WrathOfHan

No predictions since they'll just be sabotaged again by the pandemic

There should be a poll to see what the forum would be comfortable with like we've done with BOFFY category placements and eligibility before. The list is feeling way too narrow for the sake of being narrow.

1. They were public screenings 2. How come we allowed Portrait last year when it had the same exact release strategy? 3. We allowed Paddington 2 to be on the 2017 and 2018 lists. Why not do the same for films that have been pretty widely available to see online and are classified as 2020 releases?

Minari had drive-in screenings in NY/LA this month. IMO it should be eligible

More than half of my top 10 is ineligible for this list #FreeAllFilms

More like MGM has no cash right now because Bond has been delayed again.

New predictions now that I've seen all the major films from virtual festivals outside of The Father: Picture: 1. Nomadland 2. The Trial of the Chicago 7 3. Mank 4. One Night in Miami 5. The Father 6. Minari 7. Soul 8. News of the World 9. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 10. Promising Young Woman Alt: Da 5 Bloods Director: 1. Chloe Zhao, Nomadland 2. David Fincher, Mank 3. Regina King, One Night in Miami 4. Lee Isaac Chung, Minari 5. Paul Greengrass, News of the World Alt: Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Actor: 1. Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 2. Anthony Hopkins, The Father 3. Gary Oldman, Mank 4. Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods 5. Steven Yeun, Minari Alt: Eddie Redmayne, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Actress: 1. Frances McDormand, Nomadland 2. Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman 3. Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 4. Jennifer Hudson, Respect 5. Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman Alt: Kate Winslet, Ammonite Supporting Actor: 1. Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami 2. Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7 3. Bill Murray, On the Rocks 4. Mark Rylance, The Trial of the Chicago 7 5. Kingsley Ben-Adir, One Night in Miami Alt: Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah Supporting Actress: 1. Olivia Colman, The Father 2. Amanda Seyfried, Mank 3. Youn Yuh-jung, Minari 4. Maria Bakalova, Borat: Subsequent Moviefilm 5. Helena Zengel, News of the World Alt: Ellen Burstyn, Pieces of a Woman Original Screenplay: 1. Mank 2. The Trial of the Chicago 7 3. Soul 4. Minari 5. Promising Young Woman Alt: On the Rocks Adapted Screenplay: 1. The Father 2. One Night in Miami 3. Nomadland 4. News of the World 5. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Alt: Borat: Subsequent Moviefilm

After watching French Exit and Nine Days, SPC would be better off prioritizing the latter as their secondary push. French Exit is divisive and has few passionate supporters, and I really don’t see how AMPAS voters will go for its pacing. Pfeiffer is a fringe Actress contender (I wouldn’t predict her atm). Idk if it’ll go anywhere, but Nine Days is probably more in line with voter appeal.

Good Joe Bell apparently falls right into Green Book syndrome. Depending who picks it up, it's definitely not going away Also based on the trailer I don't see how Colman is supporting in The Father unless they fraud her there.

Pieces isn’t a foreign film lmao

Judas is a wildcard because it was never scheduled for an awards-friendly date before the pandemic (late August) and "2021" is still vague as hell. We'll see what happens and yeah the more I'm reading about Pieces of a Woman it feels like a fringe contender. Kirby should be likely though

