KP1025

Looks like Disney gave it an expansion this weekend for Christopher Robin double features. 🤣 > EXPANDING 1 1 Mission: Impossible - Fallout Paramount 4,395 +9 +0.2% 2 12 25 Eighth Grade A24 1,084 +926 +586.1% 4 21 24 Solo: A Star Wars Story Buena Vista 200 +35 +21.2% 11 26 61 McQueen Bleecker Street 34 +29 +580.0% 3 28 46 Black Panther Buena Vista 25 +10 +66.7% 25 31 75 Woman Walks Ahead A24 6 +3 +100.0% 6

According to Corpse, films can thrive together quite well during this busiest movie-going period. MI5 also released one week before Obon Festival in 2015 and had to deal with Jurassic World releasing the same weekend.

I'm guessing the local movie breaking out big has affected it somewhat.

Not completely unexpected given Pixar's recent struggles and the superhero theme of I2. A total around the first film doesn't seem too bad in retrospect. But I suspect TS4 will also see a large decline from TS3 next year like Dory from Nemo.

Godzilla 2014 made $30 million in Japan, whereas the more recent Shin Godzilla grossed $76 million. I would expect this to perform similarly to the Hollywood adaptation, though the introduction of familiar kaiju like Ghidorah, Mothra, and Rodan could push it higher.

It's amazing how Solo went below even the most pessimistic of predictions here. From the Solo under $700 million WW club:

Corpse thinks it can reach ¥7 billion or $60+ million.

$400 million WW is dead. Domestic: $212,730,648 54.5% Foreign: $177,380,903 45.5% ___________________________________ Worldwide: $390,111,551

Nice. It's already surpassed F8's WW gross. Domestic: $397,508,235 32.1% Foreign: $840,200,000 67.9% __________________________________ Worldwide: $1,237,708,235

Weird. So was it pulled from all theaters or not? WB didn't release actuals for Rampage this weekend, but it's also unlike them to leave it so close to $100 million.

That is a great hold for JW:FK considering the typhoon over the weekend. Bodes well for its Obon Festival performance.

I'm just happy it will cross F8 to become Universal's 3rd highest grossing film worldwide.

A month ago you had people pretty confident I2 would win the summer WW because of its huge domestic performance, but JW2 easily pulled ahead overseas. That it will get close to $900 million OS despite the World Cup is very impressive.

Theater counts for this weekend: > NEW RELEASES 1 - Mission: Impossible - Fallout Paramount 4,386 - - 1 5 - Teen Titans Go! To The Movies Warner Bros. 3,188 - - 1 31 - Saheb Biwi Aur Gangster 3 Reliance Big Pictures 41 - - 1 38 - Puzzle Sony Classics 5 - - 1 40 - 93Queen Abramorama 1 - - 1 41 - The Captain Music Box Films 1 - - 1 > EXPANDING 3 6 Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again Universal 3,514 +197 +5.9% 2 10 9 Unfriended: Dark Web BH Tilt 1,547 +1 +0.1% 2 15 49 Blindspotting Lionsgate/Summit 523 +509 +3,635.7% 2 23 43 Eighth Grade A24 158 +125 +378.8% 3 24 30 A Quiet Place Paramount 158 +50 +46.3% 17 37 64 McQueen Bleecker Street 5 +1 +25.0% 2 > NO CHANGE 4 4 The Equalizer 2 Sony / Columbia 3,388 - - 2 39 70 Woman Walks Ahead A24 3 - - 5 > DECLINING 2 1 Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation Sony / Columbia 4,005 -262 -6.1% 3 6 3 Ant-Man and the Wasp Buena Vista 3,013 -765 -20.2% 4 7 2 Skyscraper Universal 2,773 -1,049 -27.4% 3 8 5 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom Universal 2,685 -696 -20.6% 6 9 7 Incredibles 2 Buena Vista 2,616 -548 -17.3% 7 11 8 The First Purge Universal 1,400 -931 -39.9% 4 12 12 Sorry to Bother You Annapurna Pictures 802 -248 -23.6% 4 13 10 Sicario: Day of the Soldado Sony / Columbia 574 -874 -60.4% 5 14 11 Uncle Drew Lionsgate/Summit 532 -705 -57.0% 5 16 13 Ocean's 8 Warner Bros. 518 -484 -48.3% 8 17 14 Won't You Be My Neighbor? Focus Features 464 -266 -36.4% 8 18 15 Tag Warner Bros. (New Line) 308 -273 -47.0% 7 19 19 Avengers: Infinity War Buena Vista 292 -2 -0.7% 14 20 17 Leave No Trace Bleecker Street 289 -72 -19.9% 5 21 16 Deadpool 2 Fox 267 -106 -28.4% 11 22 21 Solo: A Star Wars Story Buena Vista 165 -43 -20.7% 10 25 20 Book Club Paramount 145 -96 -39.8% 11 26 22 Hereditary A24 127 -74 -36.8% 8 27 27 Rampage (2018) Warner Bros. (New Line) 91 -23 -20.2% 16 28 24 Adrift STX Entertainment 75 -56 -42.7% 9 29 29 Life of the Party Warner Bros. (New Line) 72 -39 -35.1% 12 30 28 Sanju FIP 44 -68 -60.7% 5 32 26 Whitney Roadside Attractions 39 -78 -66.7% 4 33 37 Boundaries Sony Classics 30 -21 -41.2% 6 34 23 Black Panther Buena Vista 15 -139 -90.3% 24 35 46 The Rider Sony Classics 15 -1 -6.3% 16 36 48 First Reformed A24 10 -5 -33.3% 11 42 71 Chappaquiddick Entertainment Studios 1 -1 -50.0% 17

