I see this dropping, but by how much depends on the quality of the film. I'm hoping for a better received film. I mean sure, it did well upon release, but nobody really cared for it later on. It'd be one of those sequels that no one asked for.
I definitely see a 75-80 4 day take for this, and let's say it get's around the same multiplier as the 1st (going off the 4 day take instead of the 3 day) you'd get 220M
While sure that could happen, if it's good, Disney would have to be careful about the release date. Memorial Day 2016, with X-Men opening against it, probably won't bode well for the film. If Disney can get a better date, and pull off a stellar marketing campaign AND boast good reviews, 220 is in play. However, as it stands now, I see this performing like a moderate blockbuster, at least domestically... so 190M for now. But i'd honestly be happy to be proven wrong by Disney