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KP1025

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Everything posted by KP1025

  1. KP1025
    Detective Pikachu will dent it tomorrow night, but hopefully it keeping IMAX and some PLFs will cushion the drop somewhat.
  2. KP1025
    Yeah, the deflated Friday (both Christmas Eve and New Year's Eve) will easily be compensated by the inflated Saturday (and Boxing Day Sunday). Not as ideal as Christmas Eve on the Thursday, but it could certainly be worse (having it land on a Saturday or Sunday). That said, all the calendar arrangement does is shift money around on the weekends to the holiday weekdays. I don't think the final gross is that affected at all, so it's only worth fussing about if you're trying to get the highest possible weekends.
  3. KP1025
    Very disappointed that Avatar 2 has been delayed yet again. The December 2020 release date was perfectly configured for Avatar 2 to dominate as much as possible due to calendar alignment and almost non-existent competition. I don't see what incentive Disney would have to push it back a year.
  4. KP1025
    Endgame needs a 3.14x multiplier off its second weekend to beat TFA. Far from impossible, but it's not going to be easy either. Infinity War achieved a 2.97x multiplier off its second weekend, whereas The Avengers achieved a fantastic 3.43x multiplier off its second weekend.
  5. KP1025
    Is hype really that high for it? I would be happy with $100 million considering the first one grossed around $50 million.
  6. KP1025
    Almost A$116 million. https://www.screenaustralia.gov.au/fact-finders/cinema/industry-trends/films-screened/top-50-all-time
  7. KP1025
    Also, the cast drama surely isn't helping things. Since Furious 9 won't feature either Hobbs or Shaw, it's possible to even decrease from F8. Maybe Furious 10 can end on a high if they reunite all the cast in one epic finale. Endgame should hold the Hollywood record in China until Avatar 2.
  8. KP1025
    $500 million OS seems to be a good target for now.
  9. KP1025
    Quite possible that Far From Home, Lion King, and Hobbs & Shaw all release a week apart in early September. This happened in 2017 with Dunkirk, Homecoming, and Apes 3.
  10. KP1025
    I agree. This is as perfect a release date as possible for Avatar 2. It also helps that any notable competition in December 2020 has been pushed back to 2021. The schedule can still change of course, but so far the holiday season next year only has Avatar 2 and Croods 2.
  11. KP1025
    Endgame seems to be slowing down a bit, but I agree it will most likely take the WW crown still. That said, Avatar 2 can still be the first film to pass the $1 billion DOM and $3 billion WW milestones.
  12. KP1025
    Do these numbers include presales for upcoming shows or just earnings from completed shows?
  13. KP1025
    Outside of Penguins (which increased by 5%), Captain Marvel has the best hold in the Top 10 yesterday with -9%.
  14. KP1025
    That seems to be the case. The previews of the 3 openers combined is less than $2 million, so I'm guessing it's simply a case of losing showtimes.
  15. KP1025
    Being a spin-off, it should see a sizable drop in most markets. Even in China, the interest so far doesn't seem big. I think $600 million OS is a good target unless China delivers again.
  16. KP1025
    Apparently this is expected to gross $100+ million OW in China, which will probably lead to a gross in the $150+ million zone even with below average legs. OS-China will probably be around $200 million (Apocalypse was $268 million). Total OS should be at least $350 million.
  17. KP1025
    It's fun to look back at some of these predictions. MPR, Spider-Verse, and Dumbo did way worse than Corpse expected, finishing around the ¥1 billion range or lower.
  18. KP1025
    I think that title will go to Spider-Man Far From Home.
  19. KP1025
    For me, the ultimate goal is Avatar's OS crown of $2,027,457,462. Never imagined a film could even approach that with current ER.
  20. KP1025
    Technically, he was closer than RTH yesterday.
  21. KP1025
    Confirmed for June 6.
  22. KP1025
  23. KP1025
    Wow, so passing Titanic WW will happen early next week. The unsinkable ship is finally going down from a non-Cameron film.
  24. KP1025
    All the $39.5 million posts have had their reactions changed to Disbelief now. 😉
  25. KP1025
    He liked the $34.5 million answers, so I guess that's the right number.
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