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POTUS

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POTUS last won the day on May 9

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  1. Aol down 98.9% for second weekend total will be just 1.126 x OW
  2. who would have though that Meg would hold -40% this weekend AoL helped with its 99% drop. Meg held shows because of it. It had 19% of shows last Saturday and 14% today. 900m/$130m locked. 1B/$145m will be difficult but possible with AM2 opening HT3 going to do $20m for the weekend. VD threw me off as well as a sub 3 PS multi.
  3. https://deadline.com/2018/08/crazy-rich-asians-wednesday-opening-box-office-1202446094/ ‘Crazy Rich Asians’ Wealthier Than ‘Meg’ At Weekend B.O. With $21M+ – Late Night Update WRITE-THRU FRIDAY PM following midday post: Refresh for chart According to industry estimates, Warner Bros.’ Crazy Rich Asians is still looking to best the studio’s shark movie The Meg for the top-spot at the weekend B.O., $21.6M to $20M. Crazy Rich Asians won Friday with $7M, to Meg‘s $5.9M. STX’s Mile 22 is close to being the lowest opening for a Peter Berg-Mark Wahlberg combo with $14.3M, well below the wide debut of their Lone Survivor ($37.8M, $125M) and Deepwater Horizon ($20.2M, $61.4M final), and just ahead of Patriots Day ($11.6M, $31.9M). Pic’s projected start is also below the high teens that some tracking services were spotting. Critics hate Mile 22 at 20% Rotten, calling this movie about “a black ops unit escorting a whistle-blower through dangerous streets” (Rolling Stone) confusing, and a chaotic mess. It also doesn’t help that the film is following in the wake of the best received and reviewed Mission: Impossible of all-time. Fallout is bound to be the highest grossing title in the franchise of all-time stateside, passing Mission: Impossible II‘s $215M. This weekend the sixthquel soaked up $11.1M in fourth place, -41% in weekend 4. Yes, Mile 22 is beating Fallout, but that’s possibly $11M-plus that could be in STX’s pocket. With an estimated $9.4M in 5th place and a budget in the high $50Ms, Alpha is a bust. An opening in the high $20M sphere would have been considered safe. Related
  4. https://deadline.com/2018/08/crazy-rich-asians-wednesday-opening-box-office-1202446094/ UPDATE FRIDAY MIDDAY: As of this minute, Warner Bros. Crazy Rich Asians is set to win the weekend with an estimated $20M, beating the studio’s Chinese co-production The Meg which is looking to hook $18M–$19M. Not The 'End All Be All' Of Asian American Studio... We understand that Crazy Rich Asians is over-indexing on the west coast in Seattle, Los Angeles, San Francisco and San Diego. Today will be around $6.3M-$6.5M taking the five day to an estimated $29M. On the high side, The Meg is -58% and is projected to count a running total of $81.6M by Sunday. STX’s Mile 22 is now looking at $5M for today, including last night’s previews of $1M, and an estimated weekend of $14M. That will give the Peter Berg-Mark Wahlberg collaboration a third place win. Studio 8/Sony’s Alpha is eyeing $3.5M for Friday and an estimated weekend around $10M in 5th. These are industry estimates. Related
  5. Player sheet https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16dIPYuc8PF5GatAbKfNyyKkflA-Al4EEUtkFA1I_gu4/edit?usp=sharing
  6. good to know last year ww2 and kill the wolf held flat on friday after thursday VD. Both bumped on saturday Maybe HT2 will hold flat instead of bumping 20%+. PS at 11.1m, should get over 17m
  7. dollar near a 10 year high to the yuan at 6.91. Also strong against most major currencies shanghai index near a 3 year low at 2723 the stock and currency markets could get interesting in the coming days and weeks yuan could go to 7.5 soon
