed the hate for this on these boards came from it being a Matthew Vaughan film. I could be mixing it up, but I thought I remember reading somewhere in a thread that there were quite a few people on here who don't like him/his films.

The thing people need to keep in mind for Madame Webb is that Wednesday is VDay meaning OD will probably be strong. That being said, Thursday will drop off HARD, and if the movie isn’t any good, the weekend isn’t going to recover once WOM hits.

Jokes aside Madame Webb is doing absolutely nothing here. 4 theaters I’m tracking, 3 haven’t sold a thing yet The fourth theater has 2 tickets sold Wed-Fri total. *sigh* Argylle kept chugging along, albeit slowly. Thinking 2-3M previews (probably the lower end now though) unless reviews skew heavily one way or the other. Dune continues to do well, with IMAX and PLF very very strong while regular shows are more tepid. Not sold on 10M+ previews yet, but if what I’m seeing is any indication, it could get close with the Sunday EA shows added in.

Dang Madame Webb’s already sold out every single show in my area. Argylle week 2 got canceled for more shows, Oscar ceremony pushed back a month so as not to have to compete with fourth weekend, and they’ve already begun constructing a new theater in my town.

You underestimating the power of Gosling.

Argylle isn’t having a bad start around here. 3 theaters each have presales that could suggest something like 2-3M previews, with Friday/Saturday holding up nicely. I think 20M could happen if reviews are good. Dune’s also very strong, and very very leggy throughout the weekend. For now, I’m going with a run comparable to Logan.