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Everything posted by DAJK
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Omen is NOT doing well for walkups tonight. Wouldn’t be surprised if Friday + previews come in under 3M. Monkey Man is doing fine I guess. It was pretty hot here last night for walkups but tonight is weaker. Could be because the weather in SW BC is really nice today. But yea, nothing to write home about.
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I can sort of understand Monkey Man not breaking out. It had online buzz, but at the same time nobody I know outside of the “online film / Letterboxd” community had ever heard of it. Now, if Civil War and Challengers both flop, I won’t really have any excuses. They’ve been pretty big online, and I’ve also heard real-world buzz about both. Monkey Man rather just felt like an online tentpole that never really crossed over. It sucks, but it’s also not incredibly shocking, and goes to show that studios need to figure out how to hit that sweet spot when trying to cross their marketing over from internet hype to real world ticket sales.
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
I’m always having problems with their website/app, but nothing this week tbh. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Weirdly both openers are not having previews at a couple locations I usually track, and instead start shows tomorrow. At the theaters that ARE playing them, Omen is a non-starter for sure. Monkey Man however is having some pretty great walkups, after some solid presales. If it weren’t for my better judgement saying that this is just an outlier, I’d be thinking this could hit 3-3.5M previews. -
Is there a way to check a particular user's most liked content? I wanna look back and be like "oh yea, this is where I ate."
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
2M previews for Monkey Man should surely lead to mid-to-high teens, no? Yea I think it'll play a bit to the Peele niche, but honestly I trust this tracking team a bit more than early Deadline projections. Thinking 15M+ for now unless I hear otherwise from one of our trackers, or until Thursday previews come in. -
The Garfield Movie | Sony | May 24, 2024
DAJK replied to AMCTheater2000's topic in Box Office Discussion
Part of me does think this could end up being another Angry Birds at the box office (which wouldn't be terrible) but part of me also thinks this could play like an Illumination film. -
Horror is very walk-up based (even the big juggernauts like the IT movies). If they peak too early by releasing reviews it could backfire (the collective consciousness doesn't exactly have long-term memory). There are instances where this does work (A Quiet Place) but if they can get anticipation to peak RIGHT before opening weekend it usually helps with walkups.
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The Garfield Movie | Sony | May 24, 2024
DAJK replied to AMCTheater2000's topic in Box Office Discussion
Anecdotal, but I was subbing for a grade 8-10 Drama class last week. They were doing a film unit, but I wasn't left with a lesson plan by the teacher (and was told I'd be teaching the class 5 minutes before it started). So we watched as a class a bunch of trailers for Summer 2024 movies and discussed whether they looked good or bad (followed by a vote "how many of you are going to see this in theaters?") This movie got the biggest YES vote by far, across the board. The stoners, the theater kids, the quiet readers, the "jocks who don't wanna be there". All of them said they want to see this. Even higher than Despicable Me 4. -
I remember when Dawn was filming in my hometown. Ninth grade DAJK was pretty excited about all that. Also side note, but in retrospect 2014 was a truly awesome year for movies. The ones I liked/loved have only grown on me (Interstellar, Whiplash, Dawn, Fault in Our Stars, GOTG, etc.) and even the ones I didn't like as much on first viewing have grown on me too (TASM 2, Godzilla, Grand Budapest).
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Civil War | A24 | Alex Garland action thriller | 04/12/2024
DAJK replied to AniNate's topic in Box Office Discussion
I’m just more curious in this movie because it’s made by a non-American. And as a non-American myself I’m far more interested to see a non-American’s take on the United States. -
Civil War | A24 | Alex Garland action thriller | 04/12/2024
DAJK replied to AniNate's topic in Box Office Discussion
There are absolutely cases where this is definitely wrong, and where taking a “both sides” stance is a root cause of major issues. However, when it comes to an action movie that none of us have seen, I’m on team @Porthos here when I say we should just “wait and see” lol. It’s just a movie. -
Yea these movies just aren’t for me.
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Since people are starting to talk about May, I’m going to throw my hat in the ring with some predictions. Omen - 10/25 Monkey Man - 15/45 Civil War - 25/60 Ministry of Guy Ritchie - 6/15 Challengers - 12/30 Fall Guy - 60/185 Apes - 36/100 If - 28/90 Garfield - 45/150 Furiosa - 40/120 Bad Boys - 50/130 Inside Out - 125/400 Bikeriders - 10/35 Horizon 1 - 25/70 Quiet Place - 50/130 Despicable Me - 80/115/325 Twisters - 55/150 Deadpool - 160/420 Harold and the Crayon - 11/35 Borderlands - 18/45 Alien - 30/80 Horizon 2 - 20/60 Kraven - 30/60
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
DAJK replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Yes.