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bulletproofsqui

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Posts posted by bulletproofsqui

  1. On 2/19/2021 at 10:46 PM, jatvision said:

    So about 320M 2nd Friday. That is not really great sign for crossing WW2.

     

    BUT

     

    What's worse is Saturday PS, which suggest 275M ish 2nd Saturday. That makes it chances to go for WW2, really really tough. In fact, I will go on to say, it is almost unlikely now.

    1. Saturday is workday

    2. Almost no competition for the next few weeks until GVK(no release date confirmed yet)

    Operation Red Sea facing 3 new release on 3rd weekend (occupied 36.2% of showings), Black Panther on 4th weekend (100,000+ showings)

    The Wandering Earth facing Alita on 3rd weekend (100,000+ showings), HTTYD3 + Green Book on 4th weekend (160,000+ showings)

    while Hi, Mom & DC3 has only Tom & Jerry (already flopped in Taiwan) on 3rd weekend, Raya on 4th weekend

    the late trajectory will be like Little Red Flower & Shock Wave 2, i'm expecting weekend drop lower than 35%

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  2. 4 hours ago, jatvision said:

    @bulletproofsqui told me that since Hi, Mom isn't an action film, it may start dropping once it burn its audience.

     

    Which is weird because I think comedies and Dramas have better legs than action everwhere. We see how stuff like Dangal trended or NeZha for that matter, but I would like to say since he is local, he knows better so let's hope we don't see a burn out soon.

     

    I am expecting ¥6.5B+ full run for Hi, Mom. Let's see.

    I'm just a normal boxoffice lover, Oliver, Gavin & I used to in the same local forum

    i do have to admit that i've been lurking BOT and several foreign forums about film for years, not a talkative guy anyway

     

    speak about Hi, Mom, back in 2017 when we tracking Ex-File 3, after it barely droped after New Years Holiday end i suspect it has a shot on The Mermaid, the top gross film in Mainland China back then, but it start to drop hard after day 10

    same thing happened on Dying to Survive, i'm expecting ¥5000M+ total after it opening 9.0 on Douban while it start crashing after limited release & first weekend breakout end

     

    the theoretical basis is that, drama/comedy audience requirement has distance with blockbusters, like the Top grossing list now, Top 5 all blockbusters while DC2 & The Mermaid stop around ¥3500M, or the limit has rise to ¥5500M now while blockbusters like Wandering Earth 2 can do ¥7000M? only time will tell

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