As a whole though I wouldn’t call it a hot take. Individual tastes may vary but it’s inarguably her most popular album. The TV could challenge Midnights 1st week numbers, which is just further indicative of how big/loved the original was.
In a vacuum, $2.8M is fairly weak but when you consider that’s about 130K tickets sold in less than 24 hours for a highly frontloaded concert preview it’s not bad at all.
It’s also funny to think that probably 50%+ of those tickets where purchased by people who already had tickets.
Truthfully I wouldn’t put much effort into Thursday at this point. My assumption is it’ll be around 20% of Friday, so we’re talking about $6-8M perhaps?
Apart from the MCU, when was this ever a common thing for comic book films? Sure some films fit that target but the majority did not. And as for the MCU itself, even if The Marvels doesn’t get there they still had the last 7 movies hit over $100M OW.
I’m sure I’ve done enough “reminding” at this point that this is the tracking thread and not a discussion thread. Take your predictions and commentary elsewhere. No more warnings on this subject.
I can’t imagine any RT score mattering, even a high one, and since the details of the concerts are already widely known amongst her community there shouldn’t be any kind of embargo.
Not seeing anything at this point that indicates sales will start ramping up. Probably looking at $85-105M OW which is phenomenal for a concert film (3x the current record) but a bit of a let down from day one pre-sales being 50% bigger than No Way Home 🤣
2nd weekend presales are relatively strong, and since it's only playing on the weekends it might not be quite as massive of a drop as some expect. Right now my current expectations are something like 120-45-22-13 for the first four weekends.
I think if that was going to happen we would start seeing the acceleration at this point. While some people will wait until the last minute to coalesce plans, most won’t. Especially not in her fandom. This isn’t to say there won’t be any walkups or ramp up in the final week, just that as a % of what has already sold it will look pretty weak.