Issue with Hunger Games would be tue distribution of Lionsgates; where we may not know the strength of many foreign distributors. I.e. For John Wick 4, it was not shown in 1/3 of theaters in Taiwan as well as in Singapore due to respective local distributor disagreement with local theaters, plus in Singapore - there was not a single IMAX showing. Donnie Yen's star power helped with the numbers so JW4 still beat all other 3 (despite theater count disadvantages).
With so many releases in Nov, studio distributors with subsidiaries overseas (i.e. WB and Disney) would have strong advantage over screen and theater count.. So Hunger Game overseas gross will likely not be that strong.