KP1025

https://www.amazon.co.jp/Bohemian-Rhapsody-John-Ottman/dp/B07K4X3NWR/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1544504618&sr=8-1&keywords=Bohemian+Rhapsody+blu-ray According to Amazon.jp, it appears the Blu-ray is out March 31.

Bohemian Rhapsody has a small chance of winning the year at this rate. Needs over ¥9.23 billion yen to beat Code Blue.

It has increased for the 4th consecutive time in Japan! And even more impressive was the previous weekend was inflated by a Discount Day!

I think $200 million OS is very likely. Being a musical with good critical buzz, it's probably good for at least $30-40 million in Japan. Looking at how Bohemian Rhapsody has become a phenomenon there (heading to $60+ million), ASIB should be very well received too (albeit not likely on the same scale).

I really think this will happen now.

Interstellar grossed $122 million in 2014. And depending on what your criteria of a space movie is, Avatar grossed $204 million back in 2010.

China for sure. But Japan and South Korea should favor Mary Poppins because of their love for musicals and also because DC is one of the lowest grossing film franchises there.

$700 million OS is on the table.

After reading the comparisons to Avatar, I don't find Aquaman's breakout that surprising. It probably has some of the best visuals out of any blockbuster recently. Venom was more of a shock to me, as the film didn't exactly have the spectacle or massive scale seen in the top grossing Hollywood films in China.

After the final Avengers film (which is looking like the franchise peak), it seems the MCU will have to find a way to have a big breakout (>$200 million) in China again. It could be many years before we see another huge team-up movie in the MCU, and their upcoming solo films don't seem capable of hitting close to the same heights. Maybe Shang-Chi, but we will see... That said, I think Aquaman may be an anomaly as far as DC films are concerned. Its fantasy environment with vibrant and colorful visuals and big CGI creature moments are very different from those of other DC superheroes. Wonder Woman is more mundane and bleak in its visuals, and Batman (whenever they reboot) seems to be similarly dark and gritty. DC will have great success with Aquaman sequels in China, but I don't know if their other films can find mass appeal in the same way.

I'm wondering why Deadline revised Ralph 2's Friday downwards when the most recent Friday estimate this morning was $3.524 million (also the number used by Box Office Pro for their forecast, where they have it at $16.5 million for the weekend).

Though Ralph 2 has an 87% RT critic score, its 68% audience score is much lower than other WDAS films. It also has an A- Cinemascore compared to the A and A+ scores of past WDAS films. Maybe WOM is really just that mixed and resulting in weaker legs than usual. While the Grinch has even lower scores, I'm sure being a Christmas-themed animation gives it a lot of appeal among the GA this time of year.

January 4.

Wow, Aquaman might even beat Venom in total gross by the end.

Great hold by the Grinch. Where do you see it finishing?

I really enjoyed this. The animation style took a while to get used to in the theater (made me dizzy at first), but the visuals were really unique and impressive overall. Fantastic pacing, and a great mix of action, comedy, and emotion.

Aside from the opening, Ralph 2 has been very meh to follow. Much more frontloaded than I imagined. $200 million looks safe still, but it might fall behind the first film adjusted ($215 million) at this rate. At least it looks like it will finish within the range of WDAS Thanksgiving openers WW with around $650 million. It's also on track to beat the Grinch WW, which is looking like a sub-$600 million finish due to a weak OS gross (could finish sub-$300 million).

Schindler's List only needs $4 million to crack $100 million DOM.

Saturday is currently 92 million CNY which is approximately $13.4 million USD. At its current pace, $90 million OW would be doable with a -20% Sunday drop or better.

This has been a really strong year for Hollywood films in general with 5 films crossing $200 million (at least 3 over $250 million).

Amazing for Aquaman. This and Venom easily decimating other solo superhero films. Shows films can smash any supposed ceiling for their genre as long as WOM is excellent.

Looks like the Grinch is in 3,829 theaters this weekend (surprisingly holding more theaters than Ralph 2), just inching past TFA's theater count in Week 5. Black Panther still holds the #1 to my knowledge at 3,834 theaters in Week 5. > DECLINING 1 2 Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018) Universal 3,829 -105 -2.7% - - - - 5 2 1 Ralph Breaks the Internet Buena Vista 3,795 -222 -5.5% - - - - 3