KP1025

Hamilton is apparently in the works, and that's one I can see adapting well to the big screen. I'd also love to see a Book of Mormon film adaption, but I'm not sure how well an R-rated comedy musical would play out.

This was actually a lot better than I thought based on the cringe-worthy trailers. A nice balance of laughs and emotional moments. For a Blue Sky Studios film, there's a surprising amount of heart. Contrary to the trailers, this is a film that families can enjoy together and not just little kids.

Let's hope Cole Smithey doesn't review it. He broke Lady Bird's perfect record and was also the first to give Toy Story 3 a rotten review.

https://nypost.com/2018/01/16/emoji-movie-is-the-first-film-shown-in-saudi-arabia-in-35-years/

You're taking it too personally. This is a box office forum and comparing numbers objectively is what we do. Note nobody in this thread said anything about TLJ having a bad performance (you interjected that yourself). Corpse has been doing these type of analyses for many years, so it's hardly some kind of unique vendetta against TLJ you seem to believe here.

Rogue One opened far lower than TLJ in Japan, so it's not the same thing at all. It's not my take on it either. This is straight from Corpse's analysis.

So looking like about a 6.2x multiplier for TLJ, which is very average blockbuster legs by Japan standards.

Here's another omen that Avatar 2 will shatter box office records in China. It already has a higher "want to see" index on Maoyan (China’s biggest online movie ticketing platform) than Infinity War! This is crazy considering Infinity War is perhaps the most hyped up blockbuster this year by a good margin (judging by trailer views and social media presence). Avatar 2 won't be released for another 3 years in China, and yet the hype is already off the charts and surpassing a giant blockbuster releasing in less than 4 months! https://maoyan.com/films/78461 Avatar 2 https://maoyan.com/films/248170 Infinity War https://maoyan.com/films/341628 And here is Jurassic World 2 for comparison since it's another highly anticipated sequel this year. https://maoyan.com/films/343034 Here is Furious 9, sequel to the highest grossing Hollywood films in China, just to show what type of hype a film several years away typically has.

I don't think this would help. Moana was marketed in China by having Zootopia characters in the ads, but it didn't work well at all. Moana only made $33 million compared to $235 million of Zootopia. The good news is that superheroes play better in China, with BH6 making $84 million. I wouldn't expect much more than that for Incredibles 2, maybe $100 million optimistically for now.

Good analysis by @averagejoe about Coco's chances of hitting $800 million WW.

Coco is going over $700 million and may even approach $800 million if it breaks out in Japan. It's already over $620 million, and it has just started (or about to start) in major markets like South Korea, UK, and finally Japan in March.

I think that record also belongs to TLJ now, which is looking at around a $315-320 million drop domestically. JW:FK could take the record if it has very bad WOM but would require a percentage drop much higher than what sequels typically experience. Giving JW:FK the same percentage drop as TLJ from TFA gives it $430 million still.

The biggest sequel drop in raw gross that I know of is Alice Through the Looking Glass, which dropped $726 million from the first film. TLJ has to make under $1.342 billion to take that record, which is a very real possibility.

I agree. My point was more that at this point in their runs, Jumanji's gross is more heavily distributed to the weekends whereas TDK was still burning through summer weekdays. In terms of raw gross left, it's possible Jumanji adds the same amount after its 4th weekend (TDK added another $92 million after its 4th weekend).

I was specifically referring to this weekend, where it will beat TDK's 4th weekend.

Not to take anything away from Jumanji's run, but TDK was a summer release. Weekend increases are softer because of weekdays burning up demand.

This won't affect Japan because the vast majority prefer to see the dubbed version. Also, pirating is almost non-existent there.

$16,806,712

4 and a half years actually. Transformers 4 took the record in summer 2014. Avatar did triple the gross of the prior record holder, which was pretty impressive.

It would bode very well for Japan indeed. Since Coco is released in Japan after the Oscars, it will get a big boost regardless since it is a shoe-in for Best Animated Feature. Frozen was able to take advantage of such a big publicity boost due to its release date as well.

Avatar 2 will probably pass $1 billion in China.

I can't believe how far Transformers has fallen as a franchise. Rank Title (click to view) Studio Adjusted Gross Unadjusted Gross Release 1 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen P/DW $481,335,300 $402,111,870 6/24/09 2 Transformers P/DW $414,370,400 $319,246,193 7/3/07 3 Transformers: Dark of the Moon P/DW $395,249,700 $352,390,543 6/29/11 4 Transformers: Age of Extinction Par. $271,254,400 $245,439,076 6/27/14 5 Transformers: The Last Knight Par. $129,978,500 $130,168,683 6/21/17 Same with Pirates of the Caribbean: Rank Title (click to view) Studio Adjusted Gross Unadjusted Gross Release 1 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest BV $577,131,300 $423,315,812 7/7/06 2 Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl BV $452,294,700 $305,413,918 7/9/03 3 Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End BV $401,616,900 $309,420,425 5/25/07 4 Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides BV $267,252,700 $241,071,802 5/20/11 5 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales BV $172,194,500 $172,558,876 5/26/17

Jumanji over Spider-Man ($403,706,375) and becoming Sony's biggest film.

I remember seeing that chart, as well as one for TFA with 2010 exchange rates. Avatar was ahead in both, but I don't think it was adjusted for different ticket prices and market size though.

I don't think $150 million is on the table anymore with the huge breakout from local film Ex-File 3 in China. According to @POTUS the presales for Jumanji are weak currently and suggest an opening weekend around $25 million. It could have stronger walk-up business than usual though.