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It will be a 2019 release. By then the quota and fee percentage is probably larger. Anyway, it seems unlikely that it would steal a slot from another Disney film. All of Disney's wide-release films were released in China in 2017.

Already started. The top movie on its release day: http://piaofang.maoyan.com/dashboard?date=2018-01-12&movieId=341897

Angelababy is.

I did some preliminary looking into the issue myself. This is the memorandum of understanding that provides for the 34 film quota, which revised the previous 20 film quota: http://www.state.gov/documents/organization/202987.pdf There is some leeway to say that Legendary would be considered Chinese, as you can argue that it is now a Chinese-invested enterprise: "Chinese enterprise" includes any Chinese state-owned or state-controlled enterprise or private Chinese-invested enterprise. Other interesting tidbits: The recent expansion of the quota only applied to films that can be screened in 3D/IMAX, maybe one reason why they released Furious 7 in 3D: China confirms that enhanced format films are not subject to the 20-film commitment set forth in the Additional Commitments under Sector 2.D. of its GATS Schedule ("RevenueSharing Film Commitment"). China further agrees that it will allow the importation of at least 14 enhanced format revenue-sharing films per calendar year beginning in 2012. They will negotiate for changes in 2017: In calendar year 2017, China and the United States will engage in consultations. Through this consultation process, China and the United States will provide for further meaningful compensation to the United States in terms of the number of enhanced format films to be imported each year and the share of gross box office receipts received by U.S. enterprises.

So will films produced by Legendary Films be considered imports? I assume yes since it is still legally an American company? Is there any specific regulation on foreign imports and co-productions? I can read Chinese if needed.

Can someone explain how Maoyan works? I guess Gewara only shows tickets bought through its service, but Maoyan is tracking more than that?

Any truth to this article: http://www.breakingviews.com/china-box-office-boom-loses-movie-magic-up-close/21220019.article

I think this chart is inaccurate. June was up. July was also not a big down month...