New predictions: 1. Nomadland 2. The French Dispatch 3. Da 5 Bloods 4. Mank 5. Minari 6. The Father 7. The Trial of the Chicago 7 8. Pieces of a Woman 9. Good Joe Bell 10. One Night in Miami ----------- 11. Dune 12. Soul 13. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 14. Hillbilly Elegy 15. On the Rocks Director: 1. Chloe Zhao, Nomadland 2. Wes Anderson, The French Dispatch 3. Spike Lee, Da 5 Bloods 4. Lee Isaac Chung, Minari 5. David Fincher, Mank Alt: Kornel Mundruczo, Pieces of a Woman Actor: 1. Anthony Hopkins, The Father 2. Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods 3. Mark Wahlberg, Good Joe Bell 4. Steven Yeun, Minari 5. Shia LaBeouf, Pieces of a Woman Alt: Gary Oldman, Mank Actress: 1. Frances McDormand, Nomadland 2. Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman 3. Olivia Colman, The Father 4. Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 5. Ye-ri Han, Minari Alt: Kate Winslet, Ammonite Supporting Actor: 1. Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 2. David Strathairn, Nomadland 3. Clarke Peters, Da 5 Bloods 4. Mark Rylance, The Trial of the Chicago 7 5. Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami Alt: Reid Miller, Good Joe Bell Supporting Actress: 1. Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy 2. Amy Adams, Hillbilly Elegy 3. Connie Britton, Good Joe Bell 4. Youn Yuh-Jung, Minari 5. Amanda Seyfried, Mank Alt: Haley Bennett, Hillbilly Elegy Original Screenplay: 1. The French Dispatch 2. Minari 3. Da 5 Bloods 4. Mank 5. The Trial of the Chicago 7 Alt: Pieces of a Woman Adapted Screenplay: 1. Nomadland 2. The Father 3. One Night in Miami 4. Dune 5. Hillbilly Elegy Alt: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

I will see Tenet... eventually

New predictions (rip Tenet): Ammonite Da 5 Bloods The Father The French Dispatch (I'm assuming this gets a release in the eligibility window) Good Joe Bell Mank Minari Nomadland One Night in Miami Soul

Here's how my AMC looks tomorrow (socially distanced capacity in parentheses): Unhinged: 4:00 Dolby: 30/236 (43% full, 30/72) 5:00: 6/107 (19% full/ 6/32) 6:00: 4/107 (13% full, 4/32) 6:30: 0/104 7:00 Dolby: 27/236 (39% full, 27/72) 7:30: 13/107 (41% full, 13/32) 8:45: 10/107 (31% full, 10/32) Total: 80/1,004 (26% full, 80/303) Inception: 4:00 IMAX: 7/372 (7% full, 7/100) 6:30: 9/51 (60% full, 9/15) 8:00 IMAX: 41/372 (41% full, 41/100) Total: 57/795 (27% full, 57/215) The Empire Strikes Back: 4:30: 12/70 (57% full, 12/21) 8:10: 21/70 (100% full, 21/21) Total: 33/140 (79% full, 33/42) Ghostbusters: 4:10: 9/54 (56% full, 9/16) 7:10: 16/54 (100% full, 16/16) Total: 25/108 (78% full, 25/32) Grease: 20/67 (100% full, 20/20) Words on Bathroom Walls: 4:00: 1/77 (4% full, 1/23) 5:15: 2/104 (6% full, 2/31) 7:15: 3/77 (12% full, 3/23) 8:30: 12/104 (36% full, 12/31) Total: 18/362 (17% full, 18/108) Cut Throat City: 4:15: 5/70 (24% full, 5/21) 6:15: 0/77 8:15: 13/70 (62% full, 13/21) Total: 18/217 (28% full, 18/65) I Still Believe: 5:05: 3/40 (25% full, 3/12) 8:20: 12/40 (100% full, 12/12) Total: 15/80 (63% full, 15/24) Bloodshot: 12/40 (100% full, 12/12) Jumanji: The Next Level: 12/67 (60% full, 12/20) The Burnt Orange Hersey has sold nothing, and Black Panther's second show has sold 6 seats. Overall, these are encouraging numbers. Unhinged is relying heavily on Dolby though

Tele mentioned this in the Telegram chat last night, but I'm incredibly saddened to hear this Best wishes towards a speedy recovery

Lol didn’t even make my list this year

Hold up, Vertigo has been unranked so much? Damn.

IAWL was in my Top 15

The next 100M OW will be sometime in Q3 or Q4 2021. The next billion dollar movie will be Avatar 2.

Wow, Fight Club dropped