It doesn't seem to be doing well in Vietnam.
I was alone in a huge room for RO's first 30m then about 7 people joined me.
RO doesn't have any marketing here except a FB's cover photo saying it's #1 movie this weekend.
You only need to watch 3s for FB to count it as 1 view and with the autoplay feature, you just need to scroll slow enough. Youtube has much more complex view count system, in fact no one really knows exactly how YT counts view.
1. SLOP (it's doing much much better than I expected, passing IO's DOM)
2. Dory (its run before SLOP is absolutely incredible)
Other movies I've watched is disappointing either in legs (Civil War) or in quality (Suicide Squad)
I missed a lot of movies this summer because I had my first long vacation in 5 years
My favorite movie I watched IN summer is The Jungle Book
$35M more from Japan, $25M more from UK, $10-15M (depends on it'll get Labor Day expansion or not) more from US & Canada, $10M more from other markets.
That means unopened markets need to make $40-45M for Dory to reach $1B.
Nemo makes $81M from German and Italy, >$22M from others so $1B is very likely.
I can't understand your math. How can Dory only make another $19M? Dory's dailies are slightly behind TS3 and slightly above Inside Out, both of them make ~$46M after this point. Dory is dropping harder than them but $19M, HOW?
$500M is probably dead but i doubt it'll be that low.
TS3 makes another $53M after a $12M weekend.
Dory makes $11M this week so how can another $35M be her best case?