  8. MI6 looking good compared to JW. Its possible it could be close for OW. MI4(8.9 Maoyan) made 672m/$106m January 2012. Based on market growth MI5(9.0) was expected to do $200m but with less action it did 870m/$136m $100m+ OW, $180m+ total is plausible with the franchise history and the current PS run rate. JW2 IW PS 1am MN %gain OD gain % gain Shows MN %gain OD gain %gain Shows Fri 0.09 0.39 4.8 Sa 0.14 55.6% 1.01 0.62 159.0% 10.6 0.4 6.5 Su 0.16 14.3% 1.18 0.17 16.8% 15.3 1.3 0.9 202.3% 11.0 Mo 0.26 62.5% 1.32 0.14 11.9% 18.0 2.0 0.7 53.8% 16.0 Tu 0.31 19.2% 1.57 0.25 18.9% 22.0 3.3 1.3 62.5% 22.0 We 0.46 48.4% 1.92 0.35 22.3% 25.6 4.6 1.4 41.5% 27.9 Th 0.56 22.6% 2.38 0.46 24.0% 33.4 5.6 8.5 3.9 84.8% 44.4 Fr 0.76 33.9% 3.60 1.22 51.1% 40.2 7.8 14.0% 14.6 6.1 71.8% 54.6 Sa 0.87 15.2% 4.46 0.87 24.1% 44.3 9.0 14.7% 18.5 3.9 26.5% 59.2 Su 0.99 13.8% 5.22 0.76 17.0% 47.0 10.1 13.2% 22.3 3.8 20.7% 63.0 Mo 1.09 10.1% 6.03 0.81 15.5% 49.3 11.0 8.5% 25.6 3.3 14.6% 66.0 Tu 1.22 11.9% 6.86 0.83 13.8% 53.0 11.9 8.2% 29.0 3.4 13.5% 69.7 We 1.3 9.0% 7.8 0.9 13.0% 55.6 12.8 7.6% 33.7 4.7 16.2% 72.8 Th 1.4 8.3% 8.8 1.1 13.8% 58.4 15.0 17.2% 43.1 9.4 27.9% 79.7 Fr 1.6 10.4% 10.3 1.5 16.7% 61.7 16.6 10.7% 50.4 7.3 16.9% 86.9 Sa 1.8 12.6% 12.3 2.0 19.5% 66.5 17.9 7.8% 58.2 7.8 15.5% 93.1 Su 2.0 10.1% 14.5 2.2 17.9% 70.5 19.3 7.8% 65.8 7.6 13.1% 97.0 Mo 2.2 11.2% 17.2 2.7 18.4% 74.1 20.9 8.3% 75.3 9.5 14.4% 100.5 Tu 2.6 17.8% 21.7 4.5 26.4% 83.5 22.8 9.1% 88.9 13.6 18.1% 112.8 We 3.1 21.3% 27.8 6.1 27.9% 100.9 25.8 13.2% 107.4 18.5 20.8% 133.6 Th 3.8 21.4% 37.0 9.3 33.3% 127.3 30.6 18.6% 129.0 21.6 20.1% 154.6 Fr(OD) 13.9 265.8% 59.7 22.7 61.4% 154.9 59.5 94.4% 182.0 53.0 41.1% 178.0 OD BO 13.9 202.4 239.0% 156.0 59.5 387.0 112.6% 182.0 Multi 3.39 2.12 PS m OD OD m OW OW m Total OD $ OW $ Total $ XR JW2 3.39 202 3.63 734 2.31 1696 32 115 263 6.45 IW 2.12 387 3.28 1271 1.90 2415 61 201 380 6.36
  9. Looks like it'll do 1.9x OD. A record for a non holiday/VD OD. a 3m friday could happen and be down 99% WoW and down 98% for the weekend. HT3 at Y9.75m PS. Could reach Y20m PS. If so, $30-40m OW. Not bad for a toon. HT2 did $20m total
  10. I think $70m+ could happen MI6 PS out of the gate strong. They've listed 24k shows already that helps early PS big league. I need a few days to track the run rate. It will need to increase 17% daily to get close to Y50m PS and $70m+ OW 16 days out 2.25m
  11. it'll get to 590m on thursday. if it can hold -66% next week it'll reach 800m/$116m, then AM2 opens and it makes just 35m/$5m more a 75% drop takes it to 775m/$113m 4 middling openers happening. it could hold -60% and try for $125m this friday. HT3 looking to open at least $25m with 6m in PS now. not bad next friday, AM2 PS are decent at 2.8m. That should land in the 30m range for PS. $50-60m OW looking good
  12. Apartment 302m OD 490m/$71.5m OW Weekday holds should be fun to watch, down 50%+ again today Island 151m OD 510m/$74.5m+ OW Will win the weekend with half of OD BO Meg 106m OD 330m/$48m OW Will be close to flat today with a 20% increase in shows from 19-23%, it should have good weekday holds as it will gain more shows daily and it will need them to cross 685m/$100m with 4 releases taking 65% of shows on Friday SS going to finish at 670m/$98.5m
  13. yup, fugly for me too. for the last month the holds are great then weak every other week DHD - Early Sat Box Office Pro Sat 1 Exxdee 92.54 Exxdee 92.85 2 PanaMovie 90.58 PanaMovie 90.08 3 Sheikh 90.06 Simionski 89.93 4 Simionski 89.97 Sheikh 88.45 5 TalismanRing 89.18 8wombi7 88.25 6 Tower 89.13 Tower 87.60 7 8wombi7 88.86 TalismanRing 87.40 8 WrathOfHan 88.11 WrathOfHan 87.26 9 The Fast and the Furiosa 87.76 Bates 85.78 10 Bates 86.86 Rolling Thunder 85.64 11 JMorphin 86.07 The Fast and the Furiosa 85.27 12 Rolling Thunder 84.96 JMorphin 84.38 13 Wildbill 84.92 dmatrixfilmdx 84.32 14 Litio 84.69 Wildbill 83.94 15 dmatrixfilmdx 84.22 Litio 83.89 16 Keanu 83.83 ZeeSoh 83.43 17 POTUS 83.40 sloth 83.33 18 ZeeSoh 83.17 boxofficeth 82.12 19 sloth 83.10 Keanu 82.01 20 boxofficeth 82.82 POTUS 81.56 21 chasmmi 82.05 feasby007 81.19 22 Wrath 81.96 ChipMunky 81.18 23 feasby007 81.92 Wrath 80.80 24 ChipMunky 81.66 Zeverly Hills Cop 79.86 25 BobDole 80.87 BobDole 79.83 26 Zeverly Hills Cop 80.58 chasmmi 79.75 27 TheXper 80.31 TheXper 79.40 28 kayumanggi 79.34 Fancyarcher 78.96 29 Boxx93 79.05 Boxx93 78.94 30 Fancyarcher 78.33 kayumanggi 78.38 31 Samarus 77.41 Samarus 77.45 32 carlsalf38 77.33 carlsalf38 77.15 33 Empire 76.92 Empire 76.28 34 GambitPool 76.68 AndyLL 75.60 35 Lights Camera Action 76.12 GambitPool 75.50 36 Zakiyyah6 75.51 lilmac 75.30 37 lilmac 74.95 Zakiyyah6 74.57 38 AndyLL 74.72 Lights Camera Action 74.54 39 JJ-8 73.39 JJ-8 72.89 40 Deja23 72.32 Deja23 71.11
  14. HT3 at 3.3m already. $20m+ OW incoming. More than HT2's run. AM2 PS at 1.4m. Still early but I think its heading to 30m in PS, $50m+OW
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