Jump to content

KP1025

Free Account+
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,953

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by KP1025

  1. KP1025
    Funny enough, I can still see a scenario where it opens to #2 against TLK's 3rd weekend.
  2. KP1025
    I don't think Mother's Day will be particulary beneficial since IW is not a female-skewing film. Last year, GotG2 dropped 25.1% on that Sunday whereas BatB dropped only 2.9%.
  3. KP1025
  4. KP1025
    Optimistically, IW's 3rd weekend may even actually make top 10 all-time worldwide openings. It would need around $65 million DOM, $80 million OS-C, and $250 million China. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/world/worldwideopenings.htm
  5. KP1025
    Rather it go to Disney. They already have a vested interest in the success of Avatar. Getting the Fantastic Four/X-Men is also a huge boon to the MCU.
  6. KP1025
    What about the summer blackout? I know DM3 got a July release last year (the only Hollywood film I believe), but Spider-Man, Apes 3, and Dunkirk all got pushed to September in China.
  7. KP1025
    I was more referring to this list: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/ For a BO-oriented site, you would think they would include the top foreign OWs on there.
  8. KP1025
    It looks like BOM only takes domestic OWs into account for the records. I don't see any of China's massive openings in the list.
  9. KP1025
    Sherlock Holmes 3 won't be a threat at all. The second film only made $187 million, and I predict the third will only drop. It seems like a sequel nobody asked for. The bigger competitor will be Sing 2, which also opens Christmas Day 2020 and which will be targeting families. The previous film was quite well received and grossed $270 million. I think the sequel will be as successful. Avatar 2 should still easily be #1 that weekend though.
  10. KP1025
  11. KP1025
    They only adjust OS totals if the film is still actively grossing money in these markets. We don't usually see huge fluctuations in ER in the span of a few months, but when they happen they can cause some strange effects. It's why the USD amount of a lot of OS grosses is incorrect on BOM compared to the detailed threads here. They continually adjust the film's entire total in local currency to the current ER rather than just the amount that's grossed during the new ER. I guess they thought it would be difficult to keep track of the different ERs for every single week of a film's run.
  12. KP1025
    I would say that is practically impossible at this point. Even the extremely leggy Jumanji only made an additional $7 million when its legs were hit after its Digital HD release date (which is this Tuesday for BP), and that was during a very weak March. With major releases coming up, BP will be shedding theaters rather fast now that it's entering home release.
  13. KP1025
    It looks like IW will cross DH2 before BP.
  14. KP1025
    Developed markets will have to pick up the slack if Episode 9 wants to increase from TLJ OS. At this point, not even $20 million in China is guaranteed.
  15. KP1025
    I think Titanic is safe now unless China goes over $550 million (unlikely). Its rank at #2 WW will probably be challenged again next year though... if not by Avengers 4, then the Lion King.
  16. KP1025
    And even Black Panther only increased 102% on its second Friday. IW's lower Friday increase isn't something never seen before in a MCU event film.
  17. KP1025
    I think Lion King will beat Avengers 4 too, but I'm curious about its OS prospects. Was the original animated film huge enough in developing and developed markets? To beat Avatar, it would have to extremely positive reception and hype in all the major markets (especially China). The Lion King would basically have to triple the Jungle Book's WW gross to beat Avatar, and that just seems like a ridiculously high milestone to reach. I just don't know if it's that popular to have both a giant opening and fantastic legs in every market.
  18. KP1025
    Does this person actually have access to numbers, or is he guessing based on the range of estimates provided by other sources?
  19. KP1025
    Looking at the examples, it looks like there is a global phenomenon approximately once per decade. I'm guessing the next one is also likely to be an original film since big franchise films do not have universal appeal in all markets (e.g. Star Wars is weak in Latin America and Asia outside Japan, MCU is very weak in Japan and not that big in much of Europe).
  20. KP1025
    In comparison, here are the Top 5 "non-opening week" Fridays: 1. TFA: $49,325,663 2. TFA: $34,394,152 3. Catching Fire: $31,570,448 4. Avengers: $29,223,517 5. Jurassic World: $29,114,435 #1 is obviously out of reach, but IW can probably make a play for #2. EDIT: Adjusted prediction after RTH numbers.
  21. KP1025
    Interesting that while Frozen had 16 consecutive weekends #1 by gross, Spirited Away had 16 consecutive weekends #1 by admissions (11 by gross). Pretty poetic that both films have the record in their respective category, seeing as how U.S ranks by gross while Japan ranks by admissions.
  22. KP1025
    $60 million would be very good, all things considered. I think many were expecting Solo to plummet from TLJ.
  23. KP1025
    Casual reminder that Frozen managed to be #1 in Japan for 16 consecutive weeks.
  24. KP1025
    Does Infinity War have any significant competition in the next few weeks, or does it pretty much have a vacant field?
  25. KP1025
    For comparison, The Avengers dropped 9% and Age of Ultron dropped 8.5% on the equivalent day.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.

  I accept