KP1025

I think that must have been a very recent review that pushed it over. It was sitting at 59% for all of last week.

It does seem family films are relatively immune to the effects of a negative RT score. Peter Rabbit is a month old now, so families are probably itching for a new film to see in theaters.

I think a strictly family film is rated PG or under. Jurassic World is a 4-quadrant film that does attract families, but I wouldn't classify it as a family film because of the PG-13 violence and subject matter.

I'm guessing their phenomenal holds are a result of the dearth of family films in the market. Will probably benefit A Wrinkle in Time and Sherlock Gnomes even if they are below-average films (Peter Rabbit only has 59% on RT).

BatB is classified as a spring release. Black Panther easily has the winter record, previously held by Deadpool. This also means that Infinity War will take the domestic spring record from BatB and hopefully worldwide spring record from F7. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/seasonal/

Very good chance to become #10 highest-grossing film in the world. Passing TLJ would ensure it doesn't get knocked out immediately by Infinity War in a few months though. DH2 is just $10 million higher than TLJ, and passing that would 100% hold the #10 spot (in case JW2 grosses over $1.35 billion) for a whole year until Avengers 4 opens.

Now it can hold IMAX screens for 2 weeks before IW opens.

Considering Kong arguably won the last time they fought, I hope they give the win to Godzilla this time. Godzilla has also been built up more as the main character (especially since this film feels more like Godzilla 3 than a sequel to Skull Island).

According to BOM, China opened 10 days after domestic release for Ultron. Civil War opened on the same day.

Black Panther should cross $1 billion WW in 24 days, the same number of days it took for Ultron and Civil War.

I agree that Mary Poppins is going to be big in several of the major developed markets. Just an early guess at this point, but I can see $450 million domestic, $75+ million in the UK, $35+ million in Australia/NZ combined, and $60+ million in Japan.

SW9 could do it if it's another crowdpleaser like TFA. Only needs a 13% increase from TLJ, and the third film in SW trilogies have traditionally increased from the second film. Avatar 2 is another film that could pass $700 million if its visuals are really as groundbreaking as Cameron is hinting at. Despite being the culmination of everything in the MCU, Avengers 4 will probably be too frontloaded to make it even with a record-breaking OW.

Only need three more after Black Panther. SW9 should make it, which leaves two more. I think Avengers 4 has a small chance if it's seen as the final team-up (at least for the Phase 1 icons like IM, CA, Thor, etc). The Lion King could possibly do it too. Shocking to think there's a chance (however slim) of three $600 million grossers for a single studio in one year.

I went and double checked, and those figures in the list are actually 2-day reported numbers. Here is Wonder Woman's report from last August. Weekend Actuals (08/26-27)01 (---) ¥395,870,100 ($3.6 million), 0, ¥395,870,100 ($3.6 million), Sekigahara (Toho) NEW 02 (---) ¥266,512,000 ($2.4 million), 0, ¥370,245,700 ($3.4 million), Wonder Woman (Warner Bros.) NEW 03 (03) ¥231,030,300 ($2.1 million), -16%, ¥6,202,843,700 ($56.4 million), Despicable Me 3 (Toho-Towa) WK6 04 (02) ¥156,869,600 ($1.4 million), -47%, ¥913,649,100 ($8.3 million), Fireworks, Should We See It from the Side or the Bottom? (Toho) WK2 05 (04) ¥140,689,300 ($1.3 million), -44%, ¥2,260,122,800 ($20.6 million), Spider-Man: Homecoming (Sony) WK3 06 (05) ¥125,191,100 ($1.1 million), -23%, ¥2,577,371,200 ($23.4 million), I Want To Eat Your Pancreas (Toho) WK5 07 (01) ¥120,256,500 ($1.1 million), -66%, ¥759,181,800 ($6.9 million), High & Low 2: End of Sky (Shochiku) WK2 08 (07) ¥70,576,500 ($646,000), -29%, ¥3,184,546,100 ($29.1 million), Pokemon: I Choose You! (Toho) WK7 09 (09) ¥55,098,800 ($505,000), -25%, ¥3,022,973,500 ($27.6 million), Mary and the Witch's Flower (Toho) WK8 10 (08) ¥53,153,600 ($487,000), -36%, ¥3,638,393,900 ($33.7 million), Gintama (Warner Bros.) WK7 Corpse also says this about Black Panther's opening: "If it earns exactly what I'm predicting over the weekend, it still wouldn't be enough to crack the Top 20 Opening Weekends for Marvel/DC films, and achieving the 18th biggest opening for Marvel/DC films is probably its ceiling as well."

That is the 3-day number, whereas Japanese trades (and Corpse) report weekend figures as Sat+Sun only. Based on the estimated 2-day opening of ¥275,000,000, Black Panther is tentatively the #21 biggest opening weekend a for Marvel/DC film in Japan.

The buzz for this seems better than Tomorrowland to me. I'm seeing lots of praise for the cast performances (especially the lead), and the diversity/representation angle could allow it to ride a bit on Black Panther's coattails. I'm seeing similar campaigns to raise money for underprivileged kids to see this film.

Thanks. I'm also curious to see how the situation plays out this summer when Incredibles 2 and JW2 release one week apart. Both are advertised as having an IMAX release.

I've always been curious about how PLF screen sharing work when major tentpoles release a week apart. Rampage is advertised as having an IMAX release, and I assume it would lose all IMAX screens to IW the following week because the latter is a far bigger film. How did IMAX sharing work last summer for Homecoming, Apes 3, and Dunkirk (all major tentpoles which were released one week apart)?

The Friday increase for the majority of releases seems to be much higher than last week's, which makes me believe the storm didn't really impact the box office at all.

I don't use MoviePass, but I read from others with the same problem that you can just pick the "movie showtime is not listed" option and get a Red Sparrow ticket that way.

Great hold for TGS. Black Panther also has a decent opening considering its genre. For comparison, Wonder Woman opened to ¥266,512,000 and finished with ¥1.34 billion ($12.2 million).

Infinity War release date pushed up to April 27 globally. How likely is it for China to get the same release date as well? Will be very important if Infinity War wants to challenge the worldwide and overseas opening weekend record of F8.

I wonder if Incredibles 2 and JW2 are sharing IMAX screens, or if the former will just hold onto them for one week.

As a Godzilla fan, I'm actually more hyped for the second film than Godzilla vs. Kong. Besides introducing a greater number of iconic kaiju, I feel King Ghidorah is a much more formidable foe to Godzilla than Kong. I'm sure they will be forced to use some PIS to keep the fight fair in G vs. K. The only thing that would make me more excited is if Godzilla and Kong are forced to team-up against a greater kaiju like Destoroyah.

There's definitely a lot of casual moviegoers in the GA who watch it still. For reference, the Oscars had about 33 million viewers in the US alone last year (or about one third the number that watched the Superbowl). Deadpool dropped 43% that Sunday instead of its usual mid-30% despite being a CBM.