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KP1025

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  1. Incredibles 3 could do it with a great hook. I'd like to see a version that's set 5-10 years after the previous films.
  2. I thought that title belonged to Lion King now after it failed to reach the lofty $2 billion WW predictions.
  3. Probably very little effect, just like how Lion King did not affect TS4 in any meaningful way. In Japan, big releases can often exist side by side without cannibalizing each other's business.
  4. Yeah, Harry Potter was a true phenomenon in Japan. Although each sequel continued to lose a large portion of the audience (the final film grossed less than half of the first film).
  5. According to Corpse, here are the biggest opening weekends without previews included.
  6. It's important to note that Toy Story 4's massive opening had the help of a holiday. Its Friday might also have been a little larger than usual due to the upcoming summer vacation.
  7. This is what Corpse had to say about Ben-Hur's admissions.
  8. 39 consecutive days over $1 million for Joker is very impressive, beating both Endgame and Lion King (38 days each).
  9. I think a heavily censored/toned down version wouldn't be nearly as well received (Deadpool 2 is a good example), if it ever happens in China. Plus, there is the issue of piracy. Some foreign films have had theatrical releases despite being available online already, and none have ever grossed close to $100 million to my knowledge.
  10. Corpse: Terminator Box-Office HistoryOpening Weekends:¥1.097 billion ($9.5 million) / 786,000 - Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines (2003)>W/Previews: ¥1.456 billion ($12.6 million) / 1,043,267¥592.1 million ($6.1 million) / 461,866 - Terminator: Salvation (2009)>W/Previews: ¥1.021 billion ($10.6 million) / 799,653¥515.7 million ($4.2 million) / 352,718 - Terminator: Genisys (2015)Totals:¥8.79 billion ($49.6 million) / 6.46 million - Terminator 2: Judgement Day (1991) #1 OS Market¥8.20 billion ($67.9 million) / 6.00 million - Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines (2003) #1 OS Market¥3.32 billion ($33.9 million) / 2.60 million - Terminator: Salvation (2009) #1 OS Market¥2.74 billion ($22.0 million) / 1.91 million - Terminator: Genisys (2015) #2 OS MarketThe Terminator (1985) earned less than ¥1 billion in distributor income when it was released, so it wasn't an initial success at the box-office (probably even considered a disappointment) and its gross is unknown. But it clearly gained a following (presumably on home video) given just how huge Terminator 2: Judgement Day was. T2 is still the 58th highest grossing film ever in Japan after almost 30 years; and T3 also ranks well as the 65th highest grossing film.Terminator: Dark Fate debuts this weekend, so let's see if it can be more of a return to form for the franchise in the market. Japan has been the franchise's top OS market (well, 2nd for Genisys), but it's dropped off a lot. It's not going to suddenly jump back to T2 or T3 numbers, but surpassing Genisys and Salvation would be a nice accomplishment and it's not unreasonable. Weekend Forecast (11/09-10)01 (---) ¥600,000,000 ($5.5 million), 0, ¥800,000,000 ($7.3 million), Terminator: Dark Fate (Fox) NEW 02 (01) ¥185,000,000 ($1.7 million), -32%, ¥960,000,000 ($8.8 million), It: Chapter Two (Warner Bros.) WK2 03 (02) ¥159,000,000 ($1.5 million), -27%, ¥4,450,000,000 ($40.9 million), Joker (Warner Bros.) WK6 04 (03) ¥x92,000,000 ($840,000), -26%, ¥500,000,000 ($4.6 million), At the Matinee (Toho) WK205 (---) ¥x75,000,000 ($685,000), 0, ¥105,000,000 ($1.3 million), Re: Life in a Different World from Zero (Kadokawa) NEW 06 (04) ¥x67,000,000 ($615,000), -35%, ¥1,225,000,000 ($11.2 million), Maleficent: Mistress of Evil (Disney) WK407 (---) ¥x60,000,000 ($550,000), 0, ¥x80,000,000 ($1.3 million), One Night (Nikkatsu) NEW 08 (05) ¥x57,000,000 ($520,000), -33%, ¥400,000,000 ($3.7 million), Saekano: How to Raise a Boring Girlfriend (Aniplex) WK3 09 (06) ¥x56,000,000 ($510,000), -30%, ¥660,000,000 ($6.1 million), Immortal Heroes (Nikkatsu) WK4 10 (09) ¥x39,000,000 ($355,000), -39%, ¥550,000,000 ($5.0 million), Star☆Twinkle PreCure: Putting Thought into the Star Song (Toei) WK4Notables Below:¥x20,000,000 ($185,000), -25%, ¥13,925,000,000 ($129.2 million), Weathering With You (Toho) WK17¥x17,000,000 ($155,000), -40%, ¥3,550,000,000 ($32.7 million), Hit Me Anyone One More Time (Toho) WK8Terminator: Dark Fate appears to be bringing back in some of the old franchise fans, having opened somewhere around 25/30% higher than Terminator: Genisys on Friday, and it seems poised for an even better improvement on Saturday based on pre-sales. But not only does it seem very, very likely to open higher than Genisys, it also looks good to either match or beat the opening weekend of Terminator: Salvation by a bit as long as Sunday delivers. I've been expecting a better debut for Dark Fate, and these numbers are pretty impressive, suggesting a ¥600/700 million opening weekend. So it looks likely to open higher than Salvation as well (in gross). Even if it does end up being as frontloaded as the previous two entries, it has a good chance of reaching ¥3.5/¥4 billion ($30-35 million) with a ¥600/700 million opening.
  11. Looks like Dark Fate is having a solid opening in Japan. Perhaps the only major market with a big increase from Genisys.
  12. Aladdin and Toy Story 4 both had 52 consecutive days above $1 million.
  13. Like Let It Go or Speechless, I think Into the Unknown will provide a similar boost for Frozen II. Especially in markets like South Korea or Japan where musicals can become big phenomenons if certain songs resonate with the audience.
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