That would be about a 23.5% WW drop from the first JW (TLJ dropped 35.5% WW from TFA). Pretty good considering the phenomenal nature of JW.

Here's the quote in question: Some of his other predictions Another hilarious underestimation from another poster:

Yep, $1.25 billion is locked. JW:FK has got at least another $40 million in Japan, possibly even close to $50 million depending on how it holds during Obon Festival. It definitely has a decent chance of passing Frozen WW.

28 (37) Rampage Warner Bros. $125,048 +129% 114 $1,097 $99,278,002 15 43 (45) Black Panther Walt Disney $25,445 +84% 154 $165 $699,932,307 23 Rampage had more success with its theater expansion this past weekend. Really low PTA for Black Panther, second lowest after The Greatest Showman ($160 PTA).

Per Corpse: "Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom is going to enjoy a strong second weekend atop the box-office, following its incredible debut weekend. The film will either be just shy, or slightly above the ¥4 billion milestone after just ten days in release. It's still on course to exceed the ¥8 billion ($70 million) milestone, and is likely to hit ¥9 billion ($80 million) as well. "

I'd say $75 million now looks pretty likely assuming JW2 plays like a regular summer blockbuster. Corpse: Biggest Modern Opening Weekends (2008-) [REVENUE]Modern Rank (All-Time Rank) Revenue [Screen Count] - Film (Year)01 (09) ¥1,628,893,000 [408] - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Dec., 2014) 02 (17) ¥1,372,054,050 [300] - One Piece Film Z (Dec., 2012) 03 (19) ¥1,316,539,200 [859] - Alice in Wonderland (Apr., 2010) 04 (20) ¥1,301,851,375 [922] - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (July, 2011) 05 (18) ¥1,295,834,500 [384] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018) 06 (21) ¥1,286,928,000 [368] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017) 07 (23) ¥1,245,023,900 [958] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015) 08 (24) ¥1,225,913,932 [428] - Rookies (May, 2009) 09 (25) ¥1,225,000,000 [???] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018) *Estimate* 10 (26) ¥1,209,158,900 [353] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016) 11 (28) ¥1,205,116,126 [800] - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (May, 2011) 12 (29) ¥1,155,771,000 [739] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016) 13 (30) ¥1,133,513,323 [224] - Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (Nov., 2012) 14 (31) ¥1,125,800,000 [937] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017) 15 (32) ¥1,065,362,800 [773] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017) 16 (33) ¥1,057,808,800 [434] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015) 17 (34) ¥1,048,271,900 [989] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017) 18 (35) ¥1,038,295,232 [190] - One Piece Film Strong World (Dec., 2009) 19 (36) ¥1,034,459,534 [481] - Ponyo (July, 2008) 20 (39) ¥1,005,428,333 [409] - Boys Over Flowers: Final (June, 2008) Biggest Modern Opening Weekends (2008-) [ADMISSIONS]Modern Rank (All-Time Rank) Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Year)01 (02) 1,484,916 [408] - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Dec., 2014) 02 (14) 1,140,081 [300] - One Piece Film Z (Dec., 2012) 03 (16) 1,012,000 [384] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018) 04 (19) 987,568 [368] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017) 05 (20) 987,387 [428] - Rookies (May, 2009) 06 (21) 974,577 [434] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015) 07 (23) 933,781 [353] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016) 08 (27) 880,697 [922] - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (July, 2011) 09 (28) 828,149 [859] - Alice in Wonderland (Apr., 2010) 10 (29) 825,000 [???] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018) *Estimate* 11 (30) 820,830 [739] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016) 12 (31) 819,738 [190] - One Piece Film Strong World (Dec., 2009) 13 (32) 812,557 [481] - Ponyo (July, 2008) 14 (33) 805,350 [409] - Boys Over Flowers: Final (June, 2008) 15 (34) 805,297 [844] - Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince (July, 2009) 16 (35) 800,258 [958] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015) 17 (36) 773,184 [800] - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (May, 2011) 18 (37) 771,764 [224] - Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (Nov., 2012) 19 (38) 771,516 [989] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017) 20 (39) 766,633 [872] - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 1 (Nov., 2010) 21 (41) 747,451 [454] - The Wind Rises (July, 2013) 22 (43) 737,467 [937] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017) 23 (44) 729,114 [773] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017) 24 (46) 717,958 [434] - Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Sept., 2014) 25 (47) 716,629 [381] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Mar., 2018) 26 (48) 715,727 [653] - Dragon Ball Z: Resurrection F (Apr., 2015) 27 (50) 707,339 [447] - Bayside Shakedown 3: Set the Guys Loose! (July, 2010)

