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Jack

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Everything posted by Jack

  1. At least you would have a clear idea of how the early WOM would be. If you hadn't seen it yet you had to wait a few days to accurately judge and make a prediction regarding those reviews and WOM. But still it depends on taste of the specific person also.
  2. $7m seems small for the current total of $1.511b but actually it is so far away. How can you earn those $7m from a 2-month old movie while several record-breaking blockbusters (JW, IO, Minions) are showing. Not easy for Studio or anyone to fudge that amount of money.
  3. Just last week several people thought topping F7 is impossible. Now it is the other way round. My advice is everyone should go and see JW before making a prediction.
  4. I suspect deadline got numbers from Studio estimates. And Studios got numbers from rth. That's why rth is more accurate while Studios will try to fudge or play safe by going with the higher or lower end of the range. (so far Universal has been playing safe with JW)
  5. JW 2d weekend is definitively within my expectation. But IO putting up a very good numbers on OW against that beast kind of surprises me a bit. It sure is a great movie by most standards. And what will amaze me the most is that 2 film each with over $100m in the same weekend could happen!! Is that also a record?
  6. Too bad IO won't come to my country until Aug 12. Honestly, I think the trailer is quite boring and didn't impress me at all. But the whole concept of the movie is extremely interesting. I definitely go to see it unless WOM turns out to be bad. I have high expectation for this movie since its concept is about minds which hold all philosophies in human life. It has to be good enough to at least make a significant impact on my perspective towards life.
  7. Fri 29-32 Sat 39-42 Sun 33-36 Wkd 101-110 I hope it will go near the high 110m weekend.
  8. Very true. I really hope she will be in the next sequel.
  9. This will have good legs for sure. It's a kind of movie you encourage people you know to watch because there are plenty of cool unspoiled scenes to talk about. 100+m 2nd wkd here we go!
  10. Sorry, I am a big fan of dinosaurs and I like all JP movies but I have to google those names to find out who is Goldblum. And I insist his character is not standout in the same level as Jedi in SW, HP in HP, Frodo in LOTR, or Pratt in JW.
  11. I think JP franchise doesn't have any permanent standout characters like SW, HP, or, LOTR (unless you count the T-rex and raptors). Hence the popularity dropped quickly in JP2 and JP3. It's like you have to get to know the new characters again and you're not likely to love them as much as the prequel. That's not the case now with JW, Pratt will be the lead actor for all next sequels. And I hope this will help JW2, JW3 do much better than JP2/3.
  12. I don't think the overall prediction was close at all. Only the very low bottoms were close. The average prediction WW of 1.6B to 1.4B actual, 200M+ difference. The whole range of those predictions doesn't even cover the actual. It doesn't literally mean "random". But it's far from being accurate.
  13. The audiences' impressions have been very good so far. The storyline of theme park, adventure, action-thriller, dinosaurs, attracts wide range of audiences; kids, adults, elders, both male and female. This can be a movie for the whole family. Everything is perfect for JW to perform incredibly well and has a good chance eyeing several records.
  14. just watched JW today in 3D and enjoyed it a lot. I'm a huge fan of dinosaurs since I was a kid.
  15. Those predictions were so random because they were predicted even before anyone had watched the film. The presales, the hypes from media, and especially the record-breaking of F7 in China, are the only major information they used for coming up with those predictions.
  16. I agree that any of those crisis has the possibility to happen. But how did you come up with the year 2026 or 11 years from now? China can fall but it can also recover. How many years will those crisis affect BO numbers? How long till the numbers start to recover and rise again? And what kind of historical data back that up? I can understand people predicted 2018/19/20 because they went with the current rate with a little margin added. But 2026? Could you please give us more explanation? Thank you.
  17. Thanks for the info. But I think you forget to take into account the increasing wage of employed persons in China. It can double the current value by 2020.
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