Aristis
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Posts posted by Aristis
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3 minutes ago, Danhjpn said:
How much admits so far till this?
2,55M until Sunday, today (Tuesday) it passes 3M and it should be 4,3M+ next Sunday.
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1 hour ago, Danhjpn said:
8M admits is still on the table?
It certainly is on the table (I'd say after this WE hold it's more probable than before but still far from certain - I'd still say 7M+). Will be interesting to see the drops after the holidays.
21 minutes ago, Taruseth said:I think there is a very solid chance for 1m (like 85 %) - I hope for a bit more.
If we take Rogue One's weekend-to-weekday-ratio Avatar ends with 1003k over the weekdays.
Hoping for a better ratio - but I am not that certain.
Yeah, looking at RO and King Kong it should do around 1,4x its WE admissions for midweek so chances are good.
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36 minutes ago, Taruseth said:
Avatar 720k
Less than 40% drop is great considering the constellation. I *hope* for a 1M+ midweek and that wish shouldn't be too bold 👀
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1 hour ago, Dale Cooper said:
Is there something off with that number? If the total sum is correct, then it would mean it had made 680k on weekdays? And the trend is for Thursday-Sunday? Seems a bit off.
Actually you could be right. 1,63M until Tue, then stronger than OD on Wed but with 200k on Thu probably not like 380k. So maybe it's 200k too much...
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4 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:
Will Weekend Increase by 10-20%?
Sadly not because of christmas eve on saturday. R1 dropped 55% the same WE in 2016.
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1st Trend
Avatar 2 640k (-45%/-52% i.P.) 2,45M ~$34, 7M
Puss in boots 2 150k
Hotzenplotz 47,5k (-37%) 302,5k
Oskars Kleid 45k
...dance with somebody 37,5k
With christmas eve on saturday drops are worse than they would be otherwise but the following days from Monday on will make up for it.
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On 12/16/2022 at 9:43 AM, Aristis said:
Thursday
#1 Avatar 2 150k [€2,0M]
#2 Hotzenplotz 6,5k (-13%) [€45k]
#3 ...was Schönes 4,2k (-47%) [€40k]
#4 BP2 3,7k (-49%) [€35k]
#5 She said 2,7k (-40%) [€25k]
Thursday
#1 Avatar 2 200k (+33%) [€2,7M]
~2,2M admissions as of yesterday
#2 Puss in Boots 2 35k [€285k]
#3 Oscars Kleid 13,5k [€120k]
#4 Hotzenplotz 13k (+100%) [€100k]
#5 ...dance with somebody 7k [€70k]
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2 hours ago, Bruce said:
Avatar 2 Germany :1.63m admits First week
300k weekdays
The 1,63M is the first 7 days though (Wed to Tue). Wed increased compared to OD (so 1,8M+ as of yesterday). Today it should pass 2M.
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12 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:
2b break-even is misreporting
Total production cost including marketing seems to be around $600m as of now, I guess this equates to around $1400m required for a profit
Yes it is, but that belief is in the world now. I wonder if there'll be a statement sometime to clarify it officially.
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I wonder if JC will talk more careful in the future. That 2B-break even thing really seems to hurt.
https://www.axios.com/2022/12/20/avatar-way-of-water-disappointing-debut
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1 hour ago, altglascontainer said:
Where do you have the numbers of Thor and TG:M from. I have 110k for Thor and 83k for TG:M from insidekino. These are huge discrepancies. Just asking because of my comps.
Seems like I can't read. It was spider man and not Thor 😶
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$19,9M OW per estimates, 3rd biggest OS territory. I hope it goes beyond $20M with actuals but that's a great start for the movie here.
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1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said:
I don't really know but I think Germany is the only country with a 4-day-weekend? Even Austria, which is serverd by the same distributors and mostly chains, has a 3-day-one.
I thought Australia and Russia had 4-day too, but I'm not sure.
Austria being 3-day is unfortunate as it makes comparing the two harder than it had to be.
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2 minutes ago, Korra Legion said:
From 1025 4day to 1275 4day, amazing
Seems like I've been too long around the weekend thread, thinking a WE has 3 days
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3rd Trend
Avatar 2 1,1M (4-day) 1,275M (5-day) ~$18M
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54 minutes ago, MrHardapple said:
I think if word of mouth is very good, it even has a chance of reaching $100 million (around 7 million admission) here in Germany due to the high ticket prices.
That is my hope too. I guess it should play a lot like the Hobbit movies in Germany and therefore can get there. But then again: we just don't know yet.
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51 minutes ago, XXR Tulkun Rider said:
Current ATWOW OS Market Predictions (USD)
China: 120 - 165
SK: 85 - 100
UK: 75 - 90
France: 60 - 75
India: 55 - 70
Mexico: 55 - 65
Germany: 45 - 60
Australia: 40 - 55
Brazil: 40 - 55
Japan: 35 - 50
Italy: 25 - 35
Spain: 25 - 35
Other: 425 - 550
Total: 1085 - 1405
Germany is without a doubt far too low - even your high end might be the *worst-worst* case low end. That would be 3,3-4,4M admissions (in the case that the ATP might fall from where it is now) and an atrocious multipler. It won't gross lower than between $60-85M.
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7 minutes ago, cookie said:
Where's Jurassic World: Dominion on that list?
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2nd Trend
Avatar 2 1,025M (4-day) 1,2M (5-day) ~$17M
Hotzenplotz 75k (-18%)
BP2 35k (-52%)
Strange World 27,5k (-28%)
...was schönes 25k (-44%)
Violent night 25k (-32%)
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So A2 should be around $16M for OW here.
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On 12/9/2022 at 10:15 AM, Aristis said:
Thursday
#1 Terrifier 2 11,3k [€120k]
#2 ...was Schönes 8k (-20%) [€72k]
#3 Hotzenplotz 7,5k [€50k]
#4 BP2 7,3k (-3%) [€80k]
#5 The Nutcracker 4,7k [€110k]
#6 She said 4,5k [€40k]
Thursday
#1 Avatar 2 150k [€2,0M]
#2 Hotzenplotz 6,5k (-13%) [€45k]
#3 ...was Schönes 4,2k (-47%) [€40k]
#4 BP2 3,7k (-49%) [€35k]
#5 She said 2,7k (-40%) [€25k]
A2 had the best Thursday of the year, down 13% from OD.
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30 minutes ago, LPLC said:
From Deadline :
"Elsewhere, The Way of Water was tops in its afternoon showings in France today, notching 79,000 admissions from 1,210 screens for $728K."
So maybe $9,21 ATP ? I'm not sure about that
7M admissions = $65M ?
Though those were afternoon sessions so maybe a little more, I guess
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1 hour ago, XXR Tulkun Rider said:
At this point I’m hoping for 5M admits and anything over that is just gravy. If it’s under 5M, then ticket sales are literally half of the first 🥲
49 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:7M doable. No problem.
Yeah, no need to get in panic Mode yet (as I said, look at the Hobbit series). The true WE will tell more.
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So Avatar 2 had the 2nd best OD of the pandemic.
#1 NTTD 230k
#2 Avatar 2 172k
#3 DS2 161k
#4 NWH 153k
#5 TG:M 141k
I would have hoped for more than 200k but that's still ok (the first Hobbit opened to around 150k and legged its way to 6,7M, though it might only be around 6,5-6,7M in its first run). Also it was quite wintery yesterday - and of course there was the World Cup game...
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BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
in International Box Office
Posted
Around 14,4 atm (€13,63 to be precise)