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Jack

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Everything posted by Jack

  1. Jack
    @cannastop @No Prisoners Yes, $124m for the contest.
  2. Jack
    I roughly thought Zoo will make at least half of what Frozen did in Japan (around $120m) and set my target at $100m. As it is crystal clear now that Zoo has the potential to go all the way to reach that mark, my guess is $124m.
  3. Jack
    @Foul01 Based on those facts you stated, your conclusion doesn't sound right. Zoo should make at least another $26-28m for at least $60-62 total.
  4. Jack
    What is the first sign that Zoo is officially considered as breaking out in Japan? Reaching daily no.1 during GW? No.1 on 3rd weekends? Great hold after GW? (what is an avg drop after GW anyway?) No.1 on 4th weekends? 2 consecutive wks at no.1? Close to staying flat from the 4th weekends on? Reaching $50m? Or else? Or never? Nothing is certain but I think Zoo reaching daily no.1 during GW is the sign of its breaking out and the following 3rd weekends no.1 with great hold will assure that.
  5. Jack
    Incorrect reasons, or absence of reasons, comes incorrect prediction.
  6. Jack
    I don't like the idea of some posters being superior or more valuable to the others. Even if it's true in some ways. And I don't know why.
  7. Jack
    798m ow 1985m total
  8. Jack
    It's only the first day for Zoo. WOM hasn't even kicked in yet. Isn't this movie about prejudice? Won't be surprised if it reaches 20x multiplier.
  9. Jack
    It added around 200k adm in the past 7 days. So to add another 700k looks very difficult. With an avarage weekly drop of 20%, it will add only another 600k for a total of 4.9m. However if it stays flat or has a surprised increase by the next few weeks, it will have a shot at reaching 5m. I hope it will get to at least 4.7m.
  10. Jack
    Double post Ps did the forum crash or something?
  11. Jack
    It will have longer legs than Alice, Oz, and Maleficent for sure. Reviews for those movies are on a different league and can't be compared to that of The Jungle Book. If you think it will have worse legs than those you should also be aware that there are so many ways to arrange screens shares to optimize audience demands.
  12. Jack
    Shut off all those lowballing predictions in 90's. 100m was a lock since Friday numbers kept going up. The Jungle Book WILL break out almost everywhere and easily cross 1b WW. People always underestimate the power of WOM again and again when it is the most important thing in the movie business.
  13. Jack
    As much as I like the movie, this also came too my mind. But on second thought, nope. - It's not that popular or classic. - It already had several spin-offs and tv series. - would be very hard to design a real-life stitch and other alien characters. Anyway I think the worldwide classics with good storylines and iconic characters like The Lion King, Pinocchio, Aladdin, Mulan, Sleeping Beauties, Snow White, and The Little Mermaid, seem to be the more possible choices. But I would love a Lilo & Stitch some day though.
  14. Jack
    Just wait until we see Zoo's run in Japan and maybe the best has yet to come.
  15. Jack
    Totally agree. Zootopia will be big in Japan. It won't just fail there. Will its showtimes be against other Hollywood big names (and I mean, for sure, bigger than BvS), or against other local big hits? Or will Japan economics suddenly falls down? Those are only reasons I can think of to make it fail there. If no, and there are no other reasons left, then $100m in Japan is pretty much locked.
  16. Jack
    Never a fan of B or S. But hope it will open well over $150m.
  17. Jack
    My target is more like; Japan: $100m (actually hope for $150m+) UK: $80m
  18. Jack
    Congrats Empire the Lesser, and of course Star Wars!
  19. Jack
    OW: 247.9m DOM: 852.1m WW: 2.295b
  20. Jack
    This finally turns out to be another incredible run to track, as expected. Now I just sit back and enjoy the show.
  21. Jack
    I also don't want a remake. I want a sequel.
  22. Jack
    Still see quite a few people jumped into a conclusion that it won't break out, it won't do more than $60m, it will be lucky to pass $40m, $20m is a safe bet. Why? Why you have to be that confident? It's too early, TBH. And I always think the probability JW not breaking out is lower than it breaking out. I can't say it will break out but it was more likely than it won't. Until now I still can't be sure if it will break out. I only hope it can reach $100m.
  23. Jack
    I hope Japan do $100m+ and shock us again.
  24. Jack
    Second that. For this kind of film, critics have very little effect on the total income. Critics' reviews can factor, like, below 20%, while the remaining factored from audiences' reviews.
  25. Jack
    Agree with all your reasons above. Except that we haven't yet seen the whole movie. If it is as good as TPM then your estimates would be reasonable. But if it turns out otherwise it could do below $500m dom and $1.5b WW. But based on the trailers we have seen so far, I can understand why some people think it would not turn out as big as TPM in terms of WOM.
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