Wrath

Part A (Everything is the 3 day unless stated) 1. Will Alita Open to more than $15M? 1000 Yes 2. Will Alita Open to more than $21M? 2000 Yes 3. Will Alita Open to more than $18M? 3000 Yes 4. Will Isn't It Romantic Open to more than Alita? 4000 No 5. How many new releases will have a bigger 3 day weekend than Lego Movie 2? 5000 One 6. Will Happy Death Day open to more than $18M? 1000 No 7. Will Happy Death Day open to more than $24M? 2000 No 8. Will Happy Death Day open to more than $21M? 3000 No 9. Will the top four films combine to more than $80M? 4000 No 10. Will Glass say above the Prodigy? 5000 Yes 11. Will Miss Bala's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 No 12. Will Spiderverse have a bigger percentage drop than Aquaman? 2000 Yes 13. Will The Upside increase more than 175% on Friday? 3000 No 14. Will What Men Want drop more than 47% this weekend? 4000 No 15. Will Alita cross $1B WW by Saturday? 5000 1B Vietnamese Dong, sure. Part B: 1. What will Alita make for its 3 day? 28M 2. What will be the percentage change for Lego 2? -35% 3. What will Happy Death Day's PTA be? $3,000 Part 😄 1. Alita: Battle Angel 3. Isn't It Romantic? 5. Happy Death Day 2U 6. Cold Pursuit 8. Glass 11. Aquaman

Wk16 - Yes About 20.5m is the cutoff. Edit - Oops. Misread the question.

I KNEW it was a trap! There are no gimmes in the QotW this time. The only thing I know for certain is that its full of darkness. And pain. I guess the two things I know about the QotW this time is that its full of darkness and pain. And loss, obviously. Everyone knows that by now. So, the three things I know about the QotW this time are that its full of darkness, pain and loss. And frustration, now that I think about it. ... The four things...

I’m so, so bad at these. I think I’m going to start picking a random person to just copy each week. edit - QotW too. I KNEW it was a trap.

Part A 1. Will Lego 2 Open to more than $50M? 1000 YES 2. Will Lego 2 Open to more than $60M? 2000 NO 3. Will Lego 2 Open to more than $55M? 3000 YES 4. Will Cold Pursuit Open to more than $9M? 4000 YES 5. Will Cold Pursuit Open to more than $12M? 5000 NO 6. Will The Prodigy open to more than $5M? 1000 YES 7. Will What Men Want Open to more than $22.5M? 2000 YES 8. Will Lego make more on Saturday and Sunday than the other 3 major new releases make all weekend combined? 3000 NO 9. Will Glass Stay above the Upside? 4000 NO 10. Spiderverse stay above Green Book? 5000 NO 11. Will Aquaman's PTA stay above $1,150? 1000 YES 12. Will Escape Room have a bigger percentage drop than DOg's Way Home? 2000 YES 13. Will Mary Poppins increase more than 105% on Saturday? 3000 YES 14. Will Miss Bala increase more than 120% on Friday? 4000 YES 15. Will Lego Superman have a weird invisible moustache? 5000 Of course. And having not seen it, I can confirm its there. Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Lego 2 make for its 3 day? 55.5M 2. What will be the percentage change for SPiderverse? -41% 3. What will Glass's PTA be? 2,100 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. Cold Pursuit 5. Prodigy 7. Green Book 9. Aquaman 10. Spidey-verse 12. Escape Room

Wk15 - Yes The way you’re asking it makes it feel like a trap, but I don’t see how so I’ll stick with it.

That trailer actually looked pretty awesome.