Per Corpse: Jurassic Park - Box Office History (1993-)Opening Weekends:¥845.1 million ($6.8 million) / 544,759 - Jurassic World (2015)¥805.0 million ($6.7 million) / 608,000 - Jurassic Park III (2001)Unavailable - Jurassic Park (1993)Unavailable - The Lost World: Jurassic Park (1997)Totals:¥12.85 billion ($120.6 million) / 8.55 million - Jurassic Park (1993) ¥9.53 billion ($77.9 million) / 6.26 million - Jurassic World (2015) ¥9.50 billion ($85.6 million) / 6.30 million - The Lost World: Jurassic Park (1997) ¥5.13 billion ($41.3 million) / 3.90 million - Jurassic Park III (2001)

According to Corpse, the average legs for a July opener should get JW2 to $65-75 million.

Looks like a very solid debut for JW2 in Japan. Weekend Forecast (07/14-15)01 (---) ¥900,000,000 ($8.0 million), 0, ¥1,150,000,000 ($10.2 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) NEW02 (---) ¥500,000,000 ($4.4 million), 0, ¥575,000,000 ($5.1 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) NEW 03 (01) ¥161,000,000 ($1.4 million), -45%, ¥1,600,000,000 ($14.2 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney) WK3 04 (02) ¥137,000,000 ($1.2 million), -18%, ¥3,775,000,000 ($34.2 million), Shoplifters (Gaga) WK6 05 (04) ¥70,000,000 ($620,000), -30%, ¥1,475,000,000 ($13.2 million), Recall (Shochiku) WK5 06 (03) ¥55,000,000 ($490,000), -50%, ¥275,000,000 ($2.4 million), Rainbow Days (Shochiku) WK2 07 (05) ¥52,000,000 ($460,000), -36%, ¥325,000,000 ($2.9 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) WK3 08 (06) ¥32,000,000 ($285,000), -34%, ¥1,200,000,000 ($11.0 million), 50 First Kisses (Sony) WK7 09 (08) ¥25,000,000 ($220,000), -38%, ¥8,575,000,000 ($78.4 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho) WK14 10 (07) ¥24,000,000 ($210,000), -43%, ¥250,000,000 ($2.2 million), Punk Samurai Slash Down (Toei) WK33-Day Holiday Weekend Forecast (07/14-16)01 (---) ¥1,250,000,000 ($11.1 million), 0, ¥1,500,000,000 ($13.3 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) NEW02 (---) ¥725,000,000 ($6.4 million), 0, ¥800,000,000 ($7.1 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) NEW 03 (01) ¥232,000,000 ($2.1 million), -21%, ¥1,675,000,000 ($14.9 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney) WK3 04 (02) ¥208,000,000 ($1.8 million), +24%, ¥3,850,000,000 ($34.8 million), Shoplifters (Gaga) WK6 05 (04) ¥104,000,000 ($925,000), +05%, ¥1,500,000,000 ($13.5 million), Recall (Shochiku) WK5 06 (03) ¥81,000,000 ($720,000), -24%, ¥300,000,000 ($2.7 million), Rainbow Days (Shochiku) WK2 07 (05) ¥79,000,000 ($700,000), -03%, ¥350,000,000 ($3.1 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) WK3 08 (06) ¥49,000,000 ($435,000), +01%, ¥1,220,000,000 ($11.2 million), 50 First Kisses (Sony) WK7 09 (08) ¥38,000,000 ($335,000), -05%, ¥8,590,000,000 ($78.5 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho) WK14 10 (07) ¥35,000,000 ($310,000), -16%, ¥260,000,000 ($2.3 million), Punk Samurai Slash Down (Toei) WK3

Also absent from the list is Taiwan, which had made close to $20 million as of July 1.

It looks like Black Panther did get a noticeable bump this weekend from Ant-Man 2 although not nearly as much as I was expecting. It's so close to $700 million now that it could probably still reach it if just left in theaters for the rest of summer.