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Aristis

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Everything posted by Aristis

  1. Hm... Would be great to have thread that is about extraordiinary movie runs regardless of the size of the BO market That would feature movies like Your Name as well as Quo vado? I do not have an example of a very big movie in a smaller country, and that isn't so great I think. But I don't really know how to manage that. It's easy to search for the biggest movies in OS-markets as a total. But to know that a movie is huge in a small country even if it has only $2M. Hm...
  2. Yearly 2016: 1 4.984.925 Moana 2 4.844.262 Zootopia 3 4.619.884 Les Tuche 2 - Le reve américain 4 4.492.026 Rogue One 5 3.911.800 Fantastic Beasts 6 3.783.833 The Revenant 7 3.735.249 Deadpool 8 3.724.347 Pets 9 3.715.947 The Jungle Book 10 3.456.526 Ice Age 5 FB +100k since last Sunday (3.817.459) In my eyes it should get to 4M but I'm not an expert in France-BO In the end there was a movie that was able to top Zoo. Per InsideKino
  3. If I'm guessing you right you mean that it is the biggest non-american and non-chinese movie ever internationally. But for now Intouchables is still bigger: $416,389,690 But maybe I do not, in this case I already apologize
  4. Strange nobody wrote those numbers... Monday numbers are not too bad, some movies are up again! Passengers 450k (could probably become 1st Millionaire of 2016) RO 315k (-31%) 3,5M total Moana 270k -4% (crossed 1M, should be around 1,2M I think) Sing 210k -4% (between 1,8M and 1,9M) VgdB 190k -17% Demain tout commence 195k (maybe the 2nd Millionaire ) AC 170k -27% (with previews included it would be -64% but that wouldn't be fair, it's a good number ) It could be above 700k now. Really a great number I think! WbdH 110k -7% In its 10th week 3,5M should be no problem FB 90k -20% It's holding good, probably a good begin for the franchise
  5. It seems they updatet RO at BOM (only OS): 7 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story BV $898.5 $461.4 51.3% $437.1 48.7% With $476M DOM it should be at $913M. And it seems my $32M from China were still too optimistic The rest of the OS country did better though
  6. Moana will probably be at 1,15M admissions after this weekend in Germany (about 270k, 5% decrease), which is ahead of Wreck it Ralph (1.039.406). And it will pass Monster University, Brave and Toy Story 3(1,4M, 1,46M, 1,6M) soon. It will end with a multipler above 10x (excluding previews). So Germans do not fear to see a non white Disney Princess
  7. Here is still snow and I live in one of the warmest regions of Germany were most of the time there is no snow. If here is in most parts of Germany there will be snow. On Thursday I was outside in a little village with a lot of snow and it was wonderfull Maybe many others enjoy the Winterwonderland
  8. MarkG probably thinks Friday was by far the biggest day because of the holiday. Or actuals for Friday went down.
  9. 2. Trend Passengers (450T) Rogue One (325T) -29% Moana (250T) -11% Sing (210T) -4% Plötzlich Papa (200T) Assassin's Creed (175T) -25% Vier gegen die Bank (175T) -23% WbdH (105T) -11% FB (85T) -25%
  10. At least $475M + $430M ($32M from China) = $910M. But that would be the worst case. Maybe more like $480M + $435M ($35M) = $915M $500M OS will be passed
  11. Blickpunkt:Film has first numbers of the year: Edit: Those numbers seem to be only a part of the year and will maybe get higher. According to that site 2016 made €993,8M (which would be $1,05B now, but XR is much lower than it was through the year, could be near $1,1B) which is 12,4% below 2015 (that was a record year with €1,167M. It would be (if it doesn't get below €980M) the fourth biggest year ever. I just calculated myself and 12,4% less would get 2016 to €1,022M (still not enough to overtake 2013) I do not really understand how they calculate, they say it would be the third biggest above 2013 but that was €1,023B... They seem to be optimistic that €1B will be passed. But what seems to be devastating is the admissions-number: They have it at 115,8M (the lowest since 1992 with 105,9M). But they say it would be down 12,8%. That decrease would make 121,4M admissions... Average ticket price is 8,58€ (2015: 8,54) which is only a minimal increase (maybe the only good news). Maybe anyone could help me with that Chaos Hopefully my theory that it's only a part of 2016 admissions is correct... http://www.mediabiz.de/film/news/deutscher-kinomarkt-em-jahr-schlaegt-wm-jahr/414306
  12. Hopefully a better year than 2016 I'm very late but still: Aller dann, äh schää nai Johr! (That's not how I would say but probably like others would wish here ) Ein gutes neues Jahr!
  13. I didn't understand that correctly... I thought he had only seen daily numbers from Munich but he hinted at the Blickpunkt:Film-prediction... My fault. But that was what I thought too: 4x200k really seems too much. (But they have absurd multiplers every weekend )
  14. Mark G wrote, regarding the Thursday numbers: Wow, I just saw the Munich-Trend - they have a great deal left. (The second part isn't easy to translate, I hope I got the meaning ) Hopefully that means his numbers are underestimated
  15. France 2016 second best after 2011 Germany 2016 hopefully not the worst since early 90s...
  16. So the Actuals from Thursday: Rogue One 200k Moana 110k Assassins 100k Sing 90k Vier gegen Bank 85k A good number for RO and Moana is 20k above Sing! Could have 700k after Sunday. 1,5M admissions seem probable (ca. $13M). I really can't imagine that RO will only make 475k... Hopefully the next trend will be higher.
  17. Seems like there will be great holds Maybe this time it'll be joy to see the trend. But didn't start VgdB with 63.198 last Sunday? Which multipler can the movies have from Thursday with New Year affecting it on Saturday/Sunday?
  18. It could make $5M from Germany too! It seems it still has 500k admissions (or more) left.
  19. It starts at the worst date it could have. George Parr wrote a good comment on it. We probably don't want to see such a summer movie now. And the trend got a bit better, 200k now including about 50k previews. With good WOM it still can make 1M to 1,5M admissions. Better isn't possible with this date. I have a last question: Embarrassing for whom?
  20. The UK does continue to lead with a $3.4M Thursday for a $35.1M cume. Germany was the next best play on Thursday with $1.7M to take the total there to $18.1M. France — where Rogue One scored the best opening week of any film in 2016 at 1.8M admissions — has a $16.5M cume through Thursday. Australia ($16.1M) and Japan ($11.6M) round out the Top 5. Deadline
  21. Thursday numbers from Blickpunkt Film RO 150k (lc1,65M) Sing 50k Moana 40k FB 30k (This or RO will reach 3M as the first Non-Animation-Movie of the year) WbdH 25k
  22. Doesn't seem bad at all. SW with 1,87M after Sunday. Should have at least 1M more the Sunday after. Maybe it can even reach 3M, but we should wait if it can even hold the 500k this weekend. Moana is at least higher than Sing for now, I heard rumors that it could land beneath that one. It's starting on an extremely bad weekend and should have a great multipler. But 2M do not seem good, should at least reach 1M though. But for more Analysis I'll wait for numbers that are more certain.
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