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Everything posted by KP1025
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COCO | 597.4 M overseas ● 807.1 M worldwide
KP1025 replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
It looks like Japan will get Coco to $800 million after all. Was a bit worried that all the animated competition would hurt its legs there. -
I wish Japan loved CBMs as much as South Korea. It's the only major market where they seem to be rejected. Having most of them make only around $10 million or so is disappointing considering the box office ceiling in the market is so much higher (above $100 million or even $200 million in rare instances).
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Since China isn't opening on the same weekend, it looks like IW would require an OS opening in the vicinity of $300 million to break the WW opening record (assuming a domestic OW range of $230-250 million). DH2 is the only film to have surpassed that milestone without China ($314 million OS-China OW), with TFA coming pretty close as well ($281 million OS-China OW).
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
With that opening, Jumanji is probably looking at around a $10 million total in Japan.- 24,124 replies
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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
KP1025 replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
I am very pleasantly surprised at RPO's breakout. I thought it was a fantastic film personally, but I just didn't think that heavy sci-fi reliant on nostalgic references (most of which are from the 1980s Western pop culture) would sell that well in China. -
JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
This is what Corpse had to say about Jumanji's prospects in Japan.- 24,124 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
Coco had the same percentage drop as Moana in its second weekend, which was also the weekend before Spring Break officially begins in Japan. Coco is actually slightly ahead of Moana's total at the same point in its run. Moana had larger weekends, but Coco had a boost from a holiday last Wednesday.- 24,124 replies
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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
KP1025 replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Seems very rare for a sequel in China to actually drop from the previous film. The most notable examples I can think of are Transformers 5 and TLJ among Hollywood films, and Monster Hunt 2 and Monkey King 3 among local films. -
China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
KP1025 replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
I'm guessing we won't get a Hollywood blockbuster with 9.0 or higher on Maoyan until Rampage. Everything since Black Panther has had bad WOM. -
JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
It doesn't look like Coco is appealing as much to young kids compared to Doraemon and Boss Baby if the weaker matinee shows are any indication. The evenings have been very strong though, and skewing older will help with legs post Spring Break.- 24,124 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
That Doraemon increase is really impressive.- 24,124 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
Will Toho handle all future Dreamworks films? Disney and Illumination could use more competition in the market.- 24,124 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
Boss Baby is having a surprisingly strong opening day even factoring in the holiday. End of the Dreamworks slump in Japan?- 24,124 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
To make things a little more interesting, Boss Baby is finally being released today in Japan. Will it provide more serious animated competition for Coco, or will it fizzle like most Dreamworks animated films in Japan? At the very least, Japan will help Boss Baby cross $500 million WW.- 24,124 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
I'm personally hoping it can make the Top 30 best multipliers (Hollywood animated films are in bold).- 24,124 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
https://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/ It is not 100% complete data, but I believe it represents about 3/4 of the theaters in Japan.- 24,124 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
I know Corpse tends to be conservative with predictions, but I hope Coco can reach a better multiplier than that. It's hard to imagine it not having excellent WOM based on the quality of the film and specific themes/properties that resonate with Japanese audiences.- 24,124 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
Corpse is predicting $20 million max for Jumanji, so it probably won't be a threat. It's also a completely different genre, so it won't have much effect on Coco even it if breaks out. The newest Conan film will definitely be the most direct competition.- 24,124 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
I think Coco should have better legs than Moana. Moana faced direct competition from Sing just one week after its release. As both were animated musicals, there was some cannibalization of audiences. Secondly, it was prevented from having a leggy run because Beauty and the Beast opened just 6 weeks after and dominated the market. It lost the majority of its screens and had to face yet another musical, an unfortunate effect of the scheduling that year.- 24,124 replies
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
Still early, but based on midday Friday numbers Coco should debut at #1 today. Doraemon still strong at #2.- 24,124 replies
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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
KP1025 replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Spoke too soon. Looks like average Maoyan scores for the new openers.