KP1025

Upping my predictions for this after the trailer. I can see Sing numbers or higher.

According to the calculations on the previous pages, $450 million OS is expected without these new openers. $600 million OS is the final target assuming a solid performance in China (around $120 million). I would say more likely than not, domestic will be a higher percentage of total gross than the OS. Maybe $650 million DOM/$600 million OS for $1.25 billion.

Did I say otherwise? I was supporting your argument.

If we're going to compare financial success, why would the OS numbers be excluded from the argument? The total gross worldwide is obviously the most important figure here.

Unobtanium has been used as a generic term for a very long time. I do wonder why they didn't just name the one in the movie Pandorium or something unique to Avatar. Then again, all these fictional metals pretty much sound the same anyways.

The Greatest Showman down just 7% in its second weekend in Japan! Still #1. Weekend Actuals (02/24-25)01 (01) ¥364,200,400 ($3.4 million), -07%, ¥1,351,019,800 ($12.7 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) WK2

I'd say Incredibles 2 because animated films have higher multipliers. I think it's likely Deadpool 2 will decrease from the original while Incredibles 2 is looking at over $400 million domestic.

It does look quite suspicious. In just 3 theaters for over a week and then a sudden inexplicable increase this past Saturday. 2018/02/16 - $1,047 -39% 3 $349 $1,946,487 29 2018/02/17 - $3,078 +194% 3 $1,026 $1,949,565 30 2018/02/18 - $1,495 -51% 3 $498 $1,951,060 31 2018/02/19 - $1,794 +20% 3 $598 $1,952,854 32 2018/02/20 - $975 -46% 3 $325 $1,953,829 33 2018/02/21 - $749 -23% 3 $250 $1,954,578 34 2018/02/22 - $1,925 +157% 3 $642 $1,956,503 35 2018/02/23 - $1,210 -37% 3 $403 $1,957,713 36 2018/02/24 - $199,413 +16,380% 448 $445 $2,157,126 37 2018/02/25 - $2,816 -99% 3 $939 $2,159,942 38

That per theater average for Mary and the Witch's Flower...

Good chance at $800 million WW with Oscars boost for Japan's run (unless Coco somehow loses Best Animated Feature).

Jurassic World had much better legs and reception than Age of Ultron in China. If not for losing the majority of screens due to the blackout period, it would have beaten AoU's gross in China (it came extremely close regardless). It's entirely possible that JW:FK beats Infinity War in China due to higher appeal among the GA.

Black Panther dropped under 45% in its second weekend and that is including previews and a holiday boost. I think it is quite likely it will have sub-40% weekend holds going forwards unless for some reason the demand for it just collapses. This is clearly a weekend movie judging from its massive Saturdays and Sundays.

Opening weekend numbers for Black Panther in Africa: "In South Africa, it was $1.4 million; in West Africa, roughly $400,000, and in East Africa, roughly $300,000."

If that happens, it may beat Age of Ultron's worldwide gross.

If Avatar 2 is really "Avatar on steroids" as described and recaptures the phenomenon status of the first film, I wouldn't rule out a gross over TFA domestically. By 2020, Avatar would adjust close to TFA unadjusted ($937 million) plus the sequel will be released in around 25% more theaters this time around.

Disney has taken the domestic and worldwide crown for three consecutive years now, and it doesn't look like that streak is ending anytime soon with Avatar now in their portfolio too.

Do you know what kind of reception Black Panther currently has in Hong Kong and Taiwan? It could be a good predictor of the WOM in China.

Nice uptick.

IronJimbo earlier.

A phenomenon outperforms expectations by capturing the zeitgeist. They also do not necessarily require massive numbers to qualify. Wonder Woman is a better example of a phenomenon than Age of Ultron despite grossing less at the box office.

Thanks. I only did a cursory glance down the highest-grossing lists, but I had a feeling there were a whole bunch out there.

Jumanji's staying power is incredible. How many other movies were still in over 2,500 theaters in their 10th weekend ? I can only think of Titanic (3,006 theaters) and Avatar (2,581 theaters).

Pacific Rim 2 should easily outgross the first.

I think it would be a miracle to drop under 50% after an inflated holiday weekend, let alone close to only 40%.

Seems a no-brainer. Jurassic World was Universal's biggest film of all-time and along with F&F, the only billion-dollar franchises left in their portfolio. Universal is probably the only studio left that can still compete with Disney's biggest films. At the very least, OS markets will likely keep these films profitable for a long time.