KP1025

That Frozen number is crazy, which makes me wonder how well the sequel will do next year. Is Frozen still popular in South Korea like in Japan?

I'm having a hard time pegging its potential in China. On the one hand, it has the Rock and takes place in China (although Hollywood pandering will only go so far). On the other, it doesn't look nearly as epic or interesting as his other action films. San Andreas made $103 million in China, so I suppose that's a good baseline for now.

Glad we got some background about the kid in glasses.

I liked it a lot better than the first trailer. Definitely more excited for the film, and I think the GA will be too.

Looks like it had about 22% of screens and opened to #2. Down to just 15% screens today. It does seem to have good WOM from what I've read.

The Greatest Showman open today in China. Any predictions for its run?

I'm surprised it has this bad WOM. I haven't seen it yet, but I see a lot of people saying MR3 is the best one in the series.

I like the series a lot too, but it's too bad Maze Runner wasn't able to really break out like the Hunger Game films. I'm still shocked at the box office grosses of the first two Hunger Game films, especially the fact that they outgrossed every Potter film domestically.

I was always surprised that Pacific Rim underperformed so much outside China. It was a big budget movie by an established director with large-scale action scenes/monster battles. On paper, it seemed like something that would please the GA like the Transformers franchise (Pacific Rim came out before fatigue had really set in).

This actually seems like a unique concept to me and not just another haunted house horror. The idea of building a house specifically designed to foil spirits following you is very intriguing.

Summer 2020 is a better bet. Sing 2 is taking the Christmas 2020 slot, which means the family film demographic already has a big draw.

I think firedeep mentioned Avengers films are seen as event films and not subject to the usual SH ceiling (around $100 million). Last time in 2015, it was a very close race between AoU and JW in China. It's a bit hard to gauge hype because Marvel has many fanboys/girls whereas the JW franchise relies more on GA.

I wish I had known about it in my childhood. The Rampage game actually looked pretty good for its time.

WB finally released actuals: 1 (1) Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony Pictures $19,505,170 -31% 3,704 $5,266 $316,450,318 5 2 new 12 Strong Warner Bros. $15,815,025 3,002 $5,268 $15,815,025 1 3 new Den of Thieves STX Entertainment $15,206,108 2,432 $6,253 $15,206,108 1 4 (2) The Post 20th Century Fox $11,716,960 -39% 2,851 $4,110 $44,758,372 5 5 (4) The Greatest Showman 20th Century Fox $10,644,824 -15% 2,823 $3,771 $113,125,431 5 6 (7) Paddington 2 Warner Bros. $8,009,129 -27% 3,702 $2,163 $24,810,362 2

Biggest local movie should be Monster Hunt 2. Biggest Hollywood I'm leaning towards IW.

26, so I probably wouldn't remember any video game that predates the SNES. DK and Frogger games were still at their peak of popularity in the 90s when I grew up.

That was before my time then because I honestly have never heard of it prior to this film coming out. Perhaps it's because DK and Frogger have had multiple successful games well past their arcade debut to remain cemented in popular culture.

This has to be one of the most obscure video game adaptations ever. The vast majority of people (even gamers) probably didn't even know about the source material prior to all the articles about the film coming out. Considering the games seemed to have been universally panned, I suppose that's not surprising.

I adore monster movies, so I'm hoping Rampage breaks out. However, I have a hard time seeing it pass $200 million let alone $300 million. It seems generic monster movies generally do not have a high ceiling unless they are based on a popular and well-known IP. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/genres/chart/?id=creaturefeature.htm

Thanks, I was underestimating the holdovers. This doesn't change your main argument, but it's also worth noting the exchange rates are worse now than when those 3 Pixar films were released in Japan. Finding Nemo is actually the highest grossing Pixar film in Japan at 11 billion yen ($99 million today). Next highest is Toy Story 3 at 10.8 billion yen ($97.2 million today), Monsters Inc. at 9.37 billion yen ($84.3 million today), and Monsters University at 8.96 billion yen ($80.6 million today). 9 billion yen or more in Japan is probably what Coco needs to beat Wonder Woman in case other markets come slightly below your projections.

I would never have guessed that Ferdinand would beat TLJ in any market, let alone in the biggest OS market.

Oh right, completely forgot about Jumanji. That makes a difficult milestone even more of a reach. Coco would have to be the highest grossing Pixar film in Japan to beat Wonder Woman WW.

Coco needs to pass $821,847,012 in order to become #10 highest grosser of 2017. Japan doesn't release until March 16, so we have a long wait to find out. What's interesting is that Boss Baby is releasing 5 days after it, and that might affect Coco in the family film category. Traditionally, Dreamworks films have stopped releasing in Japan because of their very poor box office results. This time though, Universal is handling the distribution and might actually pose some competition.

With Japan still left to open, $700 million is locked. Rest of the markets will probably get it there before Japan's opening. Coco might finish above $750 million with the potential for more if it really breaks out in Japan.