Wk14 - No

Part A: 1. Will Miss Bala Open to more than $6M? 1000 YES 2. Will Miss Bala Open to more than $10M? 2000 NO 3. Will Miss Bala Open to more than $8M? 3000 NO 4. Will Miss Bala open in first place? 4000 NO 5. Will any film finish 1st for all three weekend days? 5000 NO 6. Will Glass make more than $9M? 1000 YES 7. Will Serenity stay above Escape Room? 2000 NO 8. Will Aquaman have a larger percentage drop than Dog's Way Home? 3000 NO 9. Will One Boy's Search for... I give up, Ek Ladka ko dekha toh Aisa Laga make more than $1.25M? 4000 NO 10. Will the BTS monstrosity drop more than 63%? 5000 YES 11. Will The Upside increase more than 75% on Saturday? 1000 12. Will Green Book have a bigger percentage drop than Mary poppins? 2000 YES 13. Will A Dogs Way home have a PTA above $1,200? 3000 NO 14. Will Dragon Ball drop out of the top 20? 4000 YES 15. So, is this question better than last week's? 5000 Of course not. How could you improve on last week's meta-brilliance?  Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Miss Bala make for its 3 day? 6.7M 2. What will be the percentage change for Serenity? -58% 3. What will Aquaman's PTA be? $1,935 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Glass 4. Aquaman 6. Spidey-verse 7. Dog's Way Home 9. Green Book 12. Serenity

Abstain for now.

Fish-man and his Baby-mama, right?

Hah, yeah. That reminds me of a board game I was reading about. In the game, you play people who live in a village in some sort of peril and need to save the day. But the game makes clear you aren't the heroes. The most heroic people in the village already went out to save the day and died horribly. You're the second-string, the "Spies Like Us" team expecting to fail miserably but hoping to get lucky. Like that.

As one of the very few people to see Replicas, I’d like to say it got what it deserved. My mistake was having a few drinks before hand in hopes of appreciating some really epic camp and cult-film worthy badness and it failed to deliver on those grounds as well as conventionally. Which was a shame. The robot and the sidekick knew exactly what was up and tried their best, but they weren’t able to get the ball over the goalline.

Just updated OW and DOM, but haven't had a chance to update WW yet. The truly astounding thing to me is that Nutcracker actually has a fighting shot at making the game-end top 15. Nothing that's out right now that hasn't already passed it is likely to have the legs to catch it, and the only movie still to release through the end of the game that's a slam-dunk to pass it is Lego 2. Sure, any number of movies *could* overachieve and pass it (and the odds are probably pretty good that at least one of them will, most likely Alita). How to Train Your Dragon 3 *might* have an unexpectedly big OW and pass it, and it will almost certainly pass it within days of opening, but after the game ends. Given that Lego 2 will knock Nutcracker to 15, I don't think there's one specific movie that I'd bet on taking that #15 slot away from it though the Field, collectively, is probably 60/40 to catch it,. That's still good odds for such a failure of a movie. @glassfairy and @Simionski should be pleased, as The Upside and Instant Family are close to being locks for the top 15 and they were each the only one to pick their respective movies. Edit - WW is updated now as well. Amazingly, Nutcracker is in the exact same spot WW as it is DOM, and will likely be clinging precariously to 12th place as the game enters its final couple weeks (I don't think The Mule will catch it, but Glass should and Lego 2 definitely will). I'd put its odds of getting knocked off a little higher here than with DOM, since iirc, How to Train Your Dragon 3 (already at $29M WW) and Alita both release internationally before they release DOM, giving them more time to catch it.

Wk 13 - No

Part A: 1. Will The Kid Open to more than $9M? 1000 YES 2. Will The Kid Open to more than $13M? 2000 NO 3. Will Serenity Open to more than $4M? 3000 YES 4. Will Serenity Open to more than $6M? 4000 NO 5. Will The Kid make more than double Serenity? 5000 YES 6. Will Glass make more than $18.5M? 1000 NO 7. Will Dragonball stay above Spiderverse? 2000 NO 8. Will Dog's Way Home have a larger percentage drop than Bumblebee? 3000 NO 9. Will Escape Room stay above Mary Poppins'? 4000 NO 10. Will The Upside have a weekend gross within $2M of The Kid? 5000 YES 11. Will The Mule cross $100M on Sunday? 1000 YES 12. Will Aquaman have a PTA above $2,150? 2000 YES 13. Will Basis of Sex make increase more than 50% on Saturday? 3000 NO 14. Will Spiderverse increase more than 150% on Friday? 4000 YES 15. Will I come up with a better question 15 next weekend? 5000 Nope. I mean, this one is brilliant in a meta-way. Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will The Kid who would be King make for its 3 day? 10M 2. What will be the percentage change for Bumblebee? -46% 3. What will Escape Room's PTA be? 1,430 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Glass 3. Kid King 4. Aqua-bro 6. Serenity 8. Dragonball 11. Basis of Sex

1. Bohemian Rhapsody 2. Mary F-ing Poppins 3. Bumblebee

1. Will Glass Open to more than $45M? 1000 YES 2. Will Glass Open to more than $52.5M? 2000 YES 3. Will Glass Open to more than $60M? 3000 NO 4. Will Glass make more than 36% of its weekend total on Friday? 4000 YES 5. Will Upside stay above Aquaman? 5000 NO 6. Will Dog's Way Home drop more than 46%? 1000 NO 7. Will Replicas drop more than 55%? 2000 YES 8. Will On the Basis of Sex stay above The Mule? 3000 YES 9. Will Spiderverse's Domestic total overtake Mary Poppins'? 4000 YES 10. Will Vice stay in the top 12? 5000 YES 11. Will Bumblebee have a bigger percentage drop than Aquaman? 1000 YES 12. Will Bohemian Rhapsody Increase more than 50% on Saturday? 2000 YES 13. Will Escape Room have a PTA above $2,350? 3000 NO 14. Will An Acceptable Loss have a PTA above $11,000? 4000 NO 15. Will Glass have a Post Credits Scene that connects everything together so that this is all a prequel for After Earth? 5000 No. The scene will launch the NEXT trilogy! Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Glass make for its 3 day? 53.1M 2. What will be the percentage change for Mary Poppins? -40% 3. What will Replicas' PTA be? $550 (I'm going to go watch it 175 times myself) Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Upside 4. Dog's Way Home 5. Spidey 7. Mule 9. Escape Room 11. Vice

Wk12 - Yes But after last week I’m not feeling like saying anything cocky.

That trailer, (is it new?) actually wasn’t bad. Plus I think it helps their school uniforms look like Gryphyndor(sic) robes. I don’t see it being big, but it might make some money. Younger daughter saw it with me and she didn't want to admit she was into it, but I think she was.

1. Glass Previews - 5.5M 2. Friday - # 19.1M 3. 3 day weekend number - 51.5M 4. 4 day weekend number - 61M

So, does that mean we think MPR is actually reaching $200M?

Wk11 - Yes

Wk11 : Aquaman ; A Dogs way home Wk12 : Glass ; Aquaman Wk13 : Glass ; King Kid Wk14 : Glass : Miss Bala Wk15 : LEGO 2 ; What Men want Wk16 : LEGO 2; Alita Wk17 : How to train your dragon 3 ; LEGO 2

1. Will Dog's Way Home Open to more than $12M? 1000 YES 2. Will Dog's Way Home Open to more than $15M? 2000 NO 3. Will The Upside Open to more than $12M? 3000 NO 4. Will The Upside Open to more than $15M 4000 NO 5. Will Aquaman stay at number 1? 5000 YES 6. Will Replicas make more than $2.5M? 1000 YES 7. Will Replicas make more than $4M? 2000 NO 8. Will On the Basis of Sex make more than Replicas? 3000 YES 9. Will Escape Room stay above Mary Poppins? 4000 NO 10. Will Second Act stay in the top 12? 5000 NO 11. Will The Mule have a bigger percentage drop than Vice? 1000 NO 12. Will Bumblebee drop more than 44%? 2000 NO 13. Will The Ralph 2 have a PTA above $1750? 3000 YES 14. Will Holmes and Watson stay above Bohemian Rhapsody? 4000 NO 15. How many times is the dog gonna die in Dog's Way Home? 5000 How long is it? I'll go with 87. Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Upside make for its 3 day? 11.8M 2. What will be the percentage change for Spiderverse? -34% 3. What will Welcome to Marwen's PTA be? $550 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Aquaman 3. Upside 6. Bumblebee 8. Mule 10. Basis of Sex 12. Bohemian Rhapsody