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Posts posted by Daxtreme
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Just now, FlashMaster659 said:
" Rogue One: A Star Wars Story may end up taking in about $80M to $88M for the three-day weekend with a possible $130M for four day "
It's not even funny at this point.
Why are ALL the box office websites being dumb on this?
NO WAY this hits $130M 4-day
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Just now, FlashMaster659 said:
"Rogue One: a projected Friday-Monday gross of more than $110 million "
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Hmm... I highly doubt it's going that far. Here's a somewhat regular projection.
FRI: $23.4M (+40%)
SAT: $14.1M (-40%)
SUN: $28M (+100%)
MON: $32.2M (+15%)
$98M. Quite far off $110M
SUN jump could be a bit bigger, Monday you never know I guess.
I'd be curious to see their daily increases and drops
Pretty certain they never made any
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1 minute ago, Cochofles said:
Is DS gross really that impressive? I mean...Marvel is unstoppable
... That's the whole point of why it's impressive
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Just now, narniadis said:
Dr Strange may make it to 232-233 depending on how it plays over the next week. Good total since it looked like 220 was a stretch at one point.
No kidding, it won't end far behind Winter Soldier, which was 1. a sequel, 2. benefiting from the Post-Avengers effect that all phase 2 marvel sequels got, and 3. had Black Widow crossing over for added inter-connectivity.
Disney should be pretty happy with Doctor Strange
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4 minutes ago, Rey said:
Gonna go out and contribute to the Friday number for Rogue One and Sing!
Catch ya later, hoes!
This gif again!
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2 minutes ago, La Binoche said:
Is Miss Sloane really on 1400 screens averaging $16 per?
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+35% to +45% for Rogue One today would be considered a "standard" jump I guess.
So.. what are the boundaries for...
1. ?
2. ?
3. ?
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2 minutes ago, Rey said:
Not Rogue One snatching the haters yet again with that $16.9M!
Not Movieman89 getting scalped by Rogue One yet again!
Not Sing silencing them haters!
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1 minute ago, Doctor RTH gone Rouge said:
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50 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:
$16m+ is looking pretty accurate.
Rogue One:
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Jesus guys, when I said as a joke that the low end for Rogue One this week-end was 50M... I didn't mean for real
The GA are digging this movie, it's not dropping 68% suddenly on Christmas week-end with that kind of reception.
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I guess we'll see this week-end whether those huge presales were only for OW or more spaced out.
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7 minutes ago, Alli said:
“Assassin’s Creed” tumbling 46% to $2.5 million.
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3 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:
Also, hold on right there. Arnold has bad one-liners?
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MovieMan you can't just handpick the worst days from King Kong's run and say Rogue One will perform like that, and then completely ignore the other days and say the end multiplier will suck.
If Rogue One follows King Kong it's gonna end up with a 4.36 multiplier. Of course I don't think it will reach a 4.36 multiplier, but if you select one particular week-end, or a set of weekdays, where King Kong underperformed for some reason, apply that to Rogue One, and then proceed to ignore the rest of the run...
it just doesn't work that way
Plus, you know, the whole King Kong is 11 years old so maybe its daily patterns don't apply to a 2016 movie anymore... kinda thing
On that subject, I also recall last year lots of people (myself included) falling into the trap of comparing TFA dailies with LOTR dailies. LOTR is just too old, movies perform differently now.
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Judging from the posts in this thread so far, the range for the 4-day week-end is about 50M - 100M
Got it!
3-day, it's even better. A nice 1M - 75M range
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7 minutes ago, Eevin said:
$70m is probably the high bar at this point, but it's not impossible considering how terribly AC and Passengers are doing. Somewhere in the $65m range would be my guess at this point.
Well, thing is, considering Rogue One is grossing really high numbers right now, I don't think it can display the huge % increases that smaller movies can.
+40% FRI, -40% SAT, +100% SUN is where it is headed, I think, and depending on Thursday, that would result in about a $63-64M week-end.
If it does increase like crazy though...
confirmed
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What is it with BOM and the-numbers and many websites predicting 70+ 3-day for Rogue One 2nd week-end?
They're only setting themselves up for disappointment I think.
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17 minutes ago, ThePanda A Star Wars Story said:
I think the problem with video game movies is that
1.Story is typically secondary, and when it's not, it's typically an interactive kind of story.
2.A lot of the charm in the story of games like Elder Scrolls, Legend of Zelda and Warcraft is the expansive universe, and discovering it for yourself. The lore is really fun, but you can't really cram what makes some of those games great into a two hour movie.
3.Most studios try to do a direct adaption of a 40 hour+ video game and fit it into a two hour movie. If they really want to make a good video game movie then they need to do an original story in the universe.
4.95% of video games (even if they're great games) just aren't going to translate well into a movie, even with the best talent involved. The material just doesn't adapt well.
It's probably possible to make a solid video game movie, I just don't think anybody in Hollywood has really figured out how, nor do I think it's really worth the investment to figure that out. At best, I think some video games (might) be able to translate into a solid TV Show, but even then I'd probably recommend letting games stay games.
I read that as "4.95% of video games" and thought... wait that's so few of them wtf!
...
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so about a 14.5% drop, not bad all things considered.
Sure TFA didn't drop at all last year, but the week didn't play the same way, it was closer to Christmas.
For reference, Sherlock Holmes 2 dropped 17% in 2011, so somewhat in the same range.
@Grand Moff Tele what kind of drop did you have setup for Wed?
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29 minutes ago, Christmas Baumer said:
I saw passengers today and pretty much loved it. And then I saw Rogue one for a second time and I liked it a hell of a lot more than I did the first time. I think I just needed a second viewing to take it all in and it actually helps that I watched a new hope last night again. Part of the problem the first time I saw it was that I was completely taken out of it right from the beginning when it didn't follow a typical Star Wars kind of Direction. But this time I just got it a lot more. It really is a fantastic movie.
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5 minutes ago, SWXII said:
The future of the franchise is very bright.
That's the strongest point of this movie for me.
I have faith in Lucasfilm now after 7 and R1. Really curious to see how the franchise moves forward.
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5 minutes ago, Olive said:
Moana Walt Disney $3,059,856 +30% 3,587 $853 $168,331,660 28
The increase! Moana is on fire
edit: Up 73.5% from last Tuesday. Jesus!
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1 minute ago, IronJimbo said:
This number gives hope to Baumers club
Just now, IronJimbo said:That difference probably caused by you lot on here re watching it for the 17th 18th 19th time.
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Tues #s (Asgard pg 136) R1 22.4 Sing 17.7 Pass 6 Moan 4.6 Ass 3.6 WH 3.4 Fen 3.1 LLL 2.6
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Alright, let's try this!
$130M 4-day huh?
Starting with a 16.7M THU
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FRI: 25M (+50%)
SAT: 16.25M (-35%)
SUN: 37.4M (+130%)
MON: 43M (+15%)
$121.6M
...