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I think the point is October is awfully early to be declaring locks. Race is fairly fluid at this point. From what I hear, Farrell’s role might be a bit light, so while nomination seems good a win might be a stretch. Fraser and Butler are still likely the frontrunners until the critics start weighing in.

Tempted to quote Eastwood and say deservings got nothing to do with it. But the fact is Cate’s reviews are in that rarefied There Will Be Blood DDL range. Those type of raves usually result in Oscars even if they had won lead before (see Hopkins). That said, I don’t think Yeoh is the alternate at this point to Blanchett. Action-fantasy is not the strongest genre for acting glory. And even with a brilliant script that gives Yeoh a strong platform to showcase her strengths, I have doubts. I lean towards Williams, a previously nominated actress in a baity role in likely the BP frontrunner at the moment.

Just looking, it appears there are two Pixar films (March and June) and one Disney Animated film (November) set for 2020. Unannounced titles doesn’t mean nothing is being worked on. These places have several films in the pipeline at any one time and they fill in the names on the schedule when one production is moving along faster than others.

I’m so old. My first movie was a Pinocchio re-release. My first new movie was The Goonies (also my first curse word, my mom was not pleased with what she thought was going to be a pirate movie). I don’t have my first memory of a film until the next year (An American Tale). Incidentally I saw all Pixar movies in theatres. I saw all Disney animated films in theatres from Black Cauldron up until Fantasia 2000. Then I skipped 3 of 4 from Brother Bear through Meet the Robinsons, but have picked back up since Bolt. All that said, can’t wait to take my son to see Incredibles 2 tomorrow. Incredibles was the first film I took him to.

The most important character in Rogue One is named Darth Vader, and it is likely the film will be remembered as him at his absolute best. I don't think that will be forgotten any time soon. They carved his face on the National Cathedral.

Oh my god, yes it was. I saw the mountain and then heard the voice and I was like, what the hell is this? And then we went down the rabbit hole. That is the perfect film to me.

I told my son that the last time I did an "oh shit" in the theatre prior to THAT moment in Rogue One was when Gandalf played bouncer to the Balrog. Simply amazing moment, both of them.

I'm firm in Fellowship being my favorite. It was the first, the most fun, and simply a joy. I'm also just as firm in my belief that Two Towers is the best film. The last 20 minutes or so, from when the Ents march on Saruman, to the last ride of Rohan, and Samwise's epic speech is about as perfect as cinema gets to me. Brilliant. I never could properly sort out the Potter books from the movies. The first two are simple reads, and they are simplistic films. HBP is a sloppy read, and it's a sloppy film. Mostly I just watched them with an eye on seeing the novels come to life, and while I have major quibbles, they all mostly hit the broad strokes (sometimes too broad but whatever). Goblet of Fire is the quintessential Potter book to me, and I don't think Rowling ever outdid it as far as plotting and story. The film hits bumps, but I really enjoyed it in the main. The graveyard scene was goosebumpy,

I mean we just read it in the Monday paper and then didn't think about it for another week.

2007 was the best year this century, but you forgot the best movie of them all, Ratatouille.

People who have t-shirts that are 15 years old already know Saturday's numbers.

I love that movie. I love the book even more. Hopefully it makes it to me when rereleased.

When it comes to Pixar, some people bring the doom and gloom before even one day.

Charlotte's Web was great, but the pig was stupid. Put Babe and Charlotte together and give Charlotte something interesting to write about, now that would have been a movie. As far as Mrs. Doubtfire, eh. It was the genie as a bizarrely funny Mary Poppins. Whatever adult dialogue was missed for all the zany hijinks.

I guess Sister Act is questionable (but not really), but Mrs. Doubtfire was undoubtedly a kid's film. And didn't like Babe? How does it feel to have no soul?

Both those were weird. Did not like.

You are missing some there. Home Alone, Mighty Ducks, Sandlot, Mrs. Doubtfire, Babe, Free Willy, Sister Act, Three Musketeers, 3 Ninjas, Rookie of the Year, Cool Runnings. And of course you had the great movies of the 80s just a rental store away, like Goonies, Princess Bride, Back to the Future, Honey I Shrunk the Kids, Indy, Star Wars, Labrynth.

I'm a sucker for kid's films. Mostly Disney/Pixar, but I'll see most things my son wants to see. He dragged me to Minions for his birthday movie. It was the worst. We are several levels below bottom-of-the-barrel Dreamworks here. Made me tear up over how much I missed Shark Tale here.

Ah, mojo tricked me putting the rerelease numbers in the worldwide grosses. Still, I think most of the vitriol was spilled with the first Shrek. By 2004, it was simply a rehash of the old stuff. Though perhaps that is just me being myopic as I had used up my worst barbs for Shrek the First.

I'm going to be one of those loonies, but I honestly don't remember much Nemo-Shrek 2 angst given they were like a year apart, and I don't think anyone was expecting Nemo to win that (though it did win the WW battle). The real Pixar-Dreamworks battle came in 2001. Everything since has just been that battle replayed again and again. Though the war seems to be winding down, and the lamp has outshone the moon. Viva la Remy!

Yeah, Potter was huge, but it almost felt like an after thought that year after the initial opening weekend. The Shrek/Monster's Inc CGI-revolution and Fellowship really stole the thunder. As for Shrek 2, there really are no words for it. Shrek was beloved by everyone (besides me), and so Shrek 2 was THE event film for families that decade. It was to kids what TDK was to 20-somethings. I actually greatly prefer it to Shrek 2 to the original. Of course all that goodwill went down the drain in the May 2007 Threequel-pocalypse.

Is that something to do with sailing? Is that on the Ocho?

It doesn't have to be a problem but it can be. Knowing Docter worked on both made it impossible to separate the two out for me. And in the end, I found several things in Cranium I preferred (and vice versa) and nostalgia gave deference to the original.

There's a few problems with IO, not the least of which is Disney made it already and called it Cranium Command. Beyond that, it was heavy on the creativity but lacking in the pathos. Joy and Sadness were limited by their functional roles and I didn't think ever transcended that. So I was left at arm's length beyond the imaginary friend, one unconstrained. It was a brainy animated film though, and I appreciated it on those merits.

There has been one perfect Pixar film, and it centers on a rat. The rest of their top 5 involves 3 TS films and Incredibles. The rest have varying flaws, from the small (Nemo and Monster's Inc) to the glaring (Cars). Dory has flaws, is not as good as the original, but it's heart is good and it's intelligence not small. Hope it does well at the box office.