lucasbenica

I'm now working on a movie theather + film school so... its been hard out here.

Blair Witch 100%!

Weeks 21 report: @Wrath is back (by unpopular demand), as his tie with @lucasbenica remains & an ascending billionaire @CJohn becomes competition. (This is a forum member's forecast. Numbers may vary.) Up to and including June 1st and June 2nd investments.

Weeks 19 & 20 report: The Conjuring 2 and Finding Dory change the scenary. (This is a forum member's forecast. Numbers may vary.) Up to and including May 15th and Week 20 investments. A lot happened since last week. Lucasbenica hit $1.6b mark in Revenue, surpassing @Wrath, even though Wrath still has a higher Company Value. They pratically tie when it comes to overall performance. @CJohn remained strong at 3rd position. Players @Simionski and @The Panda made their way back to the top 5. Simionski, who was 8th, went to 4th place and The Panda went from 7th to 5th. As that happened, @BourneFan #1, @grey ghost and @JJ-8 got bounced to complete the top 8. Below are my predictions for each player following their last investments and revenue.

central intelligence 10%

finding dory 100%

if so lol

100% the conjuring

Week 18 report: Civil War opening weekend is a little lower than expected, but it's still great. (This is a forum member's forecast. Numbers may vary.) Up to and including May 8th. Same as past week.

Week 17 report: Civil War investors join Deadpool investors at top 5. (This is a forum member's forecast. Numbers may vary.) Up to and including May 1st. I've been busy with some college stuff so I'm just leaving this here. For official bank account numbers, investments, %, etc., you should go to JJ cause they may differ sometimes and JJ's are the one that count at the end. I'm only playing with forecasts ("rankings" column).

Ah, and I'm offering $4.8m/% on Civil War. @BourneFan #1 @grey ghost @CJohn @Simionski

X-men 10%

Week 16 report: Cjohn crosses Revenue $1b mark. (This is a forum member's forecast. Numbers may vary.) Up to and including Apr 25. @CJohn crossed the $1b mark in Revenue, shortly behind lucasbenica as @Wrath stands still at #1. Civil War investors got their numbers raised because of a higher forecast for the film. @Wrath remains #1 as Company Value and Revenue. @CJohn #1 in ROI. @The Panda Knight #1 as Best Investor.

Angry Birds 10% Nice Guys 10% I'M BACK (i think)

lol You got a 300$M profit from Deadpool. Chill out.

Week 15 report: Wrath is back! But top 5 can be redefined. (This is a forum member's forecast. Numbers may vary.) Up to and including Apr 17. Jungle Book grossed 50% more than expected, bringing its investors @Wrath (100%) and @The Panda Knight (100%) up. @The Panda Knight was the best player, surpassing @JJ-8 and @BourneFan #1 in overall performance and becoming #5. Wrath came back to an imminent #1 after a #1 weekend. But there is trouble ahead: the top 4 players are currently banned by the active percentage rule. @Wrath, @CJohn, @lucasbenica and @grey ghost won't be able to invest on any of May 20 releases, including Angry Birds ($140m / 75% ROI), Neighbors 2 ($125m / 213% ROI) and Nice Guys ($55m / 83% ROI). Pretty much every other player will be able to go all in at this weekend. If they go all in, this is how it should look like: (each player's performance has to be taken individually since it ignores each movie's 200% or 300% limit. green represents how much in revenue each player could get if they go all in) @JJ-8 would become #4 and @grey ghost could decay to #7. The next week, @lucasbenica will probably be out of the red zone, but the other players may still be there for a couple of weeks since their current investments have high theaters numbers. @CJohn could be the next to leave the red zone but soon his 100% Civil War will be active and may make it harder to get out, and the same goes to @grey ghost, but soon their theater numbers from other investments will drop. As for @Wrath, he currently has 4 films with 2200+ theaters and 1 above 4000 theaters, so he might be stuck for a little longer. So it is possible to observe that the gap between all players is becoming less and less wider each week. Top 5 is starting to get shuffled and in four weeks it will be a different thing. @Wrath is back. He is #1 in Company value and Revenue by a $200m difference. @CJohn is #1 in ROI, but @Wrath is pretty close to him. @The Panda Knight remains as Best Investor.

Jungle Book $175m budget http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4176&p=.htm

If that happens, then the active percentage rule will serve no purpose.

Week 14 report: Civil War helps players to catch up to Deadpool investors. (This is a forum member's forecast. Numbers may vary.) Up to and including Apr 10. @CJohn (100%), @grey ghost (85%), @BourneFan #1 (60%) and @Simionski (55%) were the lucky ones that grabbed a percentage on Captain America: Civil War. @CJohn doubled his revenue numbers while the other ones also saw a significant increase (+101%, +84%, +63% and +77%, respectively). @Wrath made his way to catch up to @lucasbenica and may as well have better numbers then lucasbenica, considering that BvS is dropping dramatically and it is still to be reflected by the forecast, which still looks very opstimic when we all see what's going on. So this week it can be said that they share #1 in Revenue, but Wrath will probably go higher next week. Wrath stole Cjohn's place as #1 in ROI last week and he's still maintaining it (128% vs 123%), but it's a shorter difference. As for Company value, lucasbenica will probably still hold #1 if no new investments are placed. @The Panda Knight is the Best Investor. Next week must be a calm one before a storm that will last 2 or 3 months. Civil War really pushed some players up and there are big films coming up so stuff will change drastically.

Percentage penalty was replaced by the active %, wasnt it?

Week 13 report: Nothing happened but I'm excited for Civil War. (This is a forum member's forecast. Numbers may vary.) Up to and including Apr 3. Lucasbenica is #1 in Company value and Revenue. @Wrath took over @CJohn's spot as #1 in ROI. @The Panda Knight is the Best Investor.

I'm the only one who'll not be able to invest on Civil War I hope Risen or The Young Messiah dont drop their number of theaters so Wrath doesnt get to invest too lol

Week 12 report: No longer a bridesmaid, Lucasbenica surpasses Wrath in CV and Revenue. (This is a forum member's forecast. Numbers may vary.) Up to and including Mar 27. BvS performance was a little better than expected in its opening weekend and a few forecast tweaks (Divergent gross wasn't being updated correctly and when corrected it contributed to the player's CV) put @lucasbenica as first player and @Wrath as second, even though it's by a small amount (CV $10m and Revenue $20m differences). @Exxdee was the week's best player with a 24,7% increase in overall performance mostly because of BvS perfomance that bursted his CV. So lucasbenica is now #1 in Company value and Revenue. @CJohn is #1 in ROI. @The Panda Knight is the Best Investor.

Wait. I think I might be calculating ROI wrong. It should be calculated as [TOTAL GROSS] / [TOTAL INVESTED] - 1, right? But then that would mean that Jayhawk and ThatOneGuy would be winning with 166% (right?), and they have only invested in The Forest. One movie. And on the game's first week. Is there a rule to prevent this? About BI, i think i'm getting it right but just to be clear, should it be calculated as [TOTAL GROSS] / [TOTAL INVESTMENTS %]?

I'll take that back. lol