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KP1025

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Everything posted by KP1025

  1. There are probably some other examples, but Frozen jumped back to #1 on its 73rd day of release (11th weekend).
  2. Why not? That only requires a $150 million increase from Infinity War OS. China alone could make up the difference.
  3. Infinity War Domestic: $678 million China: $378 million Endgame Domestic: $850 million? China: $600 million?
  4. Maoyan does seem like the outlier then for Endgame. Both Douban and Taopiaopiao scores are usually lower.
  5. Amazing early Douban score for Endgame. Rare to see Douban score higher than Maoyan.
  6. Endgame's going to smash the fastest to $1 billion WW record, and I suspect nothing else will challenge it for a very long time. Infinity War currently holds the record at 11 Days, but Endgame will do it in just 5 days thanks to China opening earlier this time.
  7. Corpse: Weekend Actuals (04/20-21)01 (01) ¥886,102,100 ($8.0 million), -39%, ¥3,587,449,900 ($32.3 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) WK202 (---) ¥526,000,000 ($4.7 million), 0, ¥690,219,500 ($6.2 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) NEW03 (---) ¥289,000,000 ($2.6 million), 0, ¥316,049,500 ($2.8 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) NEW04 (---) ¥167,000,000 ($1.5 million), 0, ¥220,244,700 ($2.0 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) NEW05 (---) ¥x65,000,000 ($580,000), 0, ¥x95,000,000 ($850,000), Sound! Euphonium the Movie: Finale Oath (Shochiku) NEW *Est* 06 (05) ¥x45,088,100 ($403,000), -41%, ¥3,427,068,800 ($31.1 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) WK9 07 (06) ¥x43,771,300 ($391,000), -35%, ¥1,973,058,500 ($17.9 million), Captain Marvel (Disney) WK6 08 (02) ¥x41,445,900 ($370,000), -42%, ¥4,739,882,100 ($43.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) WK8 09 (03) ¥x40,687,700 ($363,000), -55%, ¥261,684,300 ($2.3 million), Hunter Killer (Gaga) WK2 10 (04) ¥x36,083,300 ($322,000), -53%, ¥853,503,800 ($7.7 million), Dumbo (Disney) WK4 11 (07) ¥x23,698,500 ($212,000), -44%, ¥1,913,604,900 ($17.4 million), Green Book (Gaga) WK8 12 (08) ¥x23,638,100 ($211,000), -43%, ¥115,143,900 ($1.0 million), Halloween (Parco) WK2>Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire easily holds onto its #1 spot, and delivered a monstrous second weekend in the process. Selling a further 678,000 admissions in its sophomore frame, it set a new franchise second weekend record and new two-week total record. Its second weekend also allowed it to achieve the fifth biggest second weekend of the decade, and the fourth biggest second weekend ever for an animated film. The likelihood of exceeding ¥8 billion ($70 million+) is very good now, and it could certainly reach ¥9 billion ($80 million). >Kingdom, the first live-action adaptation of the very popular manga series, debuts strong in second place, selling 382,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 388 screens, and sold 506,861 admissions since opening on Friday. This is a great start, and it should be able to reach a total around ¥3.5/4 billion ($30-35 million). >Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi, the twenty-seventh film in the long-running animated franchise, came in third place over the weekend selling 242,000 admissions on 356 screens, and sold 263,544 admissions since opening on Friday. This is a 21% decline compared to last year's film, but the debut is still on par with the franchise norm. Expect a finish above ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million). >Shazam! settles for a fourth place debut, selling 115,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 723 screens, and sold 152,807 admissions since opening on Friday. This is one of the worst opening for a Marvel/DC film in the market, but as I said on Friday, this film would have been a difficult sell to Japanese audiences, so it really couldn't have performed much better. I think it did just fine. >Sound! Euphonium the Movie: Finale Oath hasn't had its weekend numbers released yet, so those above remain estimates. >Dumbo was unable to recover from its borderline bomb debut two-weeks ago, and it can definitely be declared a bomb now since it's not going to reach the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone. Very disappointing result for Disney, but maybe even more so for Tim Burton in the market. >Green Book became the highest-grossing Academy Award Best Picture Winner of the decade, surpassing The King's Speech in its eighth-weekend of release. It'll be a slow, slow crawl, but I bet Gaga keeps it playing long enough to reach the ¥2 billion milestone. >Bohemian Rhapsody experienced a sharp decline (~60%) down the charts, coming in around 20th place, but has brought its total up to ¥12.93 billion ($115.9 million) on 9.33 million admissions.
  8. Here is a news article released after Avatar ended its run. The top 5 imported films of 2010 in Taiwan sorted by NT$ were: https://web.archive.org/web/20190202180604/https://tw.appledaily.com/headline/daily/20101217/33042904
  9. Which makes BOM's Captain Marvel forecast even more puzzling. It was already showing week on week increases yet they still predicted a near-40% drop. That's notably worse than the previous weekend despite Easter and anticipating a stronger Endgame bump.
  10. That's a good point. Even $1 billion domestic is probably a more achievable target than $2 billion OS.
  11. More like a 50% increase from Infinity War OS assuming Endgame domestic total is around $700-750 million range.
  12. I vote Jurassic World. It literally doubled (or more) what most people here were expecting on OW. I don't think anybody ever thought it would set the OW record when Age of Ultron failed to do so.
  13. Not sure if there's one even higher, but Dangal has a 9.8 right now on Maoyan.
  14. @Deuce66 I just wanted to say that BOM's Avatar gross for Taiwan is incorrect since it only includes the city of Taipei. Avatar is the highest grossing movie in Taiwan still by a large margin at NT$1.1 billion ($35.7 million using current ER).
  15. Over $1 billion WW seems doable, but I highly doubt this will hit $1 billion OS. F8 just barely crossed that mark with nearly $400 million from China, and interest there is definitely lower for this film without Vin Diesel.
  16. I wonder if Endgame has a shot at cracking Top 3 All-Time in Taiwan. 1. Avatar: NT$1.1 billion 2. Jurassic World: NT$827 million 3. Furious 7: NT$819 million Infinity War currently #7 with NT$641 million
  17. I hope Godzilla 2 pulls off an Aquaman-type run with $300 million. It looks like pure unadulterated spectacle which GA in China should love.
  18. I think the lack of Hollywood competition is helping Shazam. Dumbo fizzled out (plus doesn't have much action), so Shazam is the only blockbuster available until Endgame.
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