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MrFanaticGuy34

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Everything posted by MrFanaticGuy34

  1. Hey...I'm just stating the statistics.. And yeah, Twilight: Eclipse and Inception weren't DIRECT competition, I'll give you that. But still..even if they weren't..they still have to take a bit of audience here and there. That's how it goes. If a movie breaks out, that's the one going strong in the long run.
  2. Here's a thing I don't get about animated blockbusters compared to live-action blockbusters. The former mostly seem to open lower than the latter. I mean, last year...we had X-Men: DOFP, Godzilla, TF4, TASM2, CA:WS & GOTG. They all opened between $90-$100M. For HTTYD2?.....Nowhere close along with them. I mean..Dragon 2 only opened at $49M. Pretty underwhelming. Just because some successful films are animated, doesn't always mean the former have to obligationally open lower than live-action ones. It's not fair! At least "The Simpsons Movie" opened at $74M. Which is the sixth biggest animated OW. And the only ones that open higher than that is MU, DM2, Shrek 2, Toy Story 3 and Shrek 3. Every time it's always live-action, live action, live action. I don't get it at all, tbh.
  3. Obviously not. We have to keep in mind...soon to be 5th highest grossing film WW, is not necessarily a failure. And we're getting more billionaires to come.
  4. Yeah...but the thing is Toy Story 3 had arguably more competition though. It went up against Shrek 4, Twilight: Eclipse, DM1, Inception. All of them making money in the same summer. The only big competitor Shrek 2 had, was The Day After Tomorrow. And Shrek 2 had better legs.
  5. Hmm. This is a pretty hard answer for this. I mean.. In Japan, Finding Nemo made $102M, Toy Story 3 made $126M and Frozen made almost close to $250M. I don't know exactly which one of these animated sequels will have the upper hand. Maybe Finding Dory or Toy Story 4, cause they're Pixar and japanese audience love Pixar movies. But.....I don't know exactly how much they will make in Japan.....japanese numbers are pretty unpredictable to me.
  6. Wow! This is an interesting club. Jurassic World over AOU in China. I'll say in. Look, if something as hated as TF4 could get to $320M in China last year, I don't see why JW wouldn't come close to $250-$300M.
  7. Uuurghh. Why are you trying to underestimate animated films? Just to prove how right you are? Do you hate those flicks or what? And i agree with Ethan Hunt.
  8. Umm...Dory is coming of the already beloved and popular Finding Nemo, so there is a chance it could come close. And good god,..stop with the goddamn ninja face! It's getting really irritating now! Seriously, what's your problem with blockbuster potentials?
  9. Just putting an example. But truth to be told, they are all 1B phenomenons either ways.
  10. Not saying it exactly will that easily.....but it depends on the legs and how long China will keep it in there. Normally for Hollywood blockbusters, it's usually either 4 weeks or 5. This one is interesting, because it's also being produced along with a chinese company called "Oriental Dreamworks". But we can all agree, it's gonna do over $400M in China.
  11. I think so....I mean that China gross is exactly as much as KFP2's overall OS gross.
  12. I could see this being the "World War Z" of this summer. A blockbuster everyone thought was going to tank and flop....but ends up being more of a sleeper success. $375-$440 OS (Especially with China going for it)
  13. Yeah. Understandably so. I'm also fine with how much it will finish at. But seriously? How can people here in BoxOffice.com consider AOU, (which will be the 5th highest grossing film WW,) a disappointment when it made over 1B as of now? It's like saying that TDKR, Pirates 2 & 4 and Skyfall were box office disappointments, when clearly it's not true. I mean, let it go, guys.
  14. Again...i have to respectfully disagree about KFP3 not succeeding because it was 5 years later from KFP2. Another sequel i can compare KFP3 to (although it's a different genre) is something like MI4:GP. MI4 also came out 5 years after MI3, which that film was the lowest grosser of that franchise with $134M DOM. People underestimated how MI4 would do. But when that film was released, it ended up grossing over $209M DOM. Big increase over MI3. Granted MI4 had Alvin 3 and SH2 as competitors. And about the interest of the KFP franchise in general, again, respectfully disagree. There are people, especially fans of the franchise who are hungry to see the third one. If you haven't noticed, the plot point from KFP2 where Po finds out that his goose father isn't really his real father, but his real father is the one who appears in his flashbacks and in the end of the second film. (who will be voiced by Bryan Cranston in this one.) That cliffhanger alone, raises hooks, anticipation and excitement for what would happen in KFP3. So i really doubt that many people won't see the next sequel. Especially those that loved KFP1 & KFP2 which has 87% & 81% on RT, respectively. I mean..seriously...what does KFP3 have going against it that won't let it increase? It has nothing.
  15. You're right. I see KFP3 performing more like MAD3 than HTTYD2 in my opinion.
  16. Understandably so. And, yes...I have learned from HTTYD2 that it could be overpredicted, but the thing with that movie...is that it DID have blockbuster competition. Especially against the unexpected "22 Jump Street". And not only did 22JS steal Dragon 2's thunder, so did Maleficent weeks earlier. And also, that film was released in the summer, and that's the time where the competitors were more fierce and all over the place. KFP3 is getting released in January, a winter month where there's usually a dead month with big-budgeted flops and smaller movies. And yeah, you have an understandably good point about it's DOM total. However, I wouldn't say $245M is an exact lock...but it's better for it if it did at least $200M DOM. I mean, AS has shown that movies can be big if they have great legs. And also, I do have to respectfully disagree with one aspect, about it dropping from KFP2. Well, KFP2 dropped from KFP1 because of Hangover 2 & Pirates 4. We all over-predicted KFP2 back in 2011...but no one thought it would do less than the first one, let alone Hangover 2. KFP3 is the opposite though. I feel this one is way too UNDER-predicted. I hear people are going as low as $100M flat. That ain't happening. Unless people think its a lame movie, then I would be more hesitant. But.....you can't really only fully compare a Dreamworks sequel like HTTYD2 (a second parter) to KFP3 (a third parter). So..what I also did was when I looked the comparison to another one of Dreamworks"s animated franchises, like "Madagascar" for example. And I also looked at the relative gross between MAD2 and MAD3, which I think us the more real, suitable comparison, when it comes to an very successful animated sequel that has this massive appeal to a large audience. MAD3 increased $36M DOM from MAD2. And let's be fair here...MAD3 was also underestimated by most people in BoxOffice.com. Before that sequel was released, people said it would decrease from MAD2, like $140-$150M. And I top of that, people thought that Prometheus would win the weekend and gross more. But in the end, it ended up being the opposite. Prometheus was at second place it's OW, and finished at $126M. MAD3 was at first place on OW, and that finished at $216M DOM. So i see this performing more like MAD3 than HTTYD2. I might be wrong....but I'll say that it will considerably increase from the second one which will make this the biggest grosser of the franchise so far. $225M DOM. It could go higher, if legs are stellar. I'll stick with my $900 OS.
  17. Oh, they will get a mega hit with KFP3. No doubt about it. I could see this going as high as $245 DOM and $900 OS. Domestic-wise, it has no heavy competition until March when BvS opens.
  18. I'll say.....$750-$800 OS. China has been expanding so much these years. JP1 made $626 OS, which lead that film to $1B WW thanks to the 3D re-release.
  19. I wasn't that disappointed by AOU's box office run. After all, it will be over HP: DH2's $1.341 WW Gross, for the 5th highest worldwide grosser. It's already beaten it DOM. But I do understand that almost everyone's expectations were higher than what it does now.
  20. I agree. I mean....they came so damn close with $987M WW. Or maybe Disney still have money to fudge some numbers up.
  21. I might get a lot of kick if i say this but............ Madagascar 3 & Ice Age 4 > Brave. Not that i didn't like Brave...i really did like it. It's just the other 2 are a bit more